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Monday 23 January 2023

6:30 Southwell Racing Tips (24th January)


A field of 9 for this class 6 sprint with a couple of known front running types, Crocodile Power 9/2 hasn't any form over this distance on an artificial surface and I think its better when racing over further so may not catch the leaders here and I will look to lay it if its value to do so, Triggered 3/1 will also be trying to stay on at the finish but another that might not get there in time for the win so maybe another possible lay, I think that Blackjack 6/1 prefers the Polytrack surface but I don't think it will be of value to lay and the same applies to Starter For Ten. Big Impact is my 2nd top rated on just course and distance ratings and also 2nd top on Tapeta ratings from elsewhere but is a possible pacesetter and has the coveted stall 1 draw but DELLA MARE 6/1 the other possible pacesetter is in stall 4 and is my top rated on just Southwell ratings and this one has good jockey stats, the top weight DEPUTISE 13/2 is my top rated on tapeta ratings from elsewhere but hasn't run here before but if taking to this course could have every chance of winning, it has good trainer and jockey stats so I will have to back both of them to cover the angles of both leaders and finishing types and also the different Tapeta course ratings. 

Deputise 9/1 4th -1pt 
Della Mare 6/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Crocodile Power +1pt, Triggered +1pt 

Total 0pts


A class 3 dash with just 7 runners but 4 of them have been known to lead before so it will be fast and furious but they might set the race up for something coming from off the pace as they battle for the lead and fade nearing the finish. I think Tolstoy 7/1 will try to stay on at the finish but maybe not fast enough to get the win and might be worth laying if value to do so. Vespasian hasn't any form over this distance and I'm not quite sure what to expect from it so couldn't back or lay it. Strong Johnson did win in Ireland but not sure what to expect from it here as I cannot compare form lines, May Sonic will probably be too big a price to lay but races as though further would suit it better. Murbih 12/1 might do best of the front running types but I'm hoping that this race will fall into the lap of HIYA MAITE 4/1 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger nearing the finish and has decent trainer/jockey stats.

Hiya Maite 4/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Tolstoy +1pt 

Total 0pts

Total on the day 0pts

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