5:30 Newcastle Racing Tips (30th June)

PLEASE NOTE TODAY'S SPRINTS ARE NOT RACES TO BE BETTING IN TOO HEAVILY SO KEEP STAKES TO A MINIMUM LEVEL. 

NEWCASTLE 5.30 

5F Class 5 14 Runners Little Muddy has had 1 previous run on an artificial surface it was at this course but over 7 furlongs, it has won twice this year from its 4 runs on turf so I'm not sure whether to back this one or not, Blazing Hot is my top rated using a Southwell rating so might be worth an each way interest, Run This Way and Elzaal will both be trying to run on nearing the finish and either could make the frame, Murbih is one of 3 front runners I can find in this race and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch. This isn't a race I will be betting very heavily in but I might go with backing both MURBIH 33/1 (EW) and BLAZING HOT 20/1 (EW) especially if they are double figure prices and then they will be each way bets.

Blazing Hot 50/1 Unp -2pts 

Murbih 40/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -4pts

NEWCASTLE 6.00 

5F Class 2 14 Runners I can see 4 front running types and it might be a race to win from the front, Mondammej keeps running well without winning and seems in the grip of the official handicapper so I'm not sure it can win this race but it did run well last time out on turf recording a fastish time and did run in better company last year, I'm not sure I can pinpoint anything worthwhile laying, Korker is making its debut on an artificial surface and if able to reproduce its best turf rating it would win this race a shade cosily but does sometimes hamper itself but being slowly away but this stiff course could help its cause, Fine Wine in stall 2 and Bedford Flyer in stall 12 are both front running types and my joint 2nd top rated so either of them could win the race from the front with probably the latter fancied more because of the high number draw bias. I might go with dutching KORKER 17/2, FINE WINE 13/2 and BEDFORD FLYER 15/2 to small stakes. 

Korker 10/1 2nd -1pt 

Fine Wine 12/1 3rd -1pt 

Bedford Flyer 15/2 Unp -1pt 

Total -3pts 

NEWCASTLE 8.52 

6F Class 6 14 Runners I can find 3 possible pacesetters in this race, Eldeyaar who doesn't seem to like this tough straight course maybe without a bend they go too fast for it so one to lay if of value to do so, Fantasy Navigator who hasn't shown much form wise lately and this surface might not be its favoured one, and Muddy Lynn who hasn't run before on an artificial surface, so I doubt the race will be won from the front. I will look to lay Enderman who is 0-11 on the AW tracks and Impressor who can struggle to stay the distance when there's a fast early pace. Yazaman and Dream Together could run well here being my joint 3rd top rated horses, Laertes hasn't run on this surface before but if it is capable of reproducing its Chelmsford rating it would win this race cosily so will be carrying some of my money as will Angel Amadea who is my top rated on just this surface ratings. Its not a race to be getting too heavily involved in and whether it will be best to go with a lay bet or a win bet in this race I'm not sure maybe the betting will help me make that decision..... I might go with backing both LAERTES 10/1 (EW) and ANGEL AMADEA 16/1 (EW) to small stakes and if they are each way prices then all the better as it is a hard race to analyse properly.

Angel Amadea 16/1 Unp -2pts 

Laertes 10/1 Unp -2pts

Total -4pts 

Total on the day 11pts

PS:- REMEMBER ALL 3 SPRINTS TODAY HAVE BEEN VERY HARD TO ANALYSE TO A CONFIDENT CONCLUSION SO KEEP STAKES TO A MINIMUM

6:15 Newcastle Racing Tips (18th March)

NEWCASTLE 6.15 

Its a shame there isn't 8 runners so an each way bet would be of value to place but its a race where I will look to lay The Cola Kid 3/1 who might be better over further so will probably stay on too late to win this race also Truth In Jest 15/2 we have another one that usually needs at least one run to gain fitness, I will be backing *CAPLA SPIRIT 7/2 who ran well when finishing 2nd 3 days ago and being brought out this quickly makes me think they expect it to win and is my top rated on Southwell ratings and a figure it recorded at Wolverhampton last year. 

*NR

Lay bet The Cola Kid +1pt

Total +1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

I think the bottom weight Coolagh Magic (NON_RUNNER) may find itself outclassed after being moved up a level despite not winning its last race plus it might need further, there is 3 known front running types so there should be a decently fast early pace but I think they might be setting it up something coming from off the pace although La Roca Del Fuego a front runner comes out top rated using its best rating from Chelmsford and its only run over this c/d resulted in a much lower rating but with the stable being out of form it might be looking towards a future target back on the Polytrack surface, Cuban Breeze another possible front runner comes out 3rd best on my figures but I will be investing my money on SERAPHINITE 5/1 who is usually held up in the rear or midfield and then stays on strongly at the finish and the make-up of this race could suit its racing style down to a tee and it has good trainer/jockey stats. 

Seraphinite 9/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 8.15

I think 3 runners in this race that are running to gain fitness for a campaign on the flat, Blissful Song will I think be a big outsider and not of value to lay but maybe the other 2 Mews House 6/1 and Mister Bluebird 7/2 will be single figure prices and then I will look to lay them, James Watt (NON_RUNNER) is my 4th top rated but hasn't shown much lately and likely to be an outsider, Gowanlad has the best rating from Southwell but that is very limited data and is only 3rd top using other Tapeta speed figures, Khabib is one of 3 known front running types in this race and this one is my 2nd top rated so could do best of that trio but i will be putting my faith and money on BLAZING HOT 4/1 who has 2 wins and 2 placed efforts from its 5 races this year.

Blazing Hot 5/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt