1:30 Kempton Racing Tips (3rd September)

KEMPTON 1.30 

A quite poor class 5 sprint with just 7 runners, so no each way bets, with 3 known front running types in the race First Company 8/1 might struggle to stay the distance so could be worth laying, of the possible pacesetters it looks like Enduring could do best of them especially as it has the stall 1 draw which is always a bonus for a front runner here although the cutaway nearing the finish does give a chance to a horse coming from off the pace and my money will be riding on THAKI 5/2 who is usually held up for a late run so this race could be run to suit its racing style. 

Thaki 5/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

ASCOT 4.55 

Nine runners in this Class 2 sprint but I don't know what will set the early pace, Mums Tipple might want further to show its best so if allowed an easy lead it could make its stamina pay and pinch this race from the front, Ivasecret has poor form on turf and its speed figures on the AW have been low so it might be one to lay and hope there's a fast early gallop, if the going is good to firm then I would look to lay Silver Samurai 7/1, Lethal Nymph is my 3rd top rated but that's from lower class race and might get outclassed in class 2 races, Sound Of Iona has a good rating from Doncaster which is a completely different type of course compared to today's one, I will be putting my faith and money on SPIRITED GUEST 40/1 (EW) who recorded a rating at Yarmouth last year that puts it a few spots in hand of today's opposition but the trainer is 1-46 at this course but might be worth an each way punt if of value to do so. 

Spirited Guest 40/1 5th -2pts (Very close to a mega payday) 

Lay bet Silver Samuri +1pt 

Total -1pt 

ASCOT 5.30 

An eleven runner class 2 dash with a couple of known front runners in the field, Ventura Flame 8/1 might be outclassed at this level, both Many A Star 7/2 and Cairn Gorn 9/1 look as though a longer distance will suit them better and all 3 might be worth laying, Celsius and Readie Freddie go are my 5th and 4th top rated so could go well and might make the frame if others falter, Dubai Station recorded a rating in 2021 at Hamilton which is beginning to look a fluked time where it got towed along in a fast run race, the top weighted Get It is my 2nd top rated and has good jockey stats so might be worth backing as a covering bet but my main bet will be SWAYZE 11/1 (EW) who has a good chance here of leading all the way like it did at Yarmouth last year and a repeat would see it back in the winners enclosure, it has both good trainer and jockey stats making me think that connections are expecting it to run well here and if an each way price all the better. 

Swayze 11/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bets Many A Star +1pt, Cairn Gorn +1pt 

Total 0pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.00 

A ten runner dash with six of them having been known to lead before so this could be fast and furious, Next Second 9/2 might be outclassed now raised in class but also might be an improving 3yo so maybe one to lay or maybe not, Kim Wexler 13/2 would need all the leaders to fade badly before it could win this race so maybe worth taking on with a lay bet if as usual its of value to do so, (value might vary from person to person so you will have to decide for yourself whether you think its value to lay) another 3yo Lur CinnTra 13/2 may need a longer distance to show its worth so one that could be worth laying, Bang On The Bell 10/3 is another 3yo but this one likes to front run but could get squeezed out in the early stages from stall 3 with fast runners drawn stalls 1 and 6.7.8 and 10, my money will be riding on AMASOVA 15/2 who in the make-up of this race should be able to get to the front from stall 6 and if leading could prove hard to catch and the jockey has only ridden once before for today's stable and that was a winning ride. 

Amasova 15/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Kim Wexler +1pt, Lur Cinn Tra +1pt 

Total +1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

An eleven runner dash with just Brazen Belle known as a front running type but this one prefers a longer distance but could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but with several that like to track the leaders then the pace should be a true one, Morty and Nacho are my joint 4th top rated horses but only 1lb below The Tron in 3rd top spot and all 3 might be better over a longer distance, For Peats Sake sits in 2nd top spot but the top rated horse is *ADMIRABLE LAD 4/1 and a repeat of its best rating from 2021 would see it winning this race quite comfortably.

*NR 

Total on the day -1pt

Underlined horses are potential lay bets but only if single-figure odds at sp 

If its not underlined it's not a lay bet 

4:58 Kempton Racing Tips (5th October)

KEMPTON 4.58 

MANUMISSION 15/2 the trainer has a poor 4% win ratio and hasn't won from 10 previous runs on the AW tracks and I think this distance might be a bit too far for it with a fast early pace that might happen in this race so I will be laying this one. 

STARTER FOR TEN 6/1 has had 3 runs over this course and distance and produced nothing good enough time wise to register on my figures, it has poor trainer/jockey stats and i will be laying this one if a single figure price. 

MARIONETTE 33/1 is making its handicap debut and the trainer might have been hiding this ones talent but its 3 runs have produced very little in inspire any confidence and it will be one of the outsiders in the field. 

VIVENCY 20/1 has 2 slow times over this course and distance and usually stays on at the finish and its best time from Lingfield would put it in the mix but the trainer is 0-6 for the last 2 weeks and its 60 days since the stable last had a winner. 

THAKI 5/2 is one of two in this race that have been known to lead before but it hasn't run over this course and distance before and its best times from Chelmsford and Lingfield are not good enough to win this race but its best time from Wolverhampton would put it in top spot and has good jockey stats. 

EXCELINTHEJUNGLE 14/1 is quite versatile with its racing tactics and has a decent time from Southwell and it faded in a fastish run time here over 7 furlongs so this course and distance might suit it but its still a maiden after ten races but has made the frame in 3 runs on an artificial surface so might be an each way punt. 

BLUEBIRD DAY 15/2 3yo has been known to lead which can be a bonus in a sprint race, it has good trainer/jockey stats but I'm not sure this fast surface will suit it and may be worth laying if a single figure price. 

WHISPERING ANGEL 6/1 3yo its 4 runs to date have shown very little for its future chances, its best time on grass at Thirsk wouldn't be good enough to make the frame so would need to improve for the switch to this distance on an artificial surface. 

GOT NO DOLLARS 7/2 3yo won last time out over this distance at Chelmsford at the 8th time of trying and did a relatively fast time but the trainer is 0-9 in the last 2 weeks and its 19 days since the stables last winner but could have a good chance if taking to this course. 

THE FIRST HURRAH 12/1 3yo has made the frame in 9 of its races but its 2 course and distance runs produced slow times and will be an outsider. 

PURPLE POPPY 66/1 3yo If runs to its name so far and it hasn’t made the frame in any of them and i cannot see it winning in this race or even make the frame and will be a big price 

SIR GREGORY 25/1 3yo who has shown very little indeed in its 7 runs to date, it finished 3rd once in a slow run affair and will be an outsider in this race. 

SUMMARY: I will look to lay, Manumission, Starter For Ten and Bluebird Day but the latter is only if its not backed significantly as its does have good trainer/jockey stats, if I was 100% sure THAKI 5/2 could reproduce its best Wolverhampton time on this surface it would be my sole bet and if I knew it wouldn't then GOT NO DOLLARS 7/2 would be my sole bet but this ones poor trainer stats, 0-9 in the last 2 weeks and its 17 runners since the stable last did have a winner puts me off again and poor trainer/jockey stats also puts me off Vivency’s chances, so I will go with backing the 2 horses with small stakes to cover the angles of a front runner and one coming from off the pace.

Thaki 5/2 1st +2.5pts + EX £13.80 

Got No Dollars 11/2 -1pts  

Lay bets: Manumission +1pt, Starter For Ten +1pt, Bluebird Day +1pt 

Total on the day +4.5pts 

2:40 Newmarket Winning Racing Tips (18th September)

NEWMARKET 2.40 

I'm hoping the going is good or better here, the course does dry out quickly as its a chalky area so please tread carefully and watch an earlier race if possible to see what the going is like. In this race I will look to lay Beauty Choice 8/1 who might prefer a longer distance than today's to show its best but this should be a fast run affair which should suit it, Equiano Springs 8/1 is one of the two known front running types in this race and it comes out 3rd best on my figures so could make the frame and worth an each way interest, TOUSSARAK 5/2 is the other likely pacesetter and comes out 2nd best on my figures using a time recorded at Goodwood and if getting to the front could prove hard to pass and does have good trainer/jockey stats and has to have some chance especially if my top rated horse WORLD OF WINDHOVER 11/4 doesn't repeat its best time, which it recorded at Yarmouth, over this completely different kind of course so I will be backing both of them to cover the angles. 

Tussarak 5/2 4/1 5th -1pt 

World Of Windhover 18/5 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.55 

A poor class 6 race even by All-Weather standards but hopefully I've found a gem amidst the dirt, I have marked down both *Iesha and Big Impact as possible lays and are forecast to be single prices in the betting there are other possible lays but I expect them to be outsiders in this field, Blue Cable is my 4th top rated using a 2021 time, Jungle Inthebungle comes out 3rd best using a 2020 time, in 2nd top spot is Bernards Spierpoint but this ones best time wasn't done on this surface, THAKI 7/4 is my top rated and the only known front runner in the race and if getting to the front it ought to prove uncatchable and the trainer and jockey stats hopefully point to the stable expecting it to win here, the price is pants but a reproduction of its last win would see it winning a shade cosily. 

*NR

Thaki 7/4 1st +1.75pts

Lay bets: Big Impact +1pts

Total +2.75pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.00 

A strange looking race with just the one known front runner in the field, I will look to lay Strong Power 10/1 and Show Me A Sunset 11/1 if they are single price figures in the betting, so I'm hoping they are backed a little, the main strange thing is that its impossible to narrow it down to a one horse conclusion so it looks like I will be dutching 3 horses in this race, SEEKING PERFECTION 14/1 who is the front running type and could go well especially if allowed an easy lead and is my 3rd top rated,*TATHMEEN 10/1 is 2nd top rated on just 2021 times and with the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim it moves to top rated on my overall figures but only 1lb above *CANFORD BAY 9/2 who is top rated on just 2021 times so I will go with a win bet and two each way bets.

*NR 

Seeking Perfection 66/1 8th -2pts 

Lay bets: Show Me A Sunset +1pt

Total -1pt

Total on the day -0.25pts