6:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (16th March)

CHELMSFORD 6.00 

A field of 8 for this class 5 amateur jockeys race and the word amateur automatically means my stakes will be kept to a minimum, there isn't any known front running types in this race which is always a worry, I will look to lay Shalaa Asker 4/1 who struggles to stay this distance with a fast early pace, so the race could play into its hands but if its held up as usual then it might find the leaders not tiring near the finish because I'm pretty sure one or more will set the pace and they might then go off too fast, so that's why a race is harder to analyse without any known early paced types. Hit Mac is my 3rd top rated and also seems to be better over further so ought to run into a place here. If Lilkian 9/4 could reproduce its best 2021 rating then it would be joint top rated but has been well below that level since then, i will be backing EL HOMBRE 6/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and the stable has a reasonable 17% win ratio in apprentice jockey races. 

El Hombre 6/1 5th -1pt

Lay bet: Shalaa Asker -2.25pts

Total -3.25pts 

SOUTHWELL 8.10 

A field of 13 for this class 6 dash and 4 of them have been known to lead before, I'm not sure there will be anything of value to lay in this race, The Tron races as though further would suit it better and is 3rd best on my figures so could run on strongly enough to make the frame, Brandy Station comes out in joint top spot and likes to track the leaders so could do enough to make the frame but might not be able to catch USTATH 3/1 who is my other joint top rated so as it should have 1st run on its main contenders it could lead all the way and just hold on for the win. 

Ustath 4/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 8.30 

I doubt I can find an each way bet but I hope all 8 runners take part so as to give 3 places for anyone who does bet each way. Dalby Forest 9/2 might be better when racing over further it will be staying on at the finish but I think too late for the win and will be one to lay if a single figure price and the same applies to Crimson Sand 9/1. Alafdhal is my 3rd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders, Saaheq 16/1 would be top rated if I used a Lingfield rating it recorded in 2022 but it usually needs a run for fitness after a break so today’s race might not be its target and I think it will one of the outsiders in the race, my money will be riding on ANGLE LAND 3/1 who is the only known front running type in the race and I expect it will lead from start to finish.

Angle Land 4/1 1st +4pts

Lay bets: Crimson Sand +1pt, Dalby Forest +1pt

Total +6pts

Total on the day +1.75pts

2:39 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (18th December)

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.39 

Only 7 runners for this class 2 race and 2 front running types in Bedford Flyer 5/1 and Lord Riddiford 7/1 who happen to be my 2 bottom rated horses so I doubt they can lead all the way, Venturous might need further to reproduce its best rating and even that wouldn't quite be good enough to win this race, Alligator Alley and Kaboo could run well being my 4th and 3rd top rated horses, I've only got 2lb’s between my top 2 ratings, TONE THE BARONE 7/2 likes to track the leaders and could get first run which could be enough to win the race, the trainer has a 17% win ratio at this course and the horse has won 8 of its 14 races on artificial surface but STRONG POWER 12/1 is rated higher this ones trainer also has a 17% win ratio at this course and the jockey has the same strike rate for the stable and this one is usually held up for a late run, so I will be backing them both as i think it could be close between these 2 on the run for the winning line. 

Strong Power 12/1 3rd -1pt 

Tone The Barone 7/2 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.09 

A field of 11 for this class 5 sprint and the biggest problem is that I cannot see what will set the early pace, something will take it on but how fast the early pace will be I've no idea which means my stakes will have to be kept low. I'm not sure if I can find anything of value to lay so another problem and my stakes get even smaller, I've got Astro Jakk 8/1 and Inevitable Outcome 25/1 as my joint 3rd top rated horses, the former likes to track the leaders while the other is usually held for a late run and this race might not run to suit this one and both of them have been in poor form lately. The Thin Blue Line 10/3 sits in 2nd top spot but its another that's usually held up for a late run so once again this race might not be run to suit it. The 3 at the bottom of the handicap are horses that have been in decent form lately which cannot be said for the rest of the field so from those 3 my money will be riding on EL HOMBRE 8/1 who can either be held up for a late run or track the leaders which makes it look the safest choice in my opinion.

El Hombre 8/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

6:25 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (28th November)

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.25 Div I

The first division of a 6 furlong class 5 race with eleven runners where four of them have been known to lead before so that should ensure its a true run race, one of them Ahlawi 6/1 hasn't any distance form on this surface apart from Southwell but its best rating came on the Polytrack surface so may be worth opposing, two others Bare Necessity and Ooh Is It both need to improve time wise to win this race so Bezzas Lad 33/1 may do best of the front runners but hasn't been in good form lately but if leading might make the frame but it would be a risk to even back it . Alcazan 6/1 is outside my top four ratings and looks as though further would suit it better so might also be worth taking on. Dark Shot recorded a time at Southwell which could make it competitive and this is a drop in class from four to five yet still carries bottom weight so cannot be dismissed easily. Algheed and Lilkian are my joint third top rated horses, the former is versatile when it comes to racing tactics and could possibly lead i nothing else wants to but from stall ten if pushed to try and lead could spend too much energy so i expect it will be held back in the early stages while the latter who likes to track the leaders is well drawn to do that from stall three. I will be putting my money on PORFIN 16/1 (EW) who is my top rated and is usually held up for a late run and with so many early speedsters in the race it could play into his hands so could make a decent each way prospect and a chance to win as well. 

Porfin 16/1 7th -2pts 

Total -2pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.55 Div II 

Just ten runners in this second division but with just two known front running types and they have been drawn in stalls one and two so I expect it will be a fast run race for the class and surely nothing else will try to lead, Rebel Redemption isn't in my top four ratings so may have to give way at some point to RATTLING 7/1 who comes out in second top spot on my figures and if this one is allowed to set the pace before kicking from home in the straight it could prove very hard to catch the apprentice jockeys seven pound claim pushes it up to joint top spot and a front running horse is the easiest of rides for a less experienced jockey so it could lead all the way and this three year old has to be backed for that reason. So Grateful 9/2 hasn't any form at this course but is top rated using times recorded at Southwell but would need to improve on its best Newcastle rating to win this race but cannot be dismissed lightly. Sir Gregory is my fourth top rated and can be held up or track the leaders, Astro Jakk 7/1 comes out in third top spot and likes to track the leaders before trying to stay on at the finish so could make the frame but if EL HOMBRE 9/1 who is my top rated decides to put its best hoof forwards it could pick up the leader nearing the finish and hasn't been in bad form lately but has been known to spring back to form without warning previously so could repeat that here my main concern is the stall nine draw and the fact that the jockey is zero from seventeen when riding for the family,s stable. It is one of those races where I have to go with the two bets to cover the angles of a front running type and one that stays on strongly at the finish.

Rattling 15/2 1st +7.5pts

El Hombre 11/1 3rd -1pt 

Total +6.5pts

Total on the day  +4.5pts

2:30 Lingfield Racing Tips (26th January)

LINGFIELD 2.30 

An eleven runner race with two known front runners and neither Maahle Ve 12/1 or Mr Moneypenny 25/1 can be written off as potential winners, the former could be better than its shown so far as this is its first run over this distance and has faded over a furlong further so this drop in distance could suit while the latter is 3rd top on my figures and only 2lbs below my top rated horse, Million Reasons 4/1 is another that's faded over 7 furlongs and dropped back to six furlongs here and could dangerous, my 2nd top rated horse is Knockabout Queen 5/1 who is usually held up for a late run and could run on and make the frame but isn't what I would call an each way price but you wouldn't lose money if it made the frame, my money will be riding on BUNGLEDUPINBLUE 7/2 who looks to be coming into form being 4th and then 3rd on its last 2 runs and usually races in midfield before staying the stronger nearing the finish and as its housed in stall 10 sandwiched between the two front running types it could get a good tow into the race and gain a good early position from which to attack late on. 

Bungledupinblue 7/2 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt

LINGFIELD 4.00 

Only six runners with half of them being known to lead and its such a complex race I will be backing one front runner and one that will be trying to come from off the pace, Bowling Russian 18/1 may need this run for fitness and one to lay if a single figure price, I think that SWISS PRIDE 11/1 could set the pace to the race and could be hard to catch as it is my 2nd top rated using a c/d figure it recorded in 2021 and the trainers in form with 3 wins from 10 runners in the last two weeks, the one coming from off the pace that is my top rated is EL HOMBRE 5/1 who recorded its best time in 2020 but did record a competitive figure in 2021, so two bets to cover the angles. 

Swiss Pride 11/1 6th -1pt 

El Hombre 17/2 7th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

KEMPTON 7.00 

There's four known front runners amongst the nine runners in this race but I think they will set the race up for something coming from off the pace, I think the top four in the handicap have questions to answer and may struggle to get involved in the finish as all of them would need to improve time wise to win this race, I expect that Notoriously Risky, Lua De Mel and Mahale to battle for the lead being my fourth to second top rated but if COME ON GIRL 6/5 can reproduce its best speed figure which it recorded at Lingfield it would be winning a shade cosily but I think it might be a shortish priced favourite.

Come On Girl 6/5 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -4pts

1:05 Lingfield Racing Tips (12th January)

LINGFIELD 1.05 

EL HOMBRE is dropped in class to run here and recorded a good speed figure lat time out when it finished second and it is my top rated.

MOBARHIN has good trainer and jockey stats but hasn't run over this c/d before and its best time from Kempton needs improving on to win this race so maybe worth laying at 5/1. 

DEWEY ROAD comes out 3rd best on my speed figures using a time recorded at Chelmsford in 2020 and was only 3lbs lower in 2021.

LA ROCA DEL FUEGO the trainer is 1-25 at this course the jockey is 1-3 for the stable so mixed messages as to what it will do but its not for me in this race but could possibly lead.

BEZZA'S LAD 9/1 the 2nd of the 2 known pacesetters in the race and in stall 3, but would need to improve time wise to win this race and will be a lay if stays a single figure price.

CAPPANANTY CON the trainer has a poor 7% win ratio at this course but using a time it recorded at Kempton in 2021 it comes out in 2nd top spot.

THE COLA KID has good trainer stats with a 31% strike rate but the horse is 0-12 on its runs on an artificial surface which puts me off its chances.

DEPUTISE hasn't any recent course and distance form to its name and its best speed figure from 2020 isn't good enough to win this race but has a high rating from Wolverhampton.

MOUSMEE has only poor form to its name and would be a big surprise if this one won and I expect it will be one of the outsiders in this race. 

SUMMARY: As for what to lay in this race it will depend on the betting, Dewey Road, Cappananty Con and The Cola Kid have pieces of form and the odd speed figure which would make them competitive in this race but my money will be riding on the top weight EL HOMBRE 7/2 who is dropped in class to run in this race and has been found a good opportunity to go one better after finished second last time out. 

El Hombre 7/2 4th -1pt

Lay bet Mobarhin -3.5pts Bezzas Lad +1pt

Total -3.5pts

LINGFIELD 2.05 

STRONG POWER has won its last 2 races by flying at the finish and it could possibly do the same again here but on my ratings its a very competitive race and I doubt it will be a value price. 

LETHAL BLAST has poor trainer/jockey stats and its 155 days since the stables last winner but it could be the one to set the pace to the race and could go very well if allowed an easy lead. 

STORM MELODY this one has good jockey stats and likes to track the leaders but the stable hasn't had a winner for over 3 weeks which is a bit off-putting. 

LOTHIAN has poorish trainer stats, 83 days since their last winner, and the jockey is 2-93 for the stable but will be trying to run on strongly nearing the finish.

MICK'S SPIRIT has poorish trainer stats with a 6% win ratio but time wise its comes out third top rated.

HEY HO GETS GO has a good speed figure but not recorded when racing at this level so may be out-classed in this race. 

SUMMARY: The top weight won very well in a class 6 race and then last time out won a class 2 race both times with a devastating burst nearing the finish but its now in a class 5 race giving weight away to the field, is it up to it,I'm not sure but I wouldn't back it at odds on but dare I back against it, the answer is probably no so its maybe best to leave the race alone.

Total on the day -3.5pts

6:30 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (2nd October)

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.30 

In this race I will look to lay both Stalingrad 11/2 who is still a maiden after 11 races but has made the frame in 7 of those races so maybe its a weak finisher and Alcazan 4/1 who races as though a longer distance would suit it better and its 2 runs over this course and distance have both resulted in slow times. I very often mention the make-up of a race and how I analyse each race and this is a race where I will go through my thinking of how the race could pan out if all the horses run to their usual racing tactics, in my opinion if you don't analyse each horse then they might throw a spanner in your works and then when you analyse why you lot you see a glaringly obvious mistake, isn't hindsight a wonderful thing, but without all the hard work needed you cannot make a long term profit, one that will be carrying some of my money is CANFORD BAY 8/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and comes out top rated on this years speed figures, stall 10 of 11 doesn't look ideal but here goes my analysis, I think that FREEDOM FLYER 12/1 from stall 4 will be able to get out and grab control on the rails as it is my joint 2nd top rated and if it gets an easy lead could hold on for the win as there is only 1lb between my top two ratings, I think Seeking Perfection from stall 7 will also try to get to the front and vie for the lead but it needs to improve on the clock to win this race, stall 8 horse is well out of form and usually runs on at the finish and the stall 9 horse usually races in midfield so Canford Bay can get out smartly and then follow the stall 7 horse across to the rails without much resistance from the 2 horses drawn nearest to it on its inside and sit just behind the leaders ready to pounce and I am backing them both to cover the angles of a front running type and one that comes from behind the leaders. 

Freedom Flyer 12/1 2nd -1pt 

Canford Bay 9/1 8th -1pt

Lay bets: Stalingrad +1pt, Alcazan +1pt 

Total 0pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.00 

Half the runners in this race are 3yo’s but only Giorgio Vasari and Nelson Gay are known as front running types but I doubt they will hold on for the win although the latter is my 4th top rated and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead, I will look to lay Caroline Dale 7/1 as it looks better over a shorter distance, Temple Bruer is my 3rd top rated but has a tendency to be slowly away and if doing so here it might struggle to make the frame, the bottom weight Tathmeen comes out in 2nd top spot and is usually held for for a late run and it will be hoping a gap appears along the fence as its got the stall one draw, my money will be riding on EL HOMBRE 5/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and from stall 9 I'm hoping it can follow Giorgio Vasari in stall 8 towards the rail and then get a good position from which to attack in the latter stages of this race.

El Hombre 11/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt 

2:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (4th November)

LINGFIELD 2.00 

In this race I could lay one or two but they are not of value but I would lay Chitra if not priced higher than 6/1, Sword Exceed is 2nd top rated on just 2020 c/d times and 3rd top overall plus it is versatile with its racing tactics so could make the frame at a big price, Buy Me Back and Brunels Boy could attempt to set the early pace and the former is my 4th top overall, Lilklan has a time from Chelmsford this year which would make it my 2nd top rated but the top weighted LITTLE BROWN TROUT 6/1 comes out top overall and on this years c/d times and the apprentices 5lb claim could swing things in its favour. 

Little Brown Trout 6/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

LINGFIELD 2.30 

Only 9 runners in this dash but 5 of them have been known to lead before and there is not very much between my top 5 ratings, in fact just 4lbs, Watchable has a its best time from this year and could do best of those coming from off the pace, others that could go well are Just Glamorous and Leodis Dream but my top 2 ratings are both front runners and there is only 1lb between TOP BREEZE 3/1 stall 2 and ROYAL BIRTH 18/1 stall 1 but the former has a 5lb claiming apprentice which then makes it my top rated, both jockeys have good records riding for the stables so I think they could battle in out for the duration of the race and I cannot split them so will back them both and the latter with an each way wager. 

Royal Birth 10/1 (+1pt)

Top Breeze 3/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total: 0pts

KEMPTON 6.20 

In this field of 12 I can see 2 that like to lead, Beyond Equal has the stall 2 draw so could gain control on the rail but is only my 5th top rated but only 5lbs below 2nd top spot so could go well, Moonraker is 4th top but hasn't shown much lately, Dulas is the other possible pacesetter but its best time to make it my 3rd top rated is taken from Chelmsford, in 2nd top spot I've got EL HOMBRE 13/2 but this ones best time was recorded this year over this c/d so has to be considered because my top rated ROCK SOUND 7/2 recorded its best time last year also at Chelmsford and hasn't run here before but could win if taking to this course which is right-handed. 

Rock Sound 7/2 4th (-1pt)

El Hombre 14/1 6th (-1pt) 

Total: -2pts 

KEMPTON 6.50 

I cannot see anything of value to lay in this race and Wild Edric might get things to itself at the front in the early stages and it is my 4th top rated so not many should get involved but I doubt it can do enough to hold on for the win, Embour hasnt shown much lately but is my joint 2nd top rated using a 2019 c/d time, Soldiers Minute is my top rated but only by a solitary lb but once again its using a 2019 time, DESERT DOCTOR 7/2 is joint 2nd top rated and this ones best time was recorded this year which is always a positive it also has good trainer/jockeys stats making me think connections are expecting it to follow up from its win last time out.

Desert Doctor 9/2 4th (-1pt)

Total: -1pt 

Total on the day: -4pts

7:30 Wolverhampton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (3rd October)

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

There's 3 runners in this race that like to set the pace and maybe Walk On Walter from stall 4 can do the best of them if it can get control of the rails but it hasn't shown much time wise since 2018 so may fade nearing the finish especially if made to battle for the early supremacy, I will look to lay 4 horses who all may struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace which looks more than likely (Leodis Dream + Full Authority + Spanish Angel + Dandy's Gold) Katheefa comes out 4th on my figures and is well housed in stall 3, Steelriver sits in 3rd top spot but this ones times have been recorded in much lower class races than this one, Hart Stopper comes out 2nd best on my figures and this one likes to be held up for a late run so could make the frame but my money will be riding on EL HOMBRE 10/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and in the make-up of this race it could get a good tow into the race from stall 7 and could follow the stall 4 and 6 horses over towards the inside and then gain a good position from which to attack at the finish. 

El Hombre 16/1 2nd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Full Authority -2.25pts, Leodis Dream +1pt, Spanish Angel +1pt, Dandy's Gold +1pt

Total: -0.25pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00

This race could be tricky as the stall 1 horse Lezardrieux would like to lead and has the ideal chance but it wants to set a slightly slower pace so it has enough in reserve to see out the finish so I'm hoping my 3rd top rated Equally Fast, who has also been known to lead before when nothing else wants to set a decent pace, will ensure it doesn't get its own way up front and make sure its a true run affair, I would look to lay (Dana Forever) who may struggle to stay the trip with a decent early pace, LUCKY LODGE 13/2 starts off as my joint 3rd top rated using just 2020 times but has a time from 2019 that makes it my overall top rated, my top rated for just this year is BAHUTA ACHA 11/2 who will be running on at the finish if getting a clear run from stall 12, this one also has a faster time from 2019 but that is only good enough for 2nd spot overall, I will be backing both of them hoping at least one of them gets a clear run when attempting to stay on at the finish.

Lucky Lodge 13/2 8th (-1pt)

Bahuta Acha 10/1 Unp (-1pt)

Lay bets: Dana Forever +1pt

Total: -1pt

Total on the day:  -1.25pts

3:20 Kempton Racing Tips and Lay Bets (12th August)

KEMPTON 3.20

This looks a competitive class 3 race but I would look to lay (May Sonic 7/2 who may not like this surface and is favourite on the early tissue prices + The Cruising Lord who may find this trip too far and worth laying if a single figure price) the 3yo Love Powerful hasn't any form at this distance on the AW but does have a good time on turf, STORM OVER 10/1 could go well using a Chelmsford time but this is its debut here, it could be worth an each-way punt if a big price, I will also be backing EL HOMBRE 16/1 but I am not sure what to make of the jockeys 0-8 record for this stable and its enough to put me off putting it up as my sole selection, so I will be having 2 each way bets at the prices on offer. 

El Hombre 16/1 7th (-2pt) 
Storm Over 16/1 Unp (-2pt)

Lay bets: May Sonic (-1.75) Betfair SP (2.88), The Cruising Lord +1pt

Total:  -4.75pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.35

I dont think this is a race to be betting too big in theres too many crossed lines of form but something caught my eye enough to write up this race, theres a few that could go well on some pieces of form, Cowboy Soldier hasnt any course form but has fast times fromKempton and Southwell but its time from Newcastle, the same surface, wouldnt be good enough so not sure the surace suits it, Benny And The Jets could do best of the possible pacesettters using a Kempton time but hasnt any c/d form, Dazzling Den won over this c/d but in a slow time but has a good time from Newcastle and will be trying to stay on at the finish, my pennies will be riding on ABSOLUTIO 15/2 who hasnt any form at this distance but its 6f time here puts it in the mix and this drop in distance might be a good move, the eye catcher is the trainers record of 2-13 with all runners and 2-4 with the older horses and the jockeys record is 1-2 for this stable on all rides and 1-1 on the older horses which makes me think they are expecting a big run here.

Absolutio 15/2 4th (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

Total on the day: -5.75pts

4:50 Newcastle Racing Tips & Lay Bets (19th February)

NEWCASTLE 4.50 

Only 7 runners to analyse with just 2 (Alsvinder 5/1 + Charming Kid 12/1) to lay, I would add Tathmeen 3/1 favourite to the list of lays if its trainer didn't have another runner in the race although im 99% sure this class is too much for it, War Whisper hasnt any c/d form to its name but has won on good to firm ground on grass so should like this surface and could be a hidden danger, both Foxy Forever and Fendale could go well here, the former hasnt won over this c/d from 6 previous attempts so im not sure it will do enough to win the race but not sure enough to lay it, the latter has a time from 2018 that would see it winning the race but its best from 2019 would see it fall short, my money will be riding on CANFORD BAY 10/3 and the apprentice jockeys 7lb claim could be the deciding factor in this race, it is versatile with its racing tactics and if getting to the front it ought to prove pretty hard to catch. 

Canford Bay 10/3 4th 

Lay bets: Alsvinder (+1pt) Charming Kid (+1pt)

Total +1pt 

KEMPTON 7.30

This is a tricky little race with just 7 runners, I will be laying 2 horses, (Thegreatestshowman 5/1+ Concierge 9/2) Treacherous won nicely last time out but timewise it wasn't the greatest and its best time from 2019 still leaves it just outside my top 3 but is in cracking form and cannot be discarded easily, Last Page is well weighted on its best form/time but mainly in slightly easier races, Bungee Jump hasn't any recent c/d form to its name while its best time from 2018 would still leave it out of the frame if all others run to their best, Junius Brutus has been running fairly well in class 2 races but is on a losing run of 12 race and a drop in class is maybe needed for it to shine again but never say never, the topweight EL HOMBRE 4/1 has also been running in better races than this one and it has good trainer 20% and jockey 22% winning strike rates and will be the one carrying my money.

El Hombre 13/2 4th

Lay bets: Thegreatestshowman (+1pt) Concierge (+1pt)

Total +1pt 

Total on Day +2pts