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Showing posts with label Desert Doctor. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Desert Doctor. Show all posts

Tuesday, 3 November 2020

2:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (4th November)


LINGFIELD 2.00 

In this race I could lay one or two but they are not of value but I would lay Chitra if not priced higher than 6/1, Sword Exceed is 2nd top rated on just 2020 c/d times and 3rd top overall plus it is versatile with its racing tactics so could make the frame at a big price, Buy Me Back and Brunels Boy could attempt to set the early pace and the former is my 4th top overall, Lilklan has a time from Chelmsford this year which would make it my 2nd top rated but the top weighted LITTLE BROWN TROUT 6/1 comes out top overall and on this years c/d times and the apprentices 5lb claim could swing things in its favour. 

Little Brown Trout 6/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

LINGFIELD 2.30 

Only 9 runners in this dash but 5 of them have been known to lead before and there is not very much between my top 5 ratings, in fact just 4lbs, Watchable has a its best time from this year and could do best of those coming from off the pace, others that could go well are Just Glamorous and Leodis Dream but my top 2 ratings are both front runners and there is only 1lb between TOP BREEZE 3/1 stall 2 and ROYAL BIRTH 18/1 stall 1 but the former has a 5lb claiming apprentice which then makes it my top rated, both jockeys have good records riding for the stables so I think they could battle in out for the duration of the race and I cannot split them so will back them both and the latter with an each way wager. 

Royal Birth 10/1 (+1pt)
Top Breeze 3/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total: 0pts

KEMPTON 6.20 

In this field of 12 I can see 2 that like to lead, Beyond Equal has the stall 2 draw so could gain control on the rail but is only my 5th top rated but only 5lbs below 2nd top spot so could go well, Moonraker is 4th top but hasn't shown much lately, Dulas is the other possible pacesetter but its best time to make it my 3rd top rated is taken from Chelmsford, in 2nd top spot I've got EL HOMBRE 13/2 but this ones best time was recorded this year over this c/d so has to be considered because my top rated ROCK SOUND 7/2 recorded its best time last year also at Chelmsford and hasn't run here before but could win if taking to this course which is right-handed. 

Rock Sound 7/2 4th (-1pt)
El Hombre 14/1 6th (-1pt) 

Total: -2pts 

KEMPTON 6.50 

I cannot see anything of value to lay in this race and Wild Edric might get things to itself at the front in the early stages and it is my 4th top rated so not many should get involved but I doubt it can do enough to hold on for the win, Embour hasnt shown much lately but is my joint 2nd top rated using a 2019 c/d time, Soldiers Minute is my top rated but only by a solitary lb but once again its using a 2019 time, DESERT DOCTOR 7/2 is joint 2nd top rated and this ones best time was recorded this year which is always a positive it also has good trainer/jockeys stats making me think connections are expecting it to follow up from its win last time out.

Desert Doctor 9/2 4th (-1pt)

Total: -1pt 

Total on the day: -4pts

Saturday, 7 March 2020

2:10 Wolverhampton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (7th March)



WOLVERHAMPTON 2.10 

What a cracking looking race but what a minefield to try and analyse to a conclusion, I can only find (Katheefa) to lay in this race, I will concentrate on 3 horses, Wasntexpectingthat is in cracking form, this is a big step up in class but I wouldn't be surprised to see this improving 4yo run well again here, Treacherous is another in cracking form but this one is also taking a step up in class and both of them deserve the chance to see how they fare at this level but my money will be riding on DESERT DOCTOR 11/2 who looks the class act in the field and has a good set of trainer/jockey stats. 

Desert Doctor 11/2 3rd 

Lay bets: Katheefa (+1pt) 

Total 0pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.30 

Only 6 runners but not a bad race for the class, I will look to lay both (Stopdworldnletmeof + Cool Strutter) Green Door my 4th top-rated and Something Lucky my joint 2nd top-rated have both been known to lead before so they should ensure there's a fast early pace which will suit the horse I will be backing, the other joint 2nd top-rated is Zapper Cass who likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish but STEELRIVER 5/4 can be held up or track the leaders and as long as the early pace is fast enough it will be staying on resolutely at the finish and if they fade at the front it will pounce late on to get back to winning ways but the price doesn't give any value. 

Steelriver 11/8 1st 

Lay bets: Stopdworldnletmeof (+1pt) Cool Strutter (+1pt) 

Total +3.375pts

CHELMSFORD 5.55

Another race where I will start off by laying a couple of the runners, (Molaaheth + Lalania) im not sure what to expect fromSpirited Guest who hasnt any form over this c/d but has stayed on strongly over five furlongs, I might have added Rock Boy Grey to my list of the potential winner but the jockeys 0-30 is enough to put me off, I will be dutching 3 in this race and they all have good trainer stats making me think they are all expecting big runs in this race HUMAN NATURE 9/1 has been known to lead before and has the prime stall 1 draw to help it cause and its best time from 2018 makes it 2nd best overall but only 1lb from top spot, FANTASTIC FLYER 6/4 is 2nd best on just 2019/20 c/d times and the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim will help its cause but isnt a value bet at the odds, the one that comes out top rated on 2019/20 c/d times is ULTIMATE AVENUE 7/1 who should be staying on strongly at the finish but may need a degree of luck from stall 9 to obtain a clear run.

Human Nature 9/1 2nd
Ultimate Avenue 7/1 3rd
Fantastic Flyer 11/4 4th 

Lay bets: Molaaheth (+1pt) Lalania (+1pt) 

Total -1pt

Total on day +2.375pts