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Showing posts with label Korker. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Korker. Show all posts

Thursday, 29 June 2023

5:30 Newcastle Racing Tips (30th June)

PLEASE NOTE TODAY'S SPRINTS ARE NOT RACES TO BE BETTING IN TOO HEAVILY SO KEEP STAKES TO A MINIMUM LEVEL. 

NEWCASTLE 5.30 

5F Class 5 14 Runners Little Muddy has had 1 previous run on an artificial surface it was at this course but over 7 furlongs, it has won twice this year from its 4 runs on turf so I'm not sure whether to back this one or not, Blazing Hot is my top rated using a Southwell rating so might be worth an each way interest, Run This Way and Elzaal will both be trying to run on nearing the finish and either could make the frame, Murbih is one of 3 front runners I can find in this race and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch. This isn't a race I will be betting very heavily in but I might go with backing both MURBIH 33/1 (EW) and BLAZING HOT 20/1 (EW) especially if they are double figure prices and then they will be each way bets.

Blazing Hot 50/1 Unp -2pts 
Murbih 40/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -4pts

NEWCASTLE 6.00 

5F Class 2 14 Runners I can see 4 front running types and it might be a race to win from the front, Mondammej keeps running well without winning and seems in the grip of the official handicapper so I'm not sure it can win this race but it did run well last time out on turf recording a fastish time and did run in better company last year, I'm not sure I can pinpoint anything worthwhile laying, Korker is making its debut on an artificial surface and if able to reproduce its best turf rating it would win this race a shade cosily but does sometimes hamper itself but being slowly away but this stiff course could help its cause, Fine Wine in stall 2 and Bedford Flyer in stall 12 are both front running types and my joint 2nd top rated so either of them could win the race from the front with probably the latter fancied more because of the high number draw bias. I might go with dutching KORKER 17/2, FINE WINE 13/2 and BEDFORD FLYER 15/2 to small stakes. 

Korker 10/1 2nd -1pt 
Fine Wine 12/1 3rd -1pt 
Bedford Flyer 15/2 Unp -1pt 

Total -3pts 


NEWCASTLE 8.52 

6F Class 6 14 Runners I can find 3 possible pacesetters in this race, Eldeyaar who doesn't seem to like this tough straight course maybe without a bend they go too fast for it so one to lay if of value to do so, Fantasy Navigator who hasn't shown much form wise lately and this surface might not be its favoured one, and Muddy Lynn who hasn't run before on an artificial surface, so I doubt the race will be won from the front. I will look to lay Enderman who is 0-11 on the AW tracks and Impressor who can struggle to stay the distance when there's a fast early pace. Yazaman and Dream Together could run well here being my joint 3rd top rated horses, Laertes hasn't run on this surface before but if it is capable of reproducing its Chelmsford rating it would win this race cosily so will be carrying some of my money as will Angel Amadea who is my top rated on just this surface ratings. Its not a race to be getting too heavily involved in and whether it will be best to go with a lay bet or a win bet in this race I'm not sure maybe the betting will help me make that decision..... I might go with backing both LAERTES 10/1 (EW) and ANGEL AMADEA 16/1 (EW) to small stakes and if they are each way prices then all the better as it is a hard race to analyse properly.

Angel Amadea 16/1 Unp -2pts 
Laertes 10/1 Unp -2pts

Total -4pts 

Total on the day 11pts

PS:- REMEMBER ALL 3 SPRINTS TODAY HAVE BEEN VERY HARD TO ANALYSE TO A CONFIDENT CONCLUSION SO KEEP STAKES TO A MINIMUM

Friday, 9 June 2023

1:15 Haydock Racing Tips (10th June)

I'm sorry but I've bought a new laptop and somewhere or somehow I've lost all my stuff stored in my word documents, its nothing crucial apart from losing Saturdays blogs so the 3 sprints will be given a lot differently and a lot shorter than usual. 

HAYDOCK 1.15 

5F Listed class There's 4 known front running types and the 3yo Prince Of Pillo 6/1 could be the one to set the pace but it might need this run for fitness, Regional 9/2 might prefer a longer trip to show its absolute best and might be worth a small lay bet. Raasel is my 3rd top rated using a rating recorded in 2021 but hasn't been near that level since then and the same can apply to my 2nd top rated horse Mondammej. My money will be riding on KORKER 9/1 (EW) - who I call jackpot town after so many memorable wins - usually races in midfield or at the rear of the field before staying on strongly at the finish and with 4 front running types it could be the fast paced race this one likes to aim at and maybe an each way wager will pay dividends. 

Korker 9/1 6th -2pt 

Lay bet: Regional -5pts 

Total -7pts

HAYDOCK 1.50 

6F Class 3 A big field of 14 for this sprint with just Mr Wagyu 10/3 known as a front running type and could do enough to make the frame but I'm not sure it can win this race but being the top weighted horse in theory it is the class horse in the race but I couldn't back it at such a short price. One I will look to lay is All The Kings Men 9/2 who may be better over further and finishes too late to win unlike when I visit https://www.bestcasinositesonline.com/real-money-casinos/. IIllusionist can struggle to stay this distance if there's a fast early pace but a 2021 rating makes it my 4th top rated. Music Society comes out 3rd best again using a 2021 rating and usually stays on at the business end over this distance, Lucky Man 14/1 is my 2nd top rated and is usually held up in the rear or in midfield before running on strongly at the finish and might be worth an each way wager while EMPEROR SPIRIT 16/1 (EW) is my top rated using a 2022 rating and has an even higher one from 2021 and it usually likes to track the leaders before staying on the stronger nearing the finish and at the price it has to be done as an each way wager. 

Emperor Spirit 16/1 2nd +2.2pts  

Lay bet: All The King's Men +1pt 

Total +3.2pts

CATTERICK 4.30 

5F Class 4 I hope all 8 runners take part so I can go with an each way bet in this dash, the main problem is that there is no known front running type in this race although at least half the field do like to track the leaders so I expect there will be a decent gallop over the minimum distance here. Muscika 9/1 and Mid Winster 5/1 both race as though further would suit them better so this race might not be run to suit them so might be worth laying if of value to do so. Ready Freddie Go is my 3rd top rated on overall figures and 2nd top on recent, 2022/23, ratings so could make the frame and might be worth an each way interest, Live In The Moment 13/8 comes out 2nd best using a 2021 rating but its best since then has been way way below that level so looks poor value in my eyes and might be worth risking with a lay bet. My money will be riding on LEODIS DREAM 11/1 (EW) who likes to track the leaders so can cover any tactical move in the race and if able to reproduce its best rating recorded at Haydock last year it would win this race with a bit to spare but the lack of known early pace does mean my stakes wont be at full strength but I think an each way wager ought to pay dividends.

Leodis Dream 12/1 7th -2pts 

Lay bet Mid Minster +1pt, Live In The Moment +1pt 

Total 0pts

Total on the day -3.8pts