1:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (14th January)

LINGFIELD 1.45 

A class 2 sprint with 9 runners and 2 known front running types in Street Kid 9/2 and River Pride 8/1, the former races as though further would suit it better but its best from which comes from Ireland on this Polytrack surface wouldn't be good enough to win this race while the latter hasn't raced over this course and distance before so not sure what to expect from it. Tyger Bay 4/1 has been running well carrying a low weights in handicaps and its mainly been in class 3 races so this step up in class might be too much for it also on recent form both Silkie Wilkie 3/1 and Tadreeb 7/1 are weighted to reverse that previous form in this race. I will be siding with TOLSTOY 7/1 in this race as it has won before at this class of race but this is its first run on this course but the trainer has a decent 18% win ratio at this course and a repeat of its best rating from Chelmsford last year, 2022, would be good enough to see winning this race 

Tolstoy 12/1 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

LINGFIELD 2.55 

Down in class and down in runners for this stakes race and of the 8 runners I have found negatives against half of them, so if any of the bottom 4 in this race are a single figure price they might be of value to lay as most of them, Master Sully 10/3, Secret Stripper and Youllovemewheniwin 4/1 all appear to need further to show their best form while Swooper looks likely to be the big outsider in the field. I have only got 1lb between my 4th to 2nd top rated horses with Hot Hot Hot and Iconicdaay on the same rating with Elf Rising rated one 1lb higher in 2nd top spot but the top weighted horse TOPLIGHT 7/4 is rated a good few spots higher and if reproducing its best course and distance rating from 2022 then i would be winning this race with quite a bit to spare and the jockey has a 25% strike rate when riding the stables older horses.

Toplight 7/4 2nd -1pt 

Lay bets Master Sully -3pts, Youlovemewheniwin +1pt

Total -3pts

Total on the day -4pts

6:30 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (3rd December)

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.30 

A class 6 sprint with 13 runners but just the one known front runner, Port Noir if a single figure price would be a lay as it looks a better prospect when racing on the Polytrack surface, I can see 5 other horses that appear to have virtually no hope but I expect them to be outsiders in the betting. PORTELET BAY in stall 5 could be the one to set the pace to this race and is my 2nd top rated at either here or Newcastle so could possibly steal this race from the front while RED ALERT is the one that's top rated but both of them have been in poor form recently which is off-putting. The top weighted WEE FAT MAC 6/1 is my top rated just using Southwell ratings but hasn't run at this course before but could go well if taking to it and might be the one to concentrate on but I will look to dutch all 3 of them and hopefully they will be all be of value to place an each way punt on. 

Red Alert 16/1 3rd -1pt 

Wee Fat Mac 6/1 4th -1pt

Portelet Bay 17/2 8th -1pt

Lay bet Poir Noir +-1pt

Total -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 Div I

This is the first division of a low class stakes race where the highest official rating is 52 or below, Arzaak seems to prefer the Polytrack surface while Black Box 6/1 may need further and I would lay them if single figure prices. Nacho and The Gloaming are just outside my top 3 ratings so will need to improve unless others falter. TOPLIGHT 6/1 is well handicapped as it was rated 58 last time it won and racing off a rating of 49 in this race it finished 2nd 2 runs ago but was pushed too far back last time out and didn't really get into the race so could go well here. Moveonup is a front running type and has the stall 1 draw also is my top rated using Southwell times but is held on recent form by EMBLA 7/1 who won last time out and has been found a decent opportunity to follow up here. 

Toplight 61 1st +6pts

Embla 7/1 5th -1pt

Total +5pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00 Div II

This looks the weaker of the 2 divisions and certainly wont take much winning. Alyas Gold Award and Liberty Bay both race as though further would suit them better so might be worth laying if a single figure price. Hot Hot Hot, Nellie French, San Juan and Thegreyvtrain could all run decent races and battle for the minor offers especially the latter, in stall 6, who is one of only two known front running types in this race but this one could need the run for fitness. I think the other front running type BERNARD SPEIRPOINT 6/5 who has the stall 1 draw so it should be able to gain control from the off and get back to winning ways. 

Bernard Speirpoint 6/5 1st + 1.2pts

Total + +1.2pts

Total on the day +4pts

4:10 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (27th December)

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.10 

BOBBY ON THE BEAT hasn't any form at this distance on this surface and might need further to show its true form so could be a lay bet at 6/1.

BLAZING HOT a versatile type who can lead but maybe not over this distance and has a better rating over a shorter distance and might be worth taking on at 5/2.

CLOSING BELL this 3yo has poor recent form but has faded over 7 furlongs so this drop in distance might suit it.

DARING GUEST it would need to improve on its best rating which was recorded back in 2019 so may be worth laying with a small stake at 8/1. 

TOMSHALFBROTHER has a rating from last year which would make it my second top rated but has been a bit below that level this year. 

YOU'RE COOL a possible front runner in stall 3 but has only slow times this year and its best from 2020 would make it my 3rd top rated so maybe a small each way punt at 25/1.

BARRINGTON another possible front runner in stall 4, it hasn't any c/d form and only a poor rating from Newcastle so maybe this surface doesn't suit it so maybe worth a small lay at 8/1.

SIR HECTOR is top rated using a time recorded in January this year and its hasn't run over this c/d since then and has been known to bounce back to form without prior warning.

DAYSAQ time wise this one would need to improve as its only 5th best on my figures and this might not be its favoured surface. 

FROSTED ANGEL a 3yo who has only shown relatively poor recent form and it would be a shock if this one won and it looks poor value at 15/2.

WON LOVE a 3yo who has only shown relatively poor recent form and it would be a shock if this one won MR PC a 3yo who has only shown relatively poor recent form and it would be a shock if this one won.

COMETH THE MAN a 3yo who has only shown relatively poor recent form and it would be a shock if this one won.

SUMMARY: There should be a decent early pace but I am hoping a front running type wont be able to stay in front the whole way and it doesn't look like a race to be betting too heavily in but i will be hoping that SIR HECTOR 20/1 (EW) can spring a surprise, it is my top rated and has been known to get back to winning ways without warning, its had 13 runs since its last run here all on the Polytrack surface so I'm hoping the switch back to the Tapeta surface will see it spring back to form and will hopefully be worth an each way punt. 

Sir Hector 25/1 1st +31.25pts

Lay bet Bobby On The Beat +1pt

Total +32.25pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.40 

ALEEF would need to improve time wise and races as though further might see it in a better light but it think will be an outsider. 

SMOKEY comes out joint 3rd top rated using a time it recorded this year and might be worth an each way interest. 

TOPLIGHT is a 3yo that won last time out and has been found a good opportunity as it is my 2nd top rated using its most recent race. 

TRUSTY RUSTY its best time doesn't see it it my top four ratings and can be held up or track the leaders but might not catch the pacesetters so maybe worth laying at 5/1. 

JUMIRA BRIDGE is my top rated using a rating it recorded earlier this year but hasn't been in great form in its recent runs.

PORFIN is in very good form winning its last 2 races but it might be a better horse over six furlongs and could get outpaced at this distance so maybe worth a lay at 4/1. 

Q TWENTY BOY looks a horse that needs a longer distance to show its best form and time wise would need to improve and maybe worth laying at 9/2. 

BARE GRILLS one of two known front runners in this race and it comes out joint 3rd top on my ratings so might be hard to peg back for most of these. 

MAY THE SIXTH is the second known front running type but it isn't in my top four ratings but I expect it will be an outsider.

NAGASAKI DREAM is a 3yo who is held by Toplight and it might be a better prospect over further and might be worth taking on here if a single figure price.

AMAZING AMAYA has only slow ratings over this distance both here and at Newcastle so maybe its not its favourite surface. 

SUMMARY: I'm hoping that Bare Grills will set the pace to this race and could do enough to make the frame but I will be backing two runners,TOPLIGHT 5/1 a 3yo who won last time out and could follow up here and would have been my sole bet but I do have *JUMIRA BRIDGE 20/1 rated 3lbs higher, it hasn't been in good form lately but is one that can bounce back to form without warning so I cannot let it run without a bet at a big price.

Lay bets must be priced 9/1 and less sp

*NR

Top Flight 8/1 2nd -1pt

Lay bets Trusty Rusty +1pt, Porfin +1pt, Q Twenty Boy +1pt 

Total on the day +34.25pts

2:40 Haydock Racing Tips (25th September)

HAYDOCK 2.40 

WOW what a competitive looking class 2 dash, I can only see Premier Power as a possible lay bet in this race, Mountain Peak is one of two known front running types in this race and comes out 4th best on my figures so could run well and maybe even make the frame,Jawwaal is my 3rd top rated and only 2lbs below the pair who are my top rated, Mondammej is one of the joint top rated horses but drops to 2nd best when I take off the 5lb the apprentice claims riding COPPER KNIGHT 9/2 who is also the other known front runner and if getting to the front here it could be hard to catch. 

Copper Knight 9/2 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet: Premier Power +1pt 

Total 0pts 

HAYDOCK 3.15 

Another nice looking race and class 3 this time, I think the early pace will be set by Al Simmo but it would need to improve to hold on for the win, Call Me Ginger who has won its last 3 races comes out 3rd top on my figures and maybe the handicapper has caught up with it, there is only 2lbs between my top rated pair and I will be backing both of them, NEVER DARK 8/1 and SECOND COLLECTION 12/1 as to be honest I cannot split them and both look good value at their prices with there being just seven runners. 

Second Collection 16/1 4th -1pt 

Never Dark 8/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts

RIPON 3.30 

A field of 12 for this race with a couple of front runners of whom Machree may go best but I doubt it can hold on for the win and I might well lay the other possible leader, Raydmoor who might have been flattered when winning a slow run race last time out, James Watt, Nibras Again and Deputise could all go well but I will be splitting my stake between COLEY'S KOKO 9/2 who is my 2nd top rated but only 1lb below ATLYAH 7/1 in top spot, the former is usually held up for a late run while the latter likes to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely nearing the finish. 

Coley's Koko 7/1 Unp -1pt 

Atlyah 12/1 Unp -1pt 

Total -2pts

RIPON 4.05 

As usual with an eight runner race I hope they all take part so there is 3 places available for an each way bet, it is a good looking class 2 race where I cannot see anything that I could dismiss its chances and lay it, Bossipop may do best of the two known front runners in the race as it comes out 4th best on my figures and could even stay on well enough to sneak a palace especially if others falter, Thegreatestshowman is sitting in 3rd top spot but the trainer is 0-10 in the last 2 weeks, Manigordo is my 2nd best rated horse and is usually seen staying on at the finish over this distance and could make the frame but it hasn't been in good form lately, my money will be riding on BOWMAN 10/1 (EW) who recorded a fast time at Carlisle and a repeat would see it winning a touch cosily.

Bowman 10/1 8th -2pts

Total -2pts

RIPON 5.50 

Only 6 runners where the top pair, Nearly A Gonna and Ustath, look the likely pacesetters and the latter could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead and the former might have been flattered when it won 2 runs ago at Nottingham, Hurstwood comes out 2nd best using a time from way back in 2019, my money will be riding on SINGE ANGLAIS 13/8 who is from a stable in decent form in the last two weeks and it will be held up for a late run. 

Singe Anglais 9/4 1st +2.25pts

Total +2.25pts

CHELMSFORD 7.30 

A class 4 race, 10 runners and 2 known front running types equals a true run affair, I would look to lay Seas Of Elzaam who should be staying on at the finish but maybe too late to catch the leaders, Garth Rockett has a good time from 2020 which would give it a good chance of winning but the jockey booking, 0-18, makes me think it will be aimed at a future race, I did have TOUSSARAK 7/1 and NIGEL NOTT 5/1 level on my ratings but the former has a 3lb claiming apprentice on board and the latter has a 5lb claiming apprentice, so just 2lbs between them but as the latter is the one I think might set the early pace and could prove hard to catch but just in case I will back them both to cover the angles. 

Nigel Nott 5/1 4th -1pt 

Toussarak 7/1 UR -1pt 

Lay bet: Seas Of Elzaam +1pt

Total -1pt

CHELMSFORD 8.30 

Only 7 runners but 3 of them are known as front runners and five of them are 3yo’s so my stakes are already going to be low, I think *Iesha may need further and may be worth laying despite the fact this race might be run to suit its racing style, I think JORVIK PRINCE 9/1 should lead and then prove hard to catch and if reproducing its best time from 2020 would hold on for the win but its time from 2021 would give TOPLIGHT 9/2 a chance to pick it up in the closing stages and I will be backing them both.

*NR

Jorvik Prince 9/1 2nd -1pt 

Toplight 5/1 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -6.75pts