2:10 Wolverhampton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (7th March)

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.10 

What a cracking looking race but what a minefield to try and analyse to a conclusion, I can only find (Katheefa) to lay in this race, I will concentrate on 3 horses, Wasntexpectingthat is in cracking form, this is a big step up in class but I wouldn't be surprised to see this improving 4yo run well again here, Treacherous is another in cracking form but this one is also taking a step up in class and both of them deserve the chance to see how they fare at this level but my money will be riding on DESERT DOCTOR 11/2 who looks the class act in the field and has a good set of trainer/jockey stats. 

Desert Doctor 11/2 3rd 

Lay bets: Katheefa (+1pt) 

Total 0pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.30 

Only 6 runners but not a bad race for the class, I will look to lay both (Stopdworldnletmeof + Cool Strutter) Green Door my 4th top-rated and Something Lucky my joint 2nd top-rated have both been known to lead before so they should ensure there's a fast early pace which will suit the horse I will be backing, the other joint 2nd top-rated is Zapper Cass who likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish but STEELRIVER 5/4 can be held up or track the leaders and as long as the early pace is fast enough it will be staying on resolutely at the finish and if they fade at the front it will pounce late on to get back to winning ways but the price doesn't give any value. 

Steelriver 11/8 1st 

Lay bets: Stopdworldnletmeof (+1pt) Cool Strutter (+1pt) 

Total +3.375pts

CHELMSFORD 5.55

Another race where I will start off by laying a couple of the runners, (Molaaheth + Lalania) im not sure what to expect fromSpirited Guest who hasnt any form over this c/d but has stayed on strongly over five furlongs, I might have added Rock Boy Grey to my list of the potential winner but the jockeys 0-30 is enough to put me off, I will be dutching 3 in this race and they all have good trainer stats making me think they are all expecting big runs in this race HUMAN NATURE 9/1 has been known to lead before and has the prime stall 1 draw to help it cause and its best time from 2018 makes it 2nd best overall but only 1lb from top spot, FANTASTIC FLYER 6/4 is 2nd best on just 2019/20 c/d times and the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim will help its cause but isnt a value bet at the odds, the one that comes out top rated on 2019/20 c/d times is ULTIMATE AVENUE 7/1 who should be staying on strongly at the finish but may need a degree of luck from stall 9 to obtain a clear run.

Human Nature 9/1 2nd
Ultimate Avenue 7/1 3rd
Fantastic Flyer 11/4 4th 

Lay bets: Molaaheth (+1pt) Lalania (+1pt) 

Total -1pt

Total on day +2.375pts

7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips & Lay Bets (27th February)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

A strange race where I have got negatives against 6 of the 8 runners but only 2 I would look to lay (Pink Flamingo + Peggie Sue) Mythical Spirit has good trainer/jockey stats but hasnt showed much in just 2 runs in 2019 and 2020, Kaths Lustre won last time out but is raised in class here and would need to improve further to win this race if others run to their best, I will be backing 2 runners in this race firstly its WITH CAUTION 16/1 who is the only known frontrunner in the race and if allowed to dictate from the front could prove hard to catch and it does have good trainer/jockey stats to make me think they are expecting a big run and at the price, there is no way I can let it run without some money on it and could be a nice each way bet as long as all 8 runners take part but secondly if FANTASTIC FLYER 3/1 who won last time out runs to its best repeats its fastest c/d time it could follow up in this race and the stable does have decent trainer/jockey stats with their older horses. 

Fantastic Flyer 3/1 1st 
With Caution 25/1 unp 

Lay bets: Pink Flamingo (+1pt) Peggies Sue (+1pt) 

Total +4pts 

CHELMSFORD 7.30

I thought the first sprint was a strange race this one is twice as bad, I can find a couple I would look to lay, (*Gunmaker 13/2 + Upavon 7/1) GRIGGY 11/4 has been in good form lately so cannot be discarded lightly, usually stall 9 would be enough to put me off the chances of AQUARIUS 12/1 but it is the only known frontrunning type in the race although BERNIES BOY 11/1 in stall 8 is a versatile type with its racing tactics and that does include leading but usually, it's only if nothing else wants to set the pace, this is only a class 6 race but MAID MILLIE 7/2 who won last time out was racing in a class 7 affair and not guaranteed to be as good now its back up in class. I think the winner will come from the 4 mentioned and maybe I will be able to dutch the 4 of them but maybe the best way forward is to win the race by just doing the lays.

Griggy 11/4 1st + Tri £76.73
Maid Millie 7/2 2nd 
Bernies Boy 11/1 3rd 
Aquarius 16/1 5th

Lay bets Upavon (+1pt) 

Total +0.75pts

Total on Day +4.75pts

2:00 Southwell Racing Tips & Lay Bets (7th February)

SOUTHWELL 2.00 

The bottom four in the handicap hasn’t shown anything worthwhile and would normally be lays but two of them are 3yo which can improve without warning and this race will not take much winning, Eesha Says is my 3rd top-rated and the most likely pacesetter in the race so could go well if allowed an easy lead, Amazing Amaya is in 2nd top spot but I will have a small bet on SAMBUCCA SPIRIT 2/1 hoping it can break its AW duck at the 4th attempt after finishing 2nd twice in 2 of its 3 previous goes but I have to say I hate backing favourites mainly because they represent poor value.

Sambucca Spirit 15/2 6th 

Total -1pt

SOUTHWELL 3.40

Only 6 runners where I can lay (Top Boy + Grayboy) both Six Strings and Sandridge Lad need to improve timewise to win this race but I cannot split GLOBAL MELODY 6/1 and AL SUIT ELLE 5/1 as there is only 2lbs between them on my figures and there's nothing in the trainer/jockey stats to point me to one or the other so I will be backing them both. 

Global Melody 14/1 3rd 
Al Suit Elle 5/1 5th 

Lay bets: Top Boy (+1pt) Grayboy (+1pt) 

Total 0

CHELMSFORD 6.15

This looks and is a competitive affair where I can only find (Tone The Bartone) to lay and I will be dutching 3 of the 8 runners, ROUNDABOUT MAGIC 5/2 is the top-rated using just 2019/20 c/d times, SOMETHING LUCKY 5/1 is 2nd top on just 2019/20 c/d times but has a time from 2018 that would move it to 2nd top overall, *EQUALLY FAST 7/2 hasn't any form at this course but its best time from Lingfield this year would make it top-rated overall, my stakes won't be at full strength in such a tricky race and the prices don't represent much value but I do my work two days in advance so I don't know the prices and let it influence my analysis. 

Roundabout Magic 6/1 6th 
Something Lucky 5/1 2nd 

Lay bets: Tone The Bartone (- 2pts)

*NR 

Total -4pts 

CHELMSFORD 7.15 

There is nothing in this race I can put up as a lay although I am not sure what to expect from the topweight Irene May who hasn't run at this course before but could possibly find this surface plenty fast enough compared to its best speed figure from Wolverhampton, nearly every other horse in the race has some chance of making the frame, Kath's Lustre is my 2nd top-rated taking into account the apprentice jockeys 7lb claim, Alicia Darcy is my original 2nd top-rated on a Lingfield time with only one poor run at this c/d to its name, my money will be riding on my top-rated FANTASTIC FLYER 9/1 who is moved even further clear with its apprentice jockey taking 5lbs off its back and has a good win ratio for this stable. 

Fantastic Flyer 9/1 1st 

Total +9pts

CHELMSFORD 7.45 

Div 1 Not too bad for a class 6 affair of the 12 runners I will look to lay (Black Isle Boy + Krazy Paving + *Caso Do Lago + Compton Abbey) Bahamian Heights would be on my list of potential winners on its best time from 2017 which would make it 2nd top-rated but has been well out of form lately, the topweight Broughton Excels has good trainer/jockey stats and is my 4th top-rated so could go well here but no value at 7/4, Spennys Lass is my 3rd top-rated but is on a losing run of 25 which isn't in its favour, I will be having a bet in this race but my stakes will be kept on the low side but I am taking a punt in hoping that DREAMBOAT ANNIE 16/1 attempts to make all the running as it has done before and at the price I have to have a bet on it. 

Dreamboat Annie 20/1 7th 

Lay bets: Krazy Paving (-7pts) Black Isle Boy (+1pt) Compton Abbey (+1pt) 

*NR 

Total -6pts 

CHELMSFORD 8.15  

Div 2 In this 2nd division, I will look to lay (Under Curfew + Jorvik Prince + Ghost Buy + Indian Affair) Englishman who won its last race is my 3rd top-rated and itis on a c/d time from 2019, sitting in 2nd top spot I have got Kyllukey but this ones losing streak has just reached double figures but it is the type of horse that can bounce back to form without warning the same can be said about the one I will back in the race, INVISIBLE STORM 6/1 is on a losing run of 15 but its 4th place finish on its last run I am hoping is a sign that its ready to get back to winning ways. 

Invisible Storm 8/1 Unp (-1pt) 

Lay bets: Under Curfew (+1pt) Jorvik Prince (+1pt) Ghost Buy (+1pt) Indian Affair (+1pt)

Total +3pts

Total on Day +1pt 

7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (26th October)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

TOMMY TAYLOR hasn't any form on the AW but is quite versatile with its racing tactics and is well housed in stall 2 if it decides to try and lead.

RESTLESS ROSE this one comes out 2nd top-rated on my c/d speed figures for 2019 and still 3rd top overall, it usually likes to track the leaders.

YOU'RE COOL has only slow times over this c/d in recent times it is what I would call a natural frontrunning type.

PROMOTE this 3yo has a fast time but it was recorded on the Tapeta surface at Newcastle but it would make it top-rated overall, different course and bends to negotiate here.

SWISS KNIGHT hasn't any course and distance form to its name and I'm not really sure what to expect from it but it does have the best draw.

ALFIE SOLOMONS has 1 slow run race over this c/d to its name and has proved versatile with its tactics but I think this might be too far in a fast run race. SPIRIT OF MAY looks like the 2nd natural frontrunning type in the race but timewise isn't in my top 4 but its best time was recorded this year which is a positive.

FANTASTIC FLYER is my top-rated over this course and distance times and it was recorded this year which is a positive.

GOOD LUCK FOX hasn't any AW form to its name and from what I can see it might be better off when dropped back to 5 furlongs.

CENT FLYING hasn't any form at this course and its best time from Kempton wouldn't see it break into my top 4 ratings.

UNCLE JERRY has a time over this c/d but from 2018 that would put it 3rd top on this course times and 4th top overall but hasn't any recent c/d form.

VAN MAN TEN hasn't any form on this surface and times at this distance have been slow mainly I think because its better over shorter distances.

SANDRIDGE LAD has only slow times to its name over this c/d and its another one in the race that might struggle to stay this distance.

SUMMARY: With over half of the runners being 3-year-olds it isn't a race to be betting too heavily in, I think the frontrunners will be setting the race up for the finishers and my stakes will be split between 2 runners, the 3yo PROMOTE 2/1 has a time from Newcastle that would make it my top-rated but only by 1lb while it has good trainer-21%//jockey-29% stats which point to connections expecting a big run here but I will also have to back FANTASTIC FLYER 16/1 who is top rated on c/d times and also has good trainer16%/jockey17% stats.

Promote 5/1 9th 
Fantastic Flyer 16/1 7th