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Wednesday 3 May 2023

6:15 Chelmsford Racing Tips (4th May)


Only 7 runners for this race and I wonder if Jumira Bridge 15/2 will run after winning on Tuesday when recording a good rating on the Tapeta surface but hasn't been near that rating on this surface so not sure what to expect so I couldn't back or lay it. Almovodar Del Rio 8/1 may prefer a longer distance and one I will look to lay if its a single figure price, while Forca Brasil 10/3 hasn't shown much of merit time wise so might be another one to lay but am I missing something with this horse as a didn't expect it to be the favourite. Its fairly close between Company Minx and Epic Express in 3rd and 2nd top positions,my money will be riding on ARAIFJAN 6/1 who is my top rated and might be the one to set the pace to the race and if allowed to do so it could prove too hard to catch and lead all the way for the victory. 

Araifjan 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bets: Almovodar Del Rio +1pt, Forca Brasil +1pt 

Total +1pt 


Another 7 runner race and this time I can see 3 horses that have been known to lead before so it could be fast and furious for its class, I think Melly's Flyer 11/4 who is one of the front running trio I have mentioned, it is better on the Tapeta surface, it did win last time out which is in its favour but I will look to lay it on this Polytrack surface. Impeach another possible pacesetter is my 4th top rated so could go well from the front, Cashew 20/1 sits in 3rd top spot and is usually held up for a late run but may finish too late here to catch the leader but is way too big a price to be of value to lay, Bobby On The Beat 7/2 also won last time out but it has never won at this class 4 level so might get outclassed in this race but once again we know its in good form and that does count for a lot but might be worth laying if of value to do so, my money in this race will be riding on RECON MISSION 5/1 who is my top rated using a rating recorded in 2021 but did record a good rating at Wolverhampton last year which makes me think its capable of repeating its previous best and being the 3rd front running type in this race if it does get to the front then it could prove very hard to catch. 

Recon Mission 9/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bets: Bobby On The Beat +1pt 

Total 0pts


Down to just 6 runners for this class 6 dash with 2 known front running types but one of them Grandfathertom 11/2 might prefer the Tapeta surface as its best rating for a long time was recorded at Southwell last time out where I think it got towed along in a fast run race and that rating might prove to be a bit of a fluke result and I would look to lay it. Perfect Symphony 11/2 may be better when racing over a longer distance so might not be able to catch the leaders in this race so might be another worth laying if a short enough price nearer the off, I've got Therehegoes 9/4 marked down as a front running type and is my 2nd top rated so this one could be hard to catch but I do have SUANNI 9/1 rated higher and the apprentice jockeys 7lb allowance will help its cause and it usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger nearing the finish and the trainer does have a decent win ratio at this course.

Suanni 9/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet bet: Grandfathertom -2.75pts 

Total -3.75pt

Total on the day -2.75pts

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