As to be expected not the best of sprints but I guess not too bad for a class 5 race, there's 12 entrants of which 4 have been known to lead before. Eldeyaar is one of the four but its wins have come in lower class races being a 3yo it could improve hasn't been able to win at this level so far, Jordan Electrics has a fast time from 2021 but it might have been towed along in a fast run race but hasn't won in 4 previous runs on an artificial surface it could make the frame but its been over thirty days and 10 runners since the stable last had a winner which makes me think they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace. Hail Sezer 7/2 stays on at the finish over this distance but maybe too late but does have a decent time recorded at Southwell so not something I could lay with confidence but doesn't look value in my opinion. The top weight So Grateful 6/1 needs to improve on both its best time over this course and distance and its rating from Southwell so maybe worth laying if a single figure price. I will be backing REDZONE 10/1 (EW) who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish and stall 10 should be ideal for it in the make-up of this race, the stable has been in good form lately and the jockey booking looks a positive booking and as usual at the price it has to be an each way bet.
Redzone 12/1 Unp -2pts
Total -2pts
NEWCASTLE 5.45 Div II
I think the early pace will be set by Shes A Danger but I doubt it will do enough to win the race, Huraiz might have been flattered by its best rating at Lingfield last year and hasn't shown much over this course and distance since 2019. Pockley 11/2 could run ok but would need to improve time wise to win this race, if the tissue betting is to be believed then Kapono 5/1 will be the favourite (it isn't) which I cannot understand and if a short enough price to be of poor value then I would look to lay it. STARSONG 9/4 has won its last 2 races over this course and distance and at Southwell and is my top rated on both set of figures so looks to have been found a good opportunity to complete its hat trick and it will be carrying my money.
Starsong 9/4 Unp -1pt
Lay bet Kapono +1pt
Total -0pt
Total on the day -2pts
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