6:30 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (25th September)

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.30

I can see a couple of front running types in this race so it should be a true run affair, I'm not sure there will be anything of value to lay in this race, Red Walls in stall 7 is my 4th top rated and one that likes to lead but does best when allowed an easy lead which I doubt it will get in this race, Next Second is only rated lb better in 3rd top spot, Storm Melody races as though further would suit it better but does come out in 2nd top spot using my figures so could run on and make the frame. The other known front running type is SUANNI 9/2 who is drawn in stall 2 so could get away smartly and take control of the rails and then prove hard to catch. 

Suanni 9/2 2nd 

-1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.00 

Housed in stall 1 is Coast 12/1 who likes to set the early pace and is joint 2nd top rated alongside Under Curfew but this one can struggle to stay the distance if the early pace is really fast and exactly how fast the early pace will be in this race I'm not completely sure as there is five 3yo’s in the race and something else might decide to try and front run which would muddy the waters but if Coast is allowed to set the pace it could prove hard to catch so might be worth an each way wager. I will be taking a punt on DEPUTISE 18/1 who won 3 races ago over this course and distance and this track seems to bring out the best in it and the apprentice jockey who rode it to that win is back on board for today's race and as long as it can overcome its stall 13 draw it could get back to winning ways.

Deputise NR 

Total on the day -1pt

3:10 Southwell Racing Tips (28th August)

SOUTHWELL 3.10 

5F Class-6 14-Runners

I can see 3 horses that might set the pace to this race and on this straight course the draw isn't too significant, 2 of the possible pacesetters are 3yo’s and would need to improve time wise to win this race but they are of an age when improvement can come without warning so never discount them but I will expect Mehmo 8/1 to set the pace and being my 3rd top rated it could at least do enough to make the frame and if allowed an easy lead it could be dangerous but I will as always stick with the proven, I cannot see anything to lay that I think will be a single figure price so I will stick with looking for the winner, Micks Spirit 14/1 is my 2nd top rated on overall figures but is actually my top rated on just 2023 ratings but it hasn't shown much in its last 5 races so would need to spring back to form to have a chance of winning this race. GOLDEN RAINBOW 20/1 (EW) comes out in 4th top spot using just 2023 ratings but has a rating from 2022 that would see it winning this race a shade cosily admittedly it hasnt been in great form this year but has been slow away or held up in most of those but if it gets away on terms here it could prove the stronger nearing the finish and is dropped in class to run in this race and will be carrying my money even though it does look to be the stables 2nd string and hopefully it will be an each way price. 

Each way beat Golden Rainbow 20/1

Rainbow Gold 28/1 7th -2pts

Total on the day -2pts 

SOUTHWELL 4.25 

6F Class-6 Div1 14-Runners.

There is five 3yo’s in this race which always muddies the waters, Congress has the best form of the quintet but the time was relatively slow when it won over course and distance last time out and this looks a tougher race and once again its a race where I don't think I can find anything of value to put forward as a lay bet. Autumn Flight 12/1 is one of the two known front running types in this race and is my top rated on just 2023 course and distance ratings so could possibly win this race, The Waiting Game 11/10 won when I backed it last time out being backed down from an early 9/1 price but that was at Chelmsford on the Polytrack surface and it did win very convincingly that day leading all the way, its other victory also came over the same course and distance, so if taking to this surface it could quite easily complete its hattrick but I expect it will be a fairly short priced favourite so not really a value bet, if Eldeyaar 16/1 can reproduce its best rating from Wolverhampton last year it would be winning this race with a little bit too spare. I think the winner will come from this trio so maybe dutching them will be the way forward in this race. 

Dutch The Waiting Game 11/10 + Autumn Flight 12/1 + Eldeyaar 16/1 with a win bet and 2 each way bets. 

(For ease, I do all dutch bets 1pt win singles. JC) 

The Waiting Game 1st 11/10 +1.1pt 

Eldeyaar 18/1 2nd -1pt 

Autumn Flight 20/1 9th -1pt 

Total -0.9pts

SOUTHWELL 5.00 

6F Class-6 14-Runners 

Up to seven 3yo’s in this race it might normally be a race to tread very carefully in but from what they have shown so far one of them would have to improve to win this race. Firstly, I will look to lay Blackcurrent 8/1 if its a single price as it struggles to stay the distance in a true run race which it might get here with Tathmeen 6/1 my 3rd top rated likely to lead here, as i cannot see a natural looking front running type in this race but it has led before, and if allowed an easy lead it ought to at least do enough to make the frame and might be worth at least a bet, *Deputise 3/1 comes out in 2nd top spot but is only 2lbs higher than the 3rd top rated on 2023 ratings and only 1lb higher using 2022 ratings which shows how close things are at the top of my ratings, it would be folly to ignore Jumira Bridge 20/1 who is my top rated overall and it recorded that rating this year at Wolverhampton and is the type of horse that can spring back to from without warning so this looks to be another race where dutching 3 runners might be the solution to the race but maybe the lay should be the priority in this race.

Lay Blackcurrent 8/1

Dutch: Tathmeen 6/1 + Jumira Bridge 20/1 with 2 win bets and an each way bet.

(For ease, I do all dutch bets 1pt win singles. JC) 

Jumira Bridge 14/1 9th -1pt 

Tathmeen 12/1 Unp -1pt 

Lay bet: Blackcurrent +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day: -1.9pts

2:35 Southwell Racing Tips (20th August)

SOUTHWELL 2.35

Div1 6F Class6 Stakes Race 10 Runners

Both legs of this race are poor with three 3yo’s that could improve without warning but are all forecast to be double figure prices so I couldn't back any of them, I'm not sure what will set the pace which is always a worry, Flavius Titus 5/1 and Wrath Of Hector 4/1 may need further so this race might not suit them but either of them could change their usual tactics and decide to set the pace and then there stamina could come into play so I certainly couldn't lay either of them, if there's a decent early pace then Blackcurrent might not stay the distance but I expect it to be a double figure price, Thegreatestshowman 9/2 is always capable of going well when in the mood but I doesn't represent any value at the price so i will be having a small bet on DEPUTISE 10/1, it can be held up or track the leaders which could be useful in this race, the trainer has a good record at this course and the horse is dropped in class from handicaps to these lower level stakes races. 

Back DEPUTISE 10/1

Deputise 10/1 1st +10pts

Total +10pts

 SOUTHWELL 3.05 

Div II 6F 9Runners

Once again no known front running types and also a trio of 3yo’s but none have shown enough to interest me in this race, the betting forecast makes it quite tight between the top 3 on the card although I'm not keen on Hot Scoop 6/1 and might look to lay it, Beast Of Burden 5/2 is my 2nd top rated but then there's only 2 horses that have recorded a rating recently but i will be backing COAST 10/3 who likes to track the leaders and is dropped slightly in class from handicaps here and I'm hoping that will be enough to rejuvenate it.

Back COAST 10/3 (NR) 

Lay HOT SCOOP 6/1 

Lay bet: Hot Scoop +1pt

Total +1pt

SOUTHWELL 5.10 

5F Class 6 13 Runners

First thing that grabbed my attention was that Shesadabber 5/2 has been forecast to be a shortish priced (9/4) favourite, it has won its last 2 races so is in tip top form but they were both on turf with good to soft ground, it hasn't won in 8 races on the AW tracks and has only made the frame in one of them and then its better form seems to be on the Polytrack surface so i will be looking to lay it, Under Curfew 13/2 also prefers the Polytrack surface so another to lay if its a single figure price. The bottom weight Birdie Bowers could set the pace to this race being my 2nd top rated horse and has finished in the frame in its last 2 races so could go well again here and might be worth an each way bet, Dalby Forest usually stays on at the finish over this distance and being my 4th top rated could make the frame if others falter while Brandy Station isn't one to discount too easily but my money will be riding on BLAZING HOT who indicated at a return to form when finishing 3rd last time out and is dropped in class to run here and most if not all of its wins have come at this level of racing. Ok so my original choice is now a non-runner which changes things and i will now be having a bet on BIRDIE BOWERS 7/1 who could now lead all the way as it has become my new top rated horse.

Back BIRDIE BOWERS 7/1 

Lay SHESADABBER 5/2 (NA)

Birdie Bowers 8/1 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +10pts

2:25 Lingfield Racing Tips (31st March)

LINGFIELD 2.25

A 12 runner race where I can see 3 horses that could lead but it looks likely that they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace. Toplight 11/2 might struggle to say the distance with the fast early pace so maybe one to lay, Viewfromthestars 11/2 my 4th top rated and Dark Design 7/1 my 3rd top rated are both versatile with their racing tactics and that includes leading so either could do enough to make the frame but neither are what I would call each way prices, Real Estate 12/1 sits in 2nd top spot and likes to track the leaders so could make the frame and maybe worth an each way wager if it stays at a double figure price nearing the off while my top rated horse DEPUTISE 18/1 can be held up or track the leaders it hasn't been in the best of form recently and it looks to have had excuses in most of those races but the switch of jockey looks a significant as his record is 3 wins from just 7 rides for the stable.

Deputise 25/1 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

SOUTHWELL 4.20

This class 4 dash has 6 front running types amongst the 14 entrants and it looks most likely it will be won from the front, *Justcallmepete 5/1 might prefer further so I will look to lay it, Bert Kibler 7/1 is my 3rd top rated and could do best of those coming from off the pace and if the leaders battle too hard and fade it could possibly win the race but I will hope that doesn't happen, Khabib 10/1 comes out in 2nd top spot and is in stall 2 while my top rated horse ANGLE LAND 4/1 is drawn in stall 13 and if this one gets to the front it ought to prove too hard to catch. 

*NR

Angle Land 9/2 2nd -1pt  

Total -1pt 

LINGFIELD 4.35

A field of 9 for this 5 furlong dash with 4 of the runners having been known to lead before so it should be a fast and furious race. Storm Melody 7/1 won last time out but might be outclassed as its never won at this level before but could still run a decent race so I will look to lay it but only for the win part, Man On A Mission 7/2 could do best of the rest coming from off the pace but looks too short in the betting for its actual chance of winning this race, The Defiant 12/1 is a front running type and could go well but hasn't been in good form recently so not sure what to expect, so I will be hoping the top weight PABLO DEL PUEBLO 9/2 can get to the front and prevail but this one also hasn't won at this level before but this does look the easiest class 5 race its ever ran in which is the reason why its the top weight.

Pablo Del Pueblo 9/2 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 6.20

I can see 2 front running types in this 11 runner dash in the shape of High Security and Murbih 9/2 who is my 4th top rated, I will look to lay Princess Karine 12/1 who may prefer further and its wins on Turf have come in slow run races if its a single figure price, Kraken Power 3/1 is my 3rd top rated and like the 2nd top rated Our Absent Friends 7/1 likes to track the leaders so they should ensure the pace is fast which could play into the hands of GOLDEN RAINBOW 12/1 (EW) and the jockey has a respectable 17% win ratio when riding for the stable and as usual at the price it has to be an each way bet.

Golden Rainbow 12/1 8th -2pts 

Total -2pts 

NEWCASTLE 8.20

A problem race with no known front running types so any stakes are automatically going to be lower than normal, Henry Hawk might be better over further so this race might not be run to suit it and might be worth laying if a single figure price, One Hart 9/2 is my 3rd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders but also might need further so this race might not suit it, Kapono 11/1 is capable of winning this race but hasn't been in good form lately and the apprentice jockey has a poorish 6% strike rate for the stable, I will take a punt on TATHMEEN 9/1 it is a hold up type but has got a better final kick than most of these so hopefully can get to the front in time but as I said it will only be for small stakes.

Tathmeen 11/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -6pts

7:45 Newcastle Racing Tips (14th March)

NEWCASTLE 7.45 

A class 6 sprint with 9 runners and a couple of known front running types although I think Two Summers only leads when nothing else wants to and it can then set its own slightly slower pace and wont be allowed that luxury here and might need this run for fitness. Storm Master may need further to shine and will be a lay if a single figure price, while the top weight Slainte may prefer a slower surface but if the surface is riding on the slow side then it could have a chance as the slower going is a great leveller so I have to hope the surface rides normal. DEPUTISE 8/1 is my top rated using a Wolverhampton rating from 2022 but hasn't won a race since 2018 which is off-putting but could get back to winning ways here but because of the amount of time since its last win it cannot be my sole bet in this race, MERRY SECRET 12/1 usually stays on at the business end of races over this distance and is 2nd top on my figures but this one might need this run for fitness as it usually needs a run or 2 to get fit again after a break, GUNNERSIDE 4/1 is only 3rd top but is the one i expect will set the pace to this race and I can see it leading all the way here and might well have been my sole bet and i might favour it stake wise when I place my bets.

Merry Secret 12/1 1st +12pts  

Gunnerside 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Deputise 20/1 6th -1pt 

Total +10pts

NEWCASTLE 8.15 

A full house of 14 for this class 4 sprint and theres 3, Royal Parade, Swayze and Westmorian, confirmed front running types amongst them and strangely i have them all marked down as horses I couldn't lay and might be hidden dangers so if you fancy any of the trio I wouldn't put you off backing it but to me it means my stakes will be kept to a minimum. Brazen Bolt 15/2 seems to need further to show its best and would be a lay if a single figure price near the off, The Green Man 11/2 won last time out at Kempton when the surface was riding slow so may have been flattered and would need to improve a good few spots on its best Tapeta rating from Southwell to win this race, Another Investment is my 4th top rated so might be worth a small each way bet, if of value to do so (you as an individual will have to decide what price you would want before backing each way). Fortamour runs as though further would suit it better so should be staying on strongly nearing the finish but maybe a little too late for the win but with a clear run it could make the frame. Straits Of Moyle sits in 2nd top spot and is usually held up in midfield or the rear of the field for a late run and its 4th place last time out might indicate a return to form but my money will be riding on BELLAGIO MAN 9/2 who won last time out 19 days ago and has been found a good opportunity to follow up in this race. 

Bellagio Man 8/1 8th -1pt 

Lay bet Brazen Bolt +1pt

Total 0pts

SOUTHWELL 8.30 

Class 6 race with 11 runners with both Whiteandblue and Cool Lightning (now a non-runner) liking to lead but I doubt either can win the race they might even struggle to make the frame but you can never say never especially if one of them is allowed an easy lead but if a single figure price I would look to lay them. Blackjack is my 4th top rated and usually likes to track the leaders, I've got 3 horses all with the same rating at the top of my list, MY BOY JACK 9/2 who can deploy any tactics apart from setting the pace and is in tip top form having won last time out 18 days ago but the top class jockey is 0-3 when riding for the stable, IRELAND'S EYE 10/1 moves to joint top spot courtesy of the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim and likes to track the leaders, AUTUMN ANGEL 7/2 also won last time out so again is in tip top form and this one also moves to co-top spot courtesy of the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim. How I am meant to split this trio I have no idea, there's nothing particularly weak or strong in their trainer/jockey stats so I will have to dutch the trio.

My Boy Jack 9/2 2nd -1pt

Ireland's Eye 10/1 3rd -1pt

Autumn Angel 7/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Whiteandblue +1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day +8pts

1:43 Lingfield Racing Tips (28th January)

LINGFIELD 1.43 

A class 6 sprint with 12 runners but just 1 known front running type in Bezza's Lad 4/1 but I doubt this one will lead all the way for the victory and if the others run to their best it wouldn't even make the frame and might be worth risking a lay on, if only things were ever that simple, Solar Prophet 8/1 and Thomas Equinas have both recorded good speed ratings but it looks like it was in races where they got towed along in a fast run affair and those times are looking like fluked times and both are maidens after 9 and 8 runs respectively so may be ones to lay if of value to do so, others that I have on my list as potential lays are Give A Little Back 11/2, *Mumayaz 5/1 and Desert Boots 8/1 who all race as though a longer distance would suit them better, Huddleton Lad is my 3rd top rated but hasn't been in good form lately and has never won over today's distance and I expect it will be an outsider, Bobby On The Beat 5/1 comes out in 2nd top spot on my figures and is usually held up or races in midfield before trying to stay on strongly at the finish but I will be backing *DEPUTISE 7/1 who I thought had every chance when it ran on Tuesday but was never put in the race to give it any chance so really did well to finish 4th, the change of jockey looks significant as he has a 43% win ratio when riding for this stable so lets hope that's a pointer to the connections expecting it to win this race.

*NR 

Lay bets Bezza's Lad -5.5pts, Solar Prophet +1pt, Desert Boots +1pts

Total -3.5pts 

LINGFIELD 2.18 

A jump up to class 4 and as very often happens a poor turnout of just 7 runners, I prefer 8 runners so there is 3 places up for grabs if I find an each way prospect, but hey ho it is what it is. Toussarak 10/1 will I think need this run for fitness, as it usually does after a break from racing so if a single figure price I would lay it, with 3 front running types this could be a fast run race which might see Stone Of Destiny 7/1 struggle to stay today's distance while The Green Man might need further to show its best but I don't think this one will be of value to lay. Impeach and Rattling should ensure the fast early gallop although I'm not sure either of them will be able to match TYGER BAY 2/1 in the early stages and if this one leads and sets the pace it ought to lead all the way for the victory, it has good trainer and jockey stats which is always a bonus and is dropped in class to on in this race and should be able to get back to winning ways in this race.

Tyger Bay 2/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Toussarak +1pt 

Total 0pts

Total on the day -3.5pts

6:30 Southwell Racing Tips (24th January)

SOUTHWELL 6.30 

A field of 9 for this class 6 sprint with a couple of known front running types, Crocodile Power 9/2 hasn't any form over this distance on an artificial surface and I think its better when racing over further so may not catch the leaders here and I will look to lay it if its value to do so, Triggered 3/1 will also be trying to stay on at the finish but another that might not get there in time for the win so maybe another possible lay, I think that Blackjack 6/1 prefers the Polytrack surface but I don't think it will be of value to lay and the same applies to Starter For Ten. Big Impact is my 2nd top rated on just course and distance ratings and also 2nd top on Tapeta ratings from elsewhere but is a possible pacesetter and has the coveted stall 1 draw but DELLA MARE 6/1 the other possible pacesetter is in stall 4 and is my top rated on just Southwell ratings and this one has good jockey stats, the top weight DEPUTISE 13/2 is my top rated on tapeta ratings from elsewhere but hasn't run here before but if taking to this course could have every chance of winning, it has good trainer and jockey stats so I will have to back both of them to cover the angles of both leaders and finishing types and also the different Tapeta course ratings. 

Deputise 9/1 4th -1pt 

Della Mare 6/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Crocodile Power +1pt, Triggered +1pt 

Total 0pts

SOUTHWELL 7.00 

A class 3 dash with just 7 runners but 4 of them have been known to lead before so it will be fast and furious but they might set the race up for something coming from off the pace as they battle for the lead and fade nearing the finish. I think Tolstoy 7/1 will try to stay on at the finish but maybe not fast enough to get the win and might be worth laying if value to do so. Vespasian hasn't any form over this distance and I'm not quite sure what to expect from it so couldn't back or lay it. Strong Johnson did win in Ireland but not sure what to expect from it here as I cannot compare form lines, May Sonic will probably be too big a price to lay but races as though further would suit it better. Murbih 12/1 might do best of the front running types but I'm hoping that this race will fall into the lap of HIYA MAITE 4/1 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger nearing the finish and has decent trainer/jockey stats.

Hiya Maite 4/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Tolstoy +1pt 

Total 0pts

Total on the day 0pts

5:45 Newcastle Racing Tips (2nd December)

NEWCASTLE 5.45 

A nine runner class two conditions five furlong dash where the early pace might well be set by Fine Wine 14/1 but time wise this one would need to improve a good few spots but never say never if allowed an easy lead. Art Power 9/4 is dropped in class to run in this race but its best form has come over 6 furlongs and if a short price might be worth the risk of taking it on with a lay bet, Logo Hunter 7/4 is also dropped in class here and won in a fast time on Polytrack but hasn't run on this Tapeta surface before so not 100% sure what to expect here but if taking to the surface if could go very well indeed and this pair are forecast to be the front two in the betting. The only other horse forecast to be a single figure price is TONE THE BARONE 10/1 (EW) who is my top rated and if fit enough to do itself justice after a break of 146 days looks at least the value call and it has won before when coming back from a break so I'm hoping it fires on all cylinders in this race and of course at the price it has to be an each way wager. 

Tone The Barone 20/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bet Art Power +1pt 

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 6.15 

A field of 13 for this sprint where both Count D’Orsay and Captains Bar have been known to lead if nothing else wanted to so I think the early pace will be set by Shallow Hal 9/2 but hasn't shown good form at this course since 2020, it won last time out at Chelmsford where it led but set a relatively slow pace but I don't think it will be allowed that luxury here so might be worth taking on if a short enough price, Pockley 7/1 ran well finishing 2nd 3 days ago and comes out 4th top rated in this race so could go well again here, Embour 4/1 who can be held up or track the leaders is my 3rd top rated but looks too short in the market, Ballyare 20/1 comes out in 2nd top spot but that's using a rating from 2021. My money will be riding on BELLAGIO MAN 5/1 who has been in the frame on all of its last 3 races winning one of them and has been found a good opportunity to add to its tally of wins in this race. 

Bellagio Man 10/1 3rd -1pt

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 6.45 Div I

A full house of 14 runners with the two at the top of the handicap having been known to lead before but I doubt either will prevail for the win. I will look to lay Al Suil Elle 5/1 who needs to improve time wise and might prefer a longer distance, Ischia is my 3rd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders and could make the frame and maybe an each way punt if a big price, at the bottom of the handicap is Kraken Power who is a hold up type and comes out 2nd top rated on my figures so could be another each way punt and I will also be taking a punt on DEPUTISE 7/1 (EW) who was a beaten favourite last time out and could remedy that here, it can be held up or track the leaders and its stall 12 draw is fine and the trainer has a 20% win ratio at this course but the stable hasn't been firing recently which is a little concerning but if an each way price all the better. 

Deputise 11/1 2nd +1.75pts 

Total +1.75pts

Total on the day -0.25pts

1:30 Lingfield Racing Tips (26th February)

LINGFIELD 1.30 

EXALTED ANGEL has won in this class of race before and using a 2021 speed figure it recorded at Wolverhampton last year it comes out as my top rated. 

LORD RIDDIFORD looks the one most likely to set the pace to this race but would need to improve time wise to hold on for the win and might be worth laying. 

MONDAMMEJ hasn't any distance form on this surface while its best from Wolverhampton would make it my 3rd top rated.

ONE NIGHT STAND races as though a longer distance would suit it better and I doubt it can pick up the leader but will probably be the outsider in this race. 

STRONG POWER has been running well lately winning its last 3 races and comes out 2nd top on my figures so could run well again here.

TONE THE BARONE is one that can usually be relied upon to do its best and is another that could run well in this race. 

SUMMARY: Only 6 runners with Lord Riddiford 3/1 the one that looks most likely to lead in this race but I might look to lay it as it needs to improve time wise to win this race, all of the runners apart from one have been running in class 2 handicaps and probably deserve the chance to compete at this level but I will stick with the proven and back the only one that's proven in this class so my money will be riding on EXALTED ANGEL 3/1 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and does have good trainer/jockey stats. 

Exalted Angel 3/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Lord Riddiford +1pt

Total 0pts

LINGFIELD 3.10 

Another 6 runner race in class 2 this time and to be honest I'm not sure what to make of this race, I've got Soldiers Minute as my 4th top rated on a 2022 speed figure, Fizzy Feet a possible pacesetter as my 3rd top rated again using a 2022 rating, Crimson Sand comes out in 2nd top spot using a 2021 speed figure with Marks Bear in top spot again using a 2021 rating but it is very close between them and the other pair, If You Dare another possible front runner and Asadjumerah I have marked down as possible hidden dangers so I'm going to leave this race alone. 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.45 

To be honest this isn't a good race for a class 4 affair but at least Night Narcissus 6/1 will make sure there's a decent early pace but being my 4th top rated I doubt it can hold on for the win but could make the frame so maybe lay the win part is the way to go I think I can add Annie Rose 7/1 to my lay list as I think its better on the Polytrack surface, of the others Camerata, Pacifico and Sky Storm are lightly raced sorts and could be capable of improvement but I'm hoping its not in this race, ARAMIS GREY 11/2 is my 2nd top rated and its versatile with its racing tactics and that does include leading and as its drawn in stall 1 I think it will be ridden from the front and if it does get to the front it could be very hard to catch if it reproduces its best and I only have one horse INEVITABLE OUTCOME higher so I will be backing them both to cover the angles. 

Aramis Grey 11/2 4th -1pt 

Inevitable Outcome 15/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Night Narcissus -3.33pts, Annie Rose +1pt 

Total -4.33pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.15 

Back down to class 6 here with 3 known front running types in the race but none of them are in my top 4 rated so it looks something coming from off the pace will win this race, I have a couple that I could look to lay but the betting will as usual make the final decision, Porfin 9/2 may find this distance stretches its stamina with a fast early pace and with 3 front running types it should be fast run so one to lay along with Miss Bella Brand 8/1 who might not really like this Tapeta surface, Al Asef will be running on and comes out 4th best on my figures using Wolverhampton or Newcastle ratings and 2nd best when using a recent Southwell speed figure so could make the frame, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses firstly Red Alert 6/1 who could do enough to make the frame if it runs to its best but isn't what I consider an each way price, the other joint 2nd top rated is STEELRIVER 14/1 (EW) who is also my top rated on Southwell ratings, its usually held up for a late run and the booked jockey, Jamie Spencer is a master riding from off the pace and coming with a late rattle so will be carrying some of my money in an each way wager, the rest will be riding on DEPUTISE 3/1 who ran a good race in a fast time when finishing 2nd this year and has been found a chance to get back to winning ways.

Deputise 7/2 6th -1pt 

Steelriver 18/1 9th -2pts 

Lay bets: Porfin +1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -6.33pts