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Friday 2 September 2022

1:30 Kempton Racing Tips (3rd September)


A quite poor class 5 sprint with just 7 runners, so no each way bets, with 3 known front running types in the race First Company 8/1 might struggle to stay the distance so could be worth laying, of the possible pacesetters it looks like Enduring could do best of them especially as it has the stall 1 draw which is always a bonus for a front runner here although the cutaway nearing the finish does give a chance to a horse coming from off the pace and my money will be riding on THAKI 5/2 who is usually held up for a late run so this race could be run to suit its racing style. 

Thaki 5/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

ASCOT 4.55 

Nine runners in this Class 2 sprint but I don't know what will set the early pace, Mums Tipple might want further to show its best so if allowed an easy lead it could make its stamina pay and pinch this race from the front, Ivasecret has poor form on turf and its speed figures on the AW have been low so it might be one to lay and hope there's a fast early gallop, if the going is good to firm then I would look to lay Silver Samurai 7/1, Lethal Nymph is my 3rd top rated but that's from lower class race and might get outclassed in class 2 races, Sound Of Iona has a good rating from Doncaster which is a completely different type of course compared to today's one, I will be putting my faith and money on SPIRITED GUEST 40/1 (EW) who recorded a rating at Yarmouth last year that puts it a few spots in hand of today's opposition but the trainer is 1-46 at this course but might be worth an each way punt if of value to do so. 

Spirited Guest 40/1 5th -2pts (Very close to a mega payday) 

Lay bet Silver Samuri +1pt 

Total -1pt 

ASCOT 5.30 

An eleven runner class 2 dash with a couple of known front runners in the field, Ventura Flame 8/1 might be outclassed at this level, both Many A Star 7/2 and Cairn Gorn 9/1 look as though a longer distance will suit them better and all 3 might be worth laying, Celsius and Readie Freddie go are my 5th and 4th top rated so could go well and might make the frame if others falter, Dubai Station recorded a rating in 2021 at Hamilton which is beginning to look a fluked time where it got towed along in a fast run race, the top weighted Get It is my 2nd top rated and has good jockey stats so might be worth backing as a covering bet but my main bet will be SWAYZE 11/1 (EW) who has a good chance here of leading all the way like it did at Yarmouth last year and a repeat would see it back in the winners enclosure, it has both good trainer and jockey stats making me think that connections are expecting it to run well here and if an each way price all the better. 

Swayze 11/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bets Many A Star +1pt, Cairn Gorn +1pt 

Total 0pts 


A ten runner dash with six of them having been known to lead before so this could be fast and furious, Next Second 9/2 might be outclassed now raised in class but also might be an improving 3yo so maybe one to lay or maybe not, Kim Wexler 13/2 would need all the leaders to fade badly before it could win this race so maybe worth taking on with a lay bet if as usual its of value to do so, (value might vary from person to person so you will have to decide for yourself whether you think its value to lay) another 3yo Lur CinnTra 13/2 may need a longer distance to show its worth so one that could be worth laying, Bang On The Bell 10/3 is another 3yo but this one likes to front run but could get squeezed out in the early stages from stall 3 with fast runners drawn stalls 1 and 6.7.8 and 10, my money will be riding on AMASOVA 15/2 who in the make-up of this race should be able to get to the front from stall 6 and if leading could prove hard to catch and the jockey has only ridden once before for today's stable and that was a winning ride. 

Amasova 15/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Kim Wexler +1pt, Lur Cinn Tra +1pt 

Total +1pt 


An eleven runner dash with just Brazen Belle known as a front running type but this one prefers a longer distance but could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but with several that like to track the leaders then the pace should be a true one, Morty and Nacho are my joint 4th top rated horses but only 1lb below The Tron in 3rd top spot and all 3 might be better over a longer distance, For Peats Sake sits in 2nd top spot but the top rated horse is *ADMIRABLE LAD 4/1 and a repeat of its best rating from 2021 would see it winning this race quite comfortably.


Total on the day -1pt

Underlined horses are potential lay bets but only if single-figure odds at sp 

If its not underlined it's not a lay bet 

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