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Thursday 1 December 2022

5:45 Newcastle Racing Tips (2nd December)


A nine runner class two conditions five furlong dash where the early pace might well be set by Fine Wine 14/1 but time wise this one would need to improve a good few spots but never say never if allowed an easy lead. Art Power 9/4 is dropped in class to run in this race but its best form has come over 6 furlongs and if a short price might be worth the risk of taking it on with a lay bet, Logo Hunter 7/4 is also dropped in class here and won in a fast time on Polytrack but hasn't run on this Tapeta surface before so not 100% sure what to expect here but if taking to the surface if could go very well indeed and this pair are forecast to be the front two in the betting. The only other horse forecast to be a single figure price is TONE THE BARONE 10/1 (EW) who is my top rated and if fit enough to do itself justice after a break of 146 days looks at least the value call and it has won before when coming back from a break so I'm hoping it fires on all cylinders in this race and of course at the price it has to be an each way wager. 

Tone The Barone 20/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bet Art Power +1pt 

Total -1pt


A field of 13 for this sprint where both Count D’Orsay and Captains Bar have been known to lead if nothing else wanted to so I think the early pace will be set by Shallow Hal 9/2 but hasn't shown good form at this course since 2020, it won last time out at Chelmsford where it led but set a relatively slow pace but I don't think it will be allowed that luxury here so might be worth taking on if a short enough price, Pockley 7/1 ran well finishing 2nd 3 days ago and comes out 4th top rated in this race so could go well again here, Embour 4/1 who can be held up or track the leaders is my 3rd top rated but looks too short in the market, Ballyare 20/1 comes out in 2nd top spot but that's using a rating from 2021. My money will be riding on BELLAGIO MAN 5/1 who has been in the frame on all of its last 3 races winning one of them and has been found a good opportunity to add to its tally of wins in this race. 

Bellagio Man 10/1 3rd -1pt

Total -1pt 


A full house of 14 runners with the two at the top of the handicap having been known to lead before but I doubt either will prevail for the win. I will look to lay Al Suil Elle 5/1 who needs to improve time wise and might prefer a longer distance, Ischia is my 3rd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders and could make the frame and maybe an each way punt if a big price, at the bottom of the handicap is Kraken Power who is a hold up type and comes out 2nd top rated on my figures so could be another each way punt and I will also be taking a punt on DEPUTISE 7/1 (EW) who was a beaten favourite last time out and could remedy that here, it can be held up or track the leaders and its stall 12 draw is fine and the trainer has a 20% win ratio at this course but the stable hasn't been firing recently which is a little concerning but if an each way price all the better. 

Deputise 11/1 2nd +1.75pts 

Total +1.75pts

Total on the day -0.25pts

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