A class 2 sprint with 9 runners and 2 known front running types in Street Kid 9/2 and River Pride 8/1, the former races as though further would suit it better but its best from which comes from Ireland on this Polytrack surface wouldn't be good enough to win this race while the latter hasn't raced over this course and distance before so not sure what to expect from it. Tyger Bay 4/1 has been running well carrying a low weights in handicaps and its mainly been in class 3 races so this step up in class might be too much for it also on recent form both Silkie Wilkie 3/1 and Tadreeb 7/1 are weighted to reverse that previous form in this race. I will be siding with TOLSTOY 7/1 in this race as it has won before at this class of race but this is its first run on this course but the trainer has a decent 18% win ratio at this course and a repeat of its best rating from Chelmsford last year, 2022, would be good enough to see winning this race
Tolstoy 12/1 7th -1pt
Total -1pt
LINGFIELD 2.55
Down in class and down in runners for this stakes race and of the 8 runners I have found negatives against half of them, so if any of the bottom 4 in this race are a single figure price they might be of value to lay as most of them, Master Sully 10/3, Secret Stripper and Youllovemewheniwin 4/1 all appear to need further to show their best form while Swooper looks likely to be the big outsider in the field. I have only got 1lb between my 4th to 2nd top rated horses with Hot Hot Hot and Iconicdaay on the same rating with Elf Rising rated one 1lb higher in 2nd top spot but the top weighted horse TOPLIGHT 7/4 is rated a good few spots higher and if reproducing its best course and distance rating from 2022 then i would be winning this race with quite a bit to spare and the jockey has a 25% strike rate when riding the stables older horses.
Toplight 7/4 2nd -1pt
Lay bets Master Sully -3pts, Youlovemewheniwin +1pt
Total -3pts
Total on the day -4pts
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