2:00 Southwell Racing Tips (13th June)

SOUTHWELL 2.00 

5F Class 6 14 Runners This doesn't happen very often in a minimum distance dash with just one known front running type amongst them. Captain Corcoran is full octane it's like visiting an online casino wearing steel-toed boots with angel wings glued to your back. He happens to be my 3rd top rated horse so if it runs to its best a lot of these wont be able to get into the race and it could even do enough to pinch this race from the front plus the stable is in good form with a 2-7 record in the last two weeks. The 3yo Loveliest could be capable of improvement but it was a slow run race when it finished 2nd last time out so might have been flattered by that result and might be worth laying if of value to do so, I think anything else that I could confidently lay will be bigger prices and represent no value to lay. Tantastic is my 2nd top rated using a rating recorded at Newcastle last year but on course and distance ratings only it drops to 3rd top spot and with the jockeys 0-7 record when riding for this stable so I will be leaving this one alone as visit https://www.bestusacasinosites.com/mobile-casinos/. When taking into account the apprentice jockeys 7lb claim my top rated is The Tron who got outsmarted by Captain Corcoran last year and it could happen again here but if it races more prominently this time it might be able to pick up the leader nearing the finish but I will be backing them both to cover the angles. 

Bet: THE TRON 8/1 3rd -1pt, Each Way Bet: CAPTAIN CORCORAN 25/1 Unp -2pts 

Lay: LOVELIEST 13/2 N/A

Total on the day -3pts

2:05 Southwell Racing Tips (8th May)

SOUTHWELL 2.05 

Just 7 runners for this class 6 dash over the straight 5 furlong course on the Tapeta surface where the early pace might be set by Dapper Man 2/1 and/or Thegreatestshowman 11/1 but I doubt that either of them can hold on for the win, I actually doubt they will make the frame unless one of them is allowed an easy lead but I would look to lay both of them if of value to lay, Show Me A Sunset will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late to win this race as it would need to improve time wise to even make the frame but very often when a fancied horse cannot win the race it stops being ridden out and something unexpected then makes the frame. I've got Primo and Apache Star as my joint 3rd top rated horses and the former might be better suited to a longer distance race. Snow Berry who usually likes to track the leaders is my 2nd top rated horse so could go well here but if THE TRON 8/1 can reproduce its best rating recorded over this course and distance four runs ago it would win this race a shade cosily. 

The Tron 8/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bets: The Dapper Man -2pts

Total -3pts 

NEWCASTLE 7.40 

A field of 9 for this class 6 dash with a couple of known front running types, Another Angel 5/4 is one of them but in this race it only comes out in 3rd top spot but did win very easily just the other day so cannot be ignored but I wouldn't back it at such a short price as I think it represents poor value. I'm not sure if the drop in trip will suit Stallone 13/2 but has faded over 6 furlongs so it might suit it but it could also get outpaced here so not sure whether I would lay it or not, I will be hoping that ROCKLEY POINT 9/1 (EW) can either lead or at least pester Another Angel for the lead and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and at the price it might be best to have an each way bet. 

Rockley Point 9/1 3rd +1.8pts

Total +0.8pts 

NEWCASTLE 8.45 

A full complement of 14 for this class 6 sprint where I can see 3 natural front running types and one other that can lead but doesn't need to so it should be a fast early pace, I'm not sure if there is anything at a value price to lay in this race, I have 5 or more marked down as having virtually no chance but I expect they will all be double figure priced horses. Hilary's Boy is my 4th top rated but hasn't been in good form lately which is enough to put me off siding with this one, I've got BAYRAAT 8/1 (EW) marked down as my top rated but the trainer has had 33 runners over the last 231 days without having a winner which is a little off-putting and I could confidently back it as a sole selection, my 2nd top rated horse is TATHMEEN 10/1 (EW) and this horse is more than capable of winning a race like this one and this is the horse that I said could lead but doesn't need to to win a race so I was going to back the 2 selections but then I noticed my 3rd top rated ELDEYAAR 20/1 (EW) is from the same stable and this is one of the more natural front running types and when i checked the jockey stats I saw that the jockey Ray Dawson has had three rides for the stable and has won on two of them so I couldn't back the stables other runner without also backing this one so I will be having an each way bet on all 3 of them at the prices available. 

Tathmeen 12/1 6th -2pts

Bayraat 11/1 8th -2pt 

Eldyaar 20/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -6pts 

Total on the day -8.2pts

5:00 Southwell Racing Tips (28th February)

SOUTHWELL 5.00 

An eleven runner stakes dash with 2 known front running types in Blackcurrent and Another Angel and maybe the latter will do best of this pair as its my 3rd top rated so many other runners may not be able to get competitive in this race. I'm not sure if there will be anything of value to lay here, Stroxx has had 38 runs to date with 17 of them being on an artificial surface, it has made the frame on 7 occasions but hasn't won a race but has run well most of the time recently but this trip is maybe a little bit too short for it was beaten a length last time out by THE TRON 7/2 and at level weights again I cannot see any reason why this one shouldn't follow up here and win again. 

The Tron 7/2 1st +3.5pts

Total +3.5pts

SOUTHWELL 8.00 Div I

I can see Della Mare 7/1 setting the pace in this 12 runner class 6 sprint but will need to improve a few spots to hold on for the win but being my 5th top rated it could do enough from the front to make the frame, both Twentysharesofgrey 15/2 and Tricky Business 8/1 run as though further would suit them better and might be worth laying if a single figure price at the off. Gunnerside 4/1 won over this distance but in a slow time but not sure if it was a slow run race or the surface was riding on the slow side so I couldn't back this one nor lay it. Using a Newcastle rating Elisheva comes out in 4th top spot while using a Wolverhampton rating Fristel sits in 3rd top spot so both could go well if taking to this surface and any improvement for the switch could make them very dangerous. Hilary's Boy is either held up in midfield or at the back of the field and comes with a late run and could feasibly make the frame being my 2nd top rated using a course and distance rating from last year, my money will be riding on GISELLES IZZY 4/1 who is another that usually races in midfield before staying on the stronger at the finish and it recorded its best rating this year which shows its in good form. 

Giselles Izzy 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

SOUTHWELL 8.30 Div II

This is the slightly better division and this time I can see 2 known pacesetters although I doubt Ustath could lead all the way for the victory in this race, I'm not sure there's anything I could put forward as a worthwhile lay that's going to be of value to lay. Deputise 4/1 is my 4th top rated using a recent course and distance rating and could make the frame but I doubt it will be an each way price. My Boy Jack 7/2 and Billian 8/1 finished first and second when they met on their last run at Wolverhampton and using those ratings the former comes out in top spot again but both of them haven't produced their best tapeta ratings at this course so I'm not convinced they can reproduce their best here so I will go with BIG IMPACT 15/2 who is the other known front running type and I think it could lead all the way in this race, its my top rated on just course and distance ratings so I'm hoping its enough to get it back to winning ways.

Big Impact 15/2 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +1.5pts