5:00 Southwell Racing Tips (28th February)

SOUTHWELL 5.00 

An eleven runner stakes dash with 2 known front running types in Blackcurrent and Another Angel and maybe the latter will do best of this pair as its my 3rd top rated so many other runners may not be able to get competitive in this race. I'm not sure if there will be anything of value to lay here, Stroxx has had 38 runs to date with 17 of them being on an artificial surface, it has made the frame on 7 occasions but hasn't won a race but has run well most of the time recently but this trip is maybe a little bit too short for it was beaten a length last time out by THE TRON 7/2 and at level weights again I cannot see any reason why this one shouldn't follow up here and win again. 

The Tron 7/2 1st +3.5pts

Total +3.5pts

SOUTHWELL 8.00 Div I

I can see Della Mare 7/1 setting the pace in this 12 runner class 6 sprint but will need to improve a few spots to hold on for the win but being my 5th top rated it could do enough from the front to make the frame, both Twentysharesofgrey 15/2 and Tricky Business 8/1 run as though further would suit them better and might be worth laying if a single figure price at the off. Gunnerside 4/1 won over this distance but in a slow time but not sure if it was a slow run race or the surface was riding on the slow side so I couldn't back this one nor lay it. Using a Newcastle rating Elisheva comes out in 4th top spot while using a Wolverhampton rating Fristel sits in 3rd top spot so both could go well if taking to this surface and any improvement for the switch could make them very dangerous. Hilary's Boy is either held up in midfield or at the back of the field and comes with a late run and could feasibly make the frame being my 2nd top rated using a course and distance rating from last year, my money will be riding on GISELLES IZZY 4/1 who is another that usually races in midfield before staying on the stronger at the finish and it recorded its best rating this year which shows its in good form. 

Giselles Izzy 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

SOUTHWELL 8.30 Div II

This is the slightly better division and this time I can see 2 known pacesetters although I doubt Ustath could lead all the way for the victory in this race, I'm not sure there's anything I could put forward as a worthwhile lay that's going to be of value to lay. Deputise 4/1 is my 4th top rated using a recent course and distance rating and could make the frame but I doubt it will be an each way price. My Boy Jack 7/2 and Billian 8/1 finished first and second when they met on their last run at Wolverhampton and using those ratings the former comes out in top spot again but both of them haven't produced their best tapeta ratings at this course so I'm not convinced they can reproduce their best here so I will go with BIG IMPACT 15/2 who is the other known front running type and I think it could lead all the way in this race, its my top rated on just course and distance ratings so I'm hoping its enough to get it back to winning ways.

Big Impact 15/2 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +1.5pts

8:15 Southwell Racing Tips (17th February)

SOUTHWELL 8.15 

A full house of fourteen in this class six sprint with four known front running types amongst them and this race could well be won from the front as my two top rated horses both like to lead. I will look to lay both *Privilege and Marwari if a single figure price as they can struggle to stay this distance when there's a fast early pace whilst Magicinthemaking races as though further suits it better so is added to my list of possible lays. Jack Ryan who can be held up or track the leaders is my fourth top rated horse and could get a good tow into the race being drawn in stall nine with two known fast starters in the two stalls just on its inside and it is only one pound behind Giselles Izzy who sits in third top spot and this one usually likes to race in midfield before trying to stay on at the finish. BRAZEN ARROW 12/1 is my top rated using a Wolverhampton rating from last year but the stable hasn't had a winner for nearly one hundred and fifty days although they have only had forty five runners during that time spell, it does have the coveted stall one draw which is a bonus and would probably have been my sole bet in this race if the stable had been in better form so I will also be backing BIG IMPACT 25/1 who is my second top rated using a course and distance rating recorded last year but its been nearly fifty days since this stable had a winner but I'm hoping one of them can lead all the way for the victory. 

*NR

Big Impact 25/1 5th -1pt 

Brazen Arrow 12/1 9th -1pt 

Lay bets Marwari +1pt  

Total on the day -1pt

4:25 Wolverhampton racing Tips (18th January)

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.25 

JUPITER EXPRESS hasn't any form over this distance on the Tapeta surface, has been known to lead if nothing else wants to take on the role. 

SILVER DOLLAR is my 3rd top rated and usually runs in midfield or held up for a late run so could make the frame in this weak sprint. 

BIG IMPACT this is the one I expect will set the pace to the race and as its my top rated I'm hoping it can lead from start to finish. 

KENSINGTON AGENT is 0-6 on an artificial surface and races as though further would suit it better and didn't register a rating on its sole course and distance run. 

FRISTEL has never won over this distance and has only shown poor form and will be an outsider in this race.

MAY REMAIN is my 2nd top rated horse but can struggle to stay this distance if there's a fast early pace but in this weak race it could make the frame but has been in poor form recently. 

SAPPHIRES MOON another one that I expect will be an outsider as it has never won over this distance and hasn't shown any worthwhile form.

ALYAS GOLD AWARD the 3rd horse in this race with no form worthy of further analysis and its not proven over today's distance so will be an outsider. 

SUMMARY: This is such a poor race even for a class 6 affair it sure wont take much winning, I could look to lay Kensington Agent 11/2 who might have been flattered by its 2nd place finish last time out over a furlong further as I think it might need further than today's trip to show its best form. May Remain might be worth looking into as an each way punt but only if its value to do so but my money will be riding on BIG IMPACT 6/1 who I am hoping will lead and then keep any challengers at bay and the apprentice jockey does have a reasonable 17% win ratio when riding the stables older horses. 

Big Impact 10/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Kensington Agent -4pts

Total -5pts 

Total on the day -5pts

1:00 Brighton Racing Tips (13th July)

BRIGHTON 1.00 

A 5 runner race with 2 known front running types, Wiley Post (even money) is forecast to be the six to five favourite but I will look to lay this one as it doesn't seem to appreciate fast good to firm ground and might have been flattered when it won its last race which was a slow run affair so might get outpaced here, T Maxie and Haveoneyerself are my joint 3rd top rated with the latter being one of the known front running types in the race, the 11yo Shamshon can still run a decent race but without winning lately so I will be backing VANDAD 4/1 who could set the pace to the race and if getting to the front should prove hard to catch. 

Vandad 4/1 1st +4pts 

Lay bet Wiley Post +1pt 

Total +5pts

CATTERICK 4.05 

Just 5 runners again here with Abate 11/8 looking the most likely leader but it would want to set a slightly slower pace than usual to ensure it stayed the distance but I think it will be collared inside the final furlong so maybe worth laying especially if its the six to five price forecast on the early tissue prices, Oso Rapide is my 4th top rated just 2lbs below Embour in 3rd top spot but they are a few spots behind Natural Path in 2nd top spot which leaves me with the horse I will be backing the 3yo BAY BREEZE 11/2 who seems to love the good to firm ground and usually tracks the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish. 

Bay Breeze 11/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Abate -1pt 

Total 0pts

LINGFIELD (AW) 8.30 

Wow the biggest field of the day of the sprints I'm interested in, either/or Stay Smart and Bowling Russian could set the pace to this race and the latter could do best of them being my 3rd top rated, the two 3yo’s Libertus 4/1 and Thisismydream 6/1 both run as though further would suit them better but the likely fast early pace here might suit them so I couldn't lay either of the confidently, I will look to lay Porfin 10/3 who is a better horse over shorter distances, I will be taking a bit of a punt in this race by siding with BIG IMPACT 6/1 who is returning after a break of over 270 days so might be ring rusty but if able to reproduce its best rating from Chelmsford last year it would be winning this race a shade cosily, maybe the betting will be the best guide so I will wait until I've seen the betting.

Big Impact 6/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Porfin +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day +6pts