1:30 Kempton Racing Tips (3rd September)

KEMPTON 1.30 

A quite poor class 5 sprint with just 7 runners, so no each way bets, with 3 known front running types in the race First Company 8/1 might struggle to stay the distance so could be worth laying, of the possible pacesetters it looks like Enduring could do best of them especially as it has the stall 1 draw which is always a bonus for a front runner here although the cutaway nearing the finish does give a chance to a horse coming from off the pace and my money will be riding on THAKI 5/2 who is usually held up for a late run so this race could be run to suit its racing style. 

Thaki 5/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

ASCOT 4.55 

Nine runners in this Class 2 sprint but I don't know what will set the early pace, Mums Tipple might want further to show its best so if allowed an easy lead it could make its stamina pay and pinch this race from the front, Ivasecret has poor form on turf and its speed figures on the AW have been low so it might be one to lay and hope there's a fast early gallop, if the going is good to firm then I would look to lay Silver Samurai 7/1, Lethal Nymph is my 3rd top rated but that's from lower class race and might get outclassed in class 2 races, Sound Of Iona has a good rating from Doncaster which is a completely different type of course compared to today's one, I will be putting my faith and money on SPIRITED GUEST 40/1 (EW) who recorded a rating at Yarmouth last year that puts it a few spots in hand of today's opposition but the trainer is 1-46 at this course but might be worth an each way punt if of value to do so. 

Spirited Guest 40/1 5th -2pts (Very close to a mega payday) 

Lay bet Silver Samuri +1pt 

Total -1pt 

ASCOT 5.30 

An eleven runner class 2 dash with a couple of known front runners in the field, Ventura Flame 8/1 might be outclassed at this level, both Many A Star 7/2 and Cairn Gorn 9/1 look as though a longer distance will suit them better and all 3 might be worth laying, Celsius and Readie Freddie go are my 5th and 4th top rated so could go well and might make the frame if others falter, Dubai Station recorded a rating in 2021 at Hamilton which is beginning to look a fluked time where it got towed along in a fast run race, the top weighted Get It is my 2nd top rated and has good jockey stats so might be worth backing as a covering bet but my main bet will be SWAYZE 11/1 (EW) who has a good chance here of leading all the way like it did at Yarmouth last year and a repeat would see it back in the winners enclosure, it has both good trainer and jockey stats making me think that connections are expecting it to run well here and if an each way price all the better. 

Swayze 11/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bets Many A Star +1pt, Cairn Gorn +1pt 

Total 0pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.00 

A ten runner dash with six of them having been known to lead before so this could be fast and furious, Next Second 9/2 might be outclassed now raised in class but also might be an improving 3yo so maybe one to lay or maybe not, Kim Wexler 13/2 would need all the leaders to fade badly before it could win this race so maybe worth taking on with a lay bet if as usual its of value to do so, (value might vary from person to person so you will have to decide for yourself whether you think its value to lay) another 3yo Lur CinnTra 13/2 may need a longer distance to show its worth so one that could be worth laying, Bang On The Bell 10/3 is another 3yo but this one likes to front run but could get squeezed out in the early stages from stall 3 with fast runners drawn stalls 1 and 6.7.8 and 10, my money will be riding on AMASOVA 15/2 who in the make-up of this race should be able to get to the front from stall 6 and if leading could prove hard to catch and the jockey has only ridden once before for today's stable and that was a winning ride. 

Amasova 15/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Kim Wexler +1pt, Lur Cinn Tra +1pt 

Total +1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

An eleven runner dash with just Brazen Belle known as a front running type but this one prefers a longer distance but could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but with several that like to track the leaders then the pace should be a true one, Morty and Nacho are my joint 4th top rated horses but only 1lb below The Tron in 3rd top spot and all 3 might be better over a longer distance, For Peats Sake sits in 2nd top spot but the top rated horse is *ADMIRABLE LAD 4/1 and a repeat of its best rating from 2021 would see it winning this race quite comfortably.

*NR 

Total on the day -1pt

Underlined horses are potential lay bets but only if single-figure odds at sp 

If its not underlined it's not a lay bet 

1:20 Leicester Racing Tips (23rd May)

LEICESTER 1.20 

Afield of 9 runners in this class five apprentice jockeys race, I'm not sure what to expect from Alablaq who therefore could be a bit of a hidden danger as its best time from the AW surface at Lingfield but hasn't any form over this distance on turf, as for something to lay both *Follow Your Heart 15/2 and Mostallim 7/1 fit the bill, the former's trainer is 0-42 at this course and doesn't seem to like good to firm ground while the latter races as though a longer distance would suit it better, I've got Rainbow Mirage as my 2nd top rated but its only win on good to firm ground was in a class 6 race, the only horse that's known as a front running type is GIOGIOBBO 6/1 who also happens to be my top rated using just ratings recorded on grass and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch. 

*NR

Giogiobbo 6/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Mostallim +1pt 

Total 0pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.40 

Ten runners in this class 6 race but this time there is three known front running types so it should be a true run affair although all 3 of them are forecast to be double figure prices and none are in my top 3 ratings, I think Arzaak 6/1 is a better prospect when racing on the Polytrack surface so might be worth laying in this race, I will also be looking to lay Glorious Charmer 11/4 as the trainer is 0-11 in the last 2 weeks and I think it will probably need a longer distance on the AW surfaces as most of its best form has come over further, Nachom comes out as my 3rd top rated and is normally held up for a late run, sitting in 2nd top spot is Billy Dylan 14/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on dourly at the finish so could be worth an each way interest but i will be pinning my hopes on ADMIRABLE LAD 14/1 (EW) who also likes to track the leaders and then runs on well at the finish and at the price i have to give it as an each way wager.

Admirable Lad 14/1 7th -2pts

Lay bet Glorious Charmer +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt 

 

1:25 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (5th January)

WOLVERHAMPTON 1.25 

Plenty of early paced types in this race and Savalas could go well from the front if able to reproduce its best time from 2020 but it was well below that level in 2021, VICTORY ROSE 14/1 hasn't run over this c/d since 2020 but its best figure from that year would give it every chance here being my 2nd top rated horse so worth a small each way bet, my top rated is *STRONG POWER 9/4 who won on Monday where it won very cosily in a fast run race, that was a class 6 race and it is up to class 5 here but the way it won suggests it should take this upgrade in its stride but just as a precaution, as sometimes they don't run well next time out if raced too quickly after their victory, I will be backing both of them but my stakes will be kept low. 

*NR

Victory Rose 14/1 7th -1pt

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.35 Div I

In this race I will be looking to lay both Blazing Hot 5/2 and Tomshalfbrother 11/2 who finished 2nd and 3rd last time out behind Sir Hector who I tipped up that day at 25/1 as they are both weighted to finish behind that same horse again here and I will be backing SIR HECTOR 9/2 again in this race as it is weighted to beat them again here but i do have a horse.

COUNTRY CHARM 14/1 rated 4lbs higher but that is using a Newcastle time but it has had one previous run over this c/d which resulted in it not recording a rating but it might be worth an each way punt at the price and I will be backing both of them to small stakes.

Sir Hector 11/2 5th -1pt 

Country Charm 14/1 9th -1pt 

Lay bets Blazing Hot +1pt, Tomshalfbrother +1pt 

Total 0pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.05 Div II 

This 2nd division is definitely the poor relation of this race, I expect Cometh The Man to set the pace to the race from the stall 1 draw and in such a poor race it could do enough to at least make the frame but is better over a shorter trip and if tackled for the lead might falter inside the final furlong, others that have bits of form but also with a negative are, Martineo who has been in poor form lately and may need this run for fitness plus a 0-26 jockey stat, Pable Del Pueblo who isn't proven on this surface and Iesha who has poor form over this c/d, one I will look to lay is Royal Heart 13/2 who didn't register on my figures when finishing 3rd over this c/d and its best speed figure from Lingfield isn't good enough to win this race, I will be having a small wager, and I mean a small wager, on ADMIRABLE LAD 11/1 (EW) who likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish so might be worth an each way wager. 

Admirable Lady 25/1 9th -2pts

Lay bet Royal Heart +1pt

Total -1pt

KEMPTON 3.55

I am not a fan of these amateur riders races and i really should leave the race alone BUT I can see from my ratings that NIGEL NOTT 4/1 and SWISS PRIDE 6/1 are rated a good few spots higher than the rest of the runners and I will go with backing both of them, if Lord P 10/3 is the favourite as predicted by the early tissue prices then I would look to lay it as its c/d win was in a relatively slow run race and it also may need this run for fitness after a 118 day break from racing.

Swiss Pride 8/1 5th -1pt 

Nigel Nott 4/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Lord P +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

1:31 Southwell Racing Tips (16th December)

SOUTHWELL 1.31 

This is the first of four sprints at this course today, we still have to factor in the fact about it being a new surface here which makes analysis that much harder plus there is a lot of runners which are either three year olds or lightly raced types and in fact I will be leaving the other three sprints well alone. In this race I am only putting forward a selection because ADMIRABLE LAD 10/1 (EW) is forecast to be a double figure price which in my opinion will make it a reasonable each way punt and being a three year old itself it could still be open to some improvement, saying all that it is not a race where I will be betting very heavily in.

Admirable Lad 16/1 5th -2pts

Total on the day -2pts

2:35 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (25th November)

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.35 

There is a couple of known front runners in this field of 11, Grandfather Tom 8/1 who has been in poor form lately and I would look to lay this one if its a single figure price and the 3yo Amasova 7/1 but this one would need to improve time wise to win this race but could be dangerous if allowed a soft lead, this doesn't seem to be the favoured surface for Capla Spirit 4/1 but it does still come out 4th best on my figures so could make the frame if others falter but I am doubtful it can win this race, Its Wonderful 20/1 may need further to shine as might the 3yo Portelet Bay 13/2, I've got Tantastic 5/1 as my 3rd top rated and this one can either be held up or track the leaders but I'm not sure its an each way price, the old timer You're Cool 18/1 comes out 2nd best on a course and distance figure recorded earlier this year but has been quite inconsistent lately but I will be investing my money on the 3yo ADMIRABLE LAD 7/2 who won last time out and has been found an ideal opportunity to follow up in this race and its only the stall 11 draw that looks of any concern but if granted a clear run it could win with a little bit in hand. 

Admirable Lady 5/1 8th -1pt 

Lay bet: Grandfather Tom -4.5pts

Total -5.5pts

CHELMSFORD 6.50 

There's 3 possible pacesetters amongst the 10 runners in this race, the 13yo Tropics would have had every chance in this race even 2 years ago but is getting slowly slower with age each year and its best from this year leaves it outside my top 3 ratings, one I will look to lay if of value to do so is Restless Endeavour 6/1 who may prefer a longer distance and has never won over this trip, The Greatestshowman 5/1 won last time out but hasn't run at this course this year and its best time from 2020 wouldn't be good enough to make the frame but it is good form so never say never, Red Walls 6/1 also won last time out but this race looks a bit better affair and I'm not sure it can win this race, Jack The Truth 9/2 comes out 3rd best using a time from 2020 but isn't really an each way price, in this race I will be backing 2 horses to cover the angles, ARAIFJAN 8/1 who is a front running type and if getting to the front from stall 10 it could prove hard to catch and may squeeze up some of those drawn inside of it and that might enhance its chances so has to carry some of my money but I will also be backing INVINCIBLE LARNE 8/1 who last time out recorded fast time when finishing 3rd and has been found a good chance to go even better here and with a clear run it could win this race but it is 94 days since the stable last had a winner which is a little off putting and the one of the reasons i will be backing 2 horses in this race. 

Araifjan 8/1 7th -1pt 

Invincible Larne 8/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Restless Endeavour +1pt 

Total -1pts

Total on the day -6.5pts