6:15 Newcastle Racing Tips (18th March)

NEWCASTLE 6.15 

Its a shame there isn't 8 runners so an each way bet would be of value to place but its a race where I will look to lay The Cola Kid 3/1 who might be better over further so will probably stay on too late to win this race also Truth In Jest 15/2 we have another one that usually needs at least one run to gain fitness, I will be backing *CAPLA SPIRIT 7/2 who ran well when finishing 2nd 3 days ago and being brought out this quickly makes me think they expect it to win and is my top rated on Southwell ratings and a figure it recorded at Wolverhampton last year. 

*NR

Lay bet The Cola Kid +1pt

Total +1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

I think the bottom weight Coolagh Magic (NON_RUNNER) may find itself outclassed after being moved up a level despite not winning its last race plus it might need further, there is 3 known front running types so there should be a decently fast early pace but I think they might be setting it up something coming from off the pace although La Roca Del Fuego a front runner comes out top rated using its best rating from Chelmsford and its only run over this c/d resulted in a much lower rating but with the stable being out of form it might be looking towards a future target back on the Polytrack surface, Cuban Breeze another possible front runner comes out 3rd best on my figures but I will be investing my money on SERAPHINITE 5/1 who is usually held up in the rear or midfield and then stays on strongly at the finish and the make-up of this race could suit its racing style down to a tee and it has good trainer/jockey stats. 

Seraphinite 9/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 8.15

I think 3 runners in this race that are running to gain fitness for a campaign on the flat, Blissful Song will I think be a big outsider and not of value to lay but maybe the other 2 Mews House 6/1 and Mister Bluebird 7/2 will be single figure prices and then I will look to lay them, James Watt (NON_RUNNER) is my 4th top rated but hasn't shown much lately and likely to be an outsider, Gowanlad has the best rating from Southwell but that is very limited data and is only 3rd top using other Tapeta speed figures, Khabib is one of 3 known front running types in this race and this one is my 2nd top rated so could do best of that trio but i will be putting my faith and money on BLAZING HOT 4/1 who has 2 wins and 2 placed efforts from its 5 races this year.

Blazing Hot 5/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt

1:35 Sandown Racing Tips (12th June)

SANDOWN 1.35 

I will look to lay both Phoenix Star 11/2 and Vandad 11/1 if they are single figure prices, the former seems to want a longer trip to show its best while the latter has poor trainer/jockey stats and seems a weak finisher over both sprint distances, Shecandoo 8/1 has been running well but my be outclassed in this race but i doubt it will be a single figure price at the off, Secretfact 12/1 seems to be on a downward spiral time wise each year and as an 8yo I doubt it will bounce back to its best of 2019, Saaheq 13/2 doesn't want the ground to be rattling but this ones best time from 2019 would put it in the mix but the trainer has a poor record here with their older horses of one win from thirty four races, Royal Birth 14/1 could go well here but its another that I've gone back to 2019 to find its best form, they are all capable on their day but can they bounce back to form is the question so I will place my faith on SERAPHINITE 15/2 who likes to track the leaders and is my top rated on recent, 2020/21, times and the jockey has a 25% win ratio on the stables older horses so I'm hoping that's a positive omen. 

Seraphinite 15/2 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

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CHESTER 2.10

I can see 3 front running types in this 14 runner race but I am not a fan of betting at this course, Turanga Leela 8/1 and Glory Fighter 9/2 could set the pace and the former could do enough from the front to make the frame but they are both a bit short in the betting to be of value in my opinion, Brian The Snail 10/1 could go well but stall 3 isn't of any help for a hold up type unless the rails have the cutback nearing the finish, Second Collection 14/1 is my top rated on a time from Windsor last year but its out in stall 12 which could be a hindrance and the trainer is 0-16 here and the jockey is 0-12 for the stable, so my money will be on SIR MAXIMILLIAN 11/2 who from stall 4 could sit just behind the leaders waiting to pounce at the business end of the race. 

Sir Maximillian 10/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

YORK 5.25 

A field of 20 here so very very hard to be sure what will happen concerning the draw, I think/hope those drawn high may have the advantage and will be betting accordingly, Mr Wagu 8/1 has been in tremendous form lately and could try to set the pace here but this is a step up in class so I'm not sure its up to winning this race but I do expect it to go well and could at least make the frame so I will have a covering bet on this one just in case it is improving enough to handle this higher class race, there isn't anything of value that I can find to lay in this race as they are all double figure prices so no lays but I will be having a small each way wager on SOUL SEEKER 16/1 who usually tracks the leaders and then stay on at the finish, it has good jockey stats and also a stall 17 draw might be advantageous so at the price it looks the value call. 

Soul Seeker 18/1 6th -1pt

Total -1pt

LEICESTER 8.45 

Only 7 runners but 4 of them have been known to lead, I will look to lay Cool Spirit 2/1 who may need further to show its best and looks poor value at the price so worth taking the risk of laying it, it has been known to lead but in longer distance races so it might get outpaced in the early stages of this race, Davids Beauty could do best of the front runners and will be hard to pass once hitting the front but with only 2 places its not worth going each way, my money will be riding on KATHERINE PLACE 13/2 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly in the final stages of the race so this race could be ideal for it.

Katherine Place 13/2 3rd -1pt 

Total on the day -4pts