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Showing posts with label Emperor Spirit. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Emperor Spirit. Show all posts

Friday, 9 June 2023

1:15 Haydock Racing Tips (10th June)

I'm sorry but I've bought a new laptop and somewhere or somehow I've lost all my stuff stored in my word documents, its nothing crucial apart from losing Saturdays blogs so the 3 sprints will be given a lot differently and a lot shorter than usual. 

HAYDOCK 1.15 

5F Listed class There's 4 known front running types and the 3yo Prince Of Pillo 6/1 could be the one to set the pace but it might need this run for fitness, Regional 9/2 might prefer a longer trip to show its absolute best and might be worth a small lay bet. Raasel is my 3rd top rated using a rating recorded in 2021 but hasn't been near that level since then and the same can apply to my 2nd top rated horse Mondammej. My money will be riding on KORKER 9/1 (EW) - who I call jackpot town after so many memorable wins - usually races in midfield or at the rear of the field before staying on strongly at the finish and with 4 front running types it could be the fast paced race this one likes to aim at and maybe an each way wager will pay dividends. 

Korker 9/1 6th -2pt 

Lay bet: Regional -5pts 

Total -7pts

HAYDOCK 1.50 

6F Class 3 A big field of 14 for this sprint with just Mr Wagyu 10/3 known as a front running type and could do enough to make the frame but I'm not sure it can win this race but being the top weighted horse in theory it is the class horse in the race but I couldn't back it at such a short price. One I will look to lay is All The Kings Men 9/2 who may be better over further and finishes too late to win unlike when I visit https://www.bestcasinositesonline.com/real-money-casinos/. IIllusionist can struggle to stay this distance if there's a fast early pace but a 2021 rating makes it my 4th top rated. Music Society comes out 3rd best again using a 2021 rating and usually stays on at the business end over this distance, Lucky Man 14/1 is my 2nd top rated and is usually held up in the rear or in midfield before running on strongly at the finish and might be worth an each way wager while EMPEROR SPIRIT 16/1 (EW) is my top rated using a 2022 rating and has an even higher one from 2021 and it usually likes to track the leaders before staying on the stronger nearing the finish and at the price it has to be done as an each way wager. 

Emperor Spirit 16/1 2nd +2.2pts  

Lay bet: All The King's Men +1pt 

Total +3.2pts

CATTERICK 4.30 

5F Class 4 I hope all 8 runners take part so I can go with an each way bet in this dash, the main problem is that there is no known front running type in this race although at least half the field do like to track the leaders so I expect there will be a decent gallop over the minimum distance here. Muscika 9/1 and Mid Winster 5/1 both race as though further would suit them better so this race might not be run to suit them so might be worth laying if of value to do so. Ready Freddie Go is my 3rd top rated on overall figures and 2nd top on recent, 2022/23, ratings so could make the frame and might be worth an each way interest, Live In The Moment 13/8 comes out 2nd best using a 2021 rating but its best since then has been way way below that level so looks poor value in my eyes and might be worth risking with a lay bet. My money will be riding on LEODIS DREAM 11/1 (EW) who likes to track the leaders so can cover any tactical move in the race and if able to reproduce its best rating recorded at Haydock last year it would win this race with a bit to spare but the lack of known early pace does mean my stakes wont be at full strength but I think an each way wager ought to pay dividends.

Leodis Dream 12/1 7th -2pts 

Lay bet Mid Minster +1pt, Live In The Moment +1pt 

Total 0pts

Total on the day -3.8pts

Wednesday, 25 January 2023

3:20 Southwell Racing Tips (26th January)

SOUTHWELL 3.20 

A class 5 sprint with 11 runners and 2, Walking On Clouds 9/2 and Bare Necessity 7/1 are both front running types but neither are in my top 3 ratings although the latter recorded its best in 2022 so could do best of the pair. Lynns Boy has never won over today's distance while Idoapologise hasn't run here before and both need to improve time wise to win this race so may be worth laying. Dark Shot is my 3rd top rated while Callin's Lad sits in 2nd top spot and they both like to track the leaders and the former may be better over a longer distance, my money will be riding on STARSONG 12/1 who is my top rated and has recorded ratings within 1lb at both here and Newcastle so likes this Tapeta surface, it should be staying on the stronger nearing the finish. 

Starsong 14/1 5th -1pt  

Total -1pt 

SOUTHWELL 3.50 

A class 6 stakes dash where all bar the top one Ustath carry the same weight and this one who won last time out over 6 furlongs comes out in 2nd top spot on my ratings for this distance so should go well again here although its rating over 6 furlongs is higher than over this distance which it can find a bit too short for it and I expect it will be a hot favourite and that messes up the betting so I doubt there will be anything of value to lay. Sapphire's Moon sits in 4th top spot with Mr Funky Monkey sitting in 3rd top spot but I've got STROXX 7/2 as my top rated so this one will hopefully be with an each way punt and I do like the switch of jockey after showing a return to form when finishing 3rd last time out BUT this one hasn't won before with 34 failed attempts to its name and 13 of those races have been on an artificial surface.

Stroxx 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 6.00 

Only 8 runners for this stakes race and there's 2 known front running types amongst them, the betting will decide whether there's anything of value to lay with Dick Datchery and Elisheva being the ones most likely to fall into that category. Atrafan has been in good form winning once and being 2nd 3 times from its last 4 races but I expect it will be the fairly hot favourite and is my 4th top rated with Mutabaahy occupying the 3rd top spot and Stronsay in 2nd top spot and being one of the front runners it could go well but my money will be riding on the other likely pacesetter in the shape of ROCKLEY POINT 8/1 so I'm hoping this one can lead from start to finish. 

Rockley Point 8/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 6.30 Div I

Division 1 of a class 6 dash, I cannot see anything worthwhile to put forward to lay in this race, Rose Bandit likes to race in midfield and is my 4th top rated, Annie Rose might prefer a longer trip but still comes out 3rd top on my figures and will be trying to stay on at the business end of the race, BASHOLO 6/1 and BLACKCURRENT 6/1 both like to track the leaders, in this race that might be Mrs Baggeran, and with the apprentice jockeys allowances there is only 1lb between them with the former doing its best time in 2022 and the latter recorded its rating in 2021 and as its so close between them I will split my stake and back them both. 

Blackcurrent 6/1 5th -1pt 
Basholo 6/1 7th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

NEWCASTLE 7.00 Div II

Another Angel is the only known front running type in this 2nd division and it could do better than its 5th top rated position if allowed an easy lead so could possibly make the frame. Once again i cannot see anything to confidently lay in this division, Elzaal is my 4th top rated and races in midfield or is held up for a late run, Spanish Angel who might prefer a longer distance so should be staying on at the finish is my 3rd top rated, Nellie French won last time out and comes out 2nd top position on my ratings so should run will in this race but my money will be riding on JOSHUA R 7/2 who also won last time out and has been found a good opportunity here to follow up with back to back wins.

Joshua R 5/1 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 7.30

Another 8 runner race but in a class 4 sprint, both Minesbiggerthanurs 5/1 and Brazen Bolt 10/1 seem to need further to show their best form so could be possible lays although the former is my joint 3rd top rated alongside Asadjumeirah, the bottom wieght Ballyare comes out in 2nd top spot on my figures but I will be relying on EMPEROR SPIRIT 3/1 who I will be expecting to lead all the way for victory in this race and the trainer has a good 26% win ratio at this course.

Emperor Spirit 9/2 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Brazen Bolt -9pts, Minesbiggerthanurs +1pt 

Total -9pts

Total on the day -15pts

Friday, 12 August 2022

2:50 Ripon Racing Tips (13th August)

RIPON 2.50 

Class 2 race over 6 furlongs with 15 runners and one third of them have been known to lead before, as you expect its a very competitive looking race, Hyperfocus and Marks Choice look likely to do best of the front runners and the former could do enough from the front to make the frame, I cannot see anything of value to lay in this race as for finding the winner there is a few, Summerghand, Snash, Intrinsic Bond, Indian Creak Embour plus the 2 front runners mentioned, that could go well here and anyone of them could make the frame but I will be having a small wager on EMPEROR SPIRIT 8/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish. 

Emperor Spirit 8/1 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWMARKET 3.18 

Class 4 race over 6 furlongs with 7 runners, the early pace could be set by Come On Girl who has been running well on the AW tracks but I don't think this one is up to winning at this level and might be worth laying, Strike is another that looks better in lower class races but this one is capable of producing fast times, Verraux Eagle might prefer a longer trip so another possible lay, my money will be riding on *WENTWORTH FALLS 10/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and the trainer does quite well at this course. 

*NR

Lay bet Come On Girl +1pt 

Total +1pt 


NEWMARKET 4.28 

Class 2 race with a paltry 5 runners, Stone Of Destiny may struggle to stay the distance especially as my top rated is the likely leader in this race, Mum's Tipple may need further but if the early pace is really fast it could be a possible danger, Above and Ingra Tor both recorded their best speed ratings here but on the Rowley mile course but would need to improve a good few spots if RATHBONE 13/2 reproduces is best figures from either 2022 or 2021 where there is only 2lbs difference plus the apprentice jockey has a decent 16% win ratio on the stables older horses. 

Rathbone 9/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.50 

Class 6 race over 6 furlongs with 10 entrants, I can see 3 front running types in this race and another that could lead if nothing else wanted to wont have to lead here, but I think they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace although Portelet Bay who is my 2nd top rated could prove a danger if getting to the front from stall 9 but might have to use up a degree of its stamina/speed to get itself into the lead, I could look to lay, Prophecy, Secret Potion, *Mops Gem and *Tom Tulliver if of value to lay, Steelriver is my 3rd top rated using a 2020 rating but can be useful if on a going day but I will be relying on the top weight RED ALERT 10/1 with my money and a repeat of the rating it has recorded here this year would see it winning with a bit too spare.

Red Alert 10/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bets Prophecy +1pt

Total 0pts

Total on the day  -1pt

Thursday, 7 July 2022

4:45 Newmarket Racing Tips (8th July)

NEWMARKET 4.45 

With 6 known front runners in this race it could be a fast and furious dash, it looks mighty competitive race so not one to be betting too heavily in, Tees Spirit has been in good form lately but the handicapper might have it in its grip now so it could run ok but maybe not enough to win so maybe one to lay, Ancient Times one of the possible pacesetters could go well from those that like to race to the fore and might be worth an each way interest but I will be hoping another front running type LIHOU 12/1 (EW) who won last time out can follow up that win here and it does have good trainer/jockey stats and makes me think connections think it can win this race and at the price it has be given as an each way wager. 

Lihou 12/1 7th -2pts 

Lay bet Tees Spirit -1pt 

Total -1pt

YORK 5.00 

I can see 4 and possibly 5 horses that could set the pace to this race, I will be looking to lay Ghathanfar who looks a much better prospect over 6 furlongs so may get outpaced in this race and then stay on too late for the win, Albegone is capable of producing a good speed figure and has my highest speed figure but in lower class races than today's so it may get outclassed in this race while King Of Tonga needs to improve time wise and may be better over further, James Watt comes out in 4th top spot and could make the frame here, VAN GERWEN 18/1 (EW) is my 3rd top rated and likes to track the leaders before staying on strongly at the finish but i do have the front running type Modular Magic (non-runner) rated higher and if this one gets to the front it could prove hard to catch and can hopefully hold on for the win and if it wasn't for the trainers 0-6 record at this course it would probably have been my sole bet in this race but the jockey does do well for the stable. With the non-runner I will now be going with an each way punt on Van Gerwen hoping it stays on strongly enough at the finish to pick up the leaders.

Van Gerwen 33/1 4th -2pts 

Lay bet Ghathanfar -4pts 

Total -6pts

ASCOT 5.11 

WOW what a class 3 race this is, I can see 3 horses that like to lead, I'm not sure if I can find anything of value to lay although Mitrosonfire 9/1 came very close to being one but I expect it might be a double figure price, looking at my speed figure ratings Tanmawwy, Asad, Epsom Faithful, Lucky Man and Treacherous are all closely rated and it could be fine margins of luck in running that could decide this race but if either Antiphon or Emperor Spirit get an easy lead they could pinch this race from the front especially the latter one who is my top rated but the trainers 1-31 with its older horses at this course is a bit off-putting but it does have good jockey stats so I will be hoping that EMPEROR SPIRIT 6/1 can either lead or at least contest the lead from the off and stay on the stronger at the finish and this race is a drop down in class from its recent run. 

Emperor Spirit 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Mitrosonfire +1pt 

Total 0pts


CHEPSTOW 6.45 

For a class 6 race this one looks quite good with 3 known front running types it should be a true run race, I could look to lay Louis Treize 15/2 who might need further to show its best and get outpaced here in the early stages and then try to stay on at the finish but I expect too late to catch the leaders, Rhubarb 7/2 won last time out over a longer distance and may be under-priced on the back of that win and I will be looking to lay it, Liberty Bay and Fossos two known pace setting types are my 5th and 4th top rated and will ensure there's a fast early pace, Astrophysics my 3rd top rated and Our Man In Havana my 2nd top rated will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish and could make the frame but i will be pinning my hopes on the chances of the top weighted CORONATION COTTAGE 8/1 leading from start to finish, it would just win on its best 2022 rating but if able to reproduce its best rating from Bath in 2020 it would win with a bit to spare.

Coronation Cottage 8/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bets Rubarb -3.5pts, Louis Treize +1pt

Total -3.5pts

Total on the day  -10.5pts

Wednesday, 15 June 2022

2:05 Chelmsford Racing Tips (16th June)

CHELMSFORD 2.05 

Seven runners in a five furlong dash where four of the runners have been known to lead before and at the top of my ratings its very very close with my top three all having the same speed figure and all three liking to lead, I'm not sure I can find anything of value to lay in this race, You're Cool and Expert Opinion are two of my top rated trio but the other one LUCKY AVA 4/1 is going to be the one I back because it has been running in higher class races and this drop down in grade could be enough to see it resume winning ways. 

Lucky Ava 4/1 1st +4pts

Total +4pts

RIPON 4.00 

With no known front runners in this race it makes it hard to picture how the race might pan out, I would normally have put Nomadic Empire 8/1 up as a lay as this distance can be too far for it with a good early gallop and if of value I might still lay it because something will set the pace, Intrinsic Bond has poor trainer/jockey stats but comes out second top rated on my figures but EMPEROR SPIRIT 11/4 record a rating from Yarmouth last year which would blow this lot out of the water and it has won its only run of this year on the AW at Chelmsford in a fast time so hopefully can follow up that win here. 

Emperor Spirit 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Nomadic Empire +1pt 

Total 0pts

RIPON 4.40 

This class 6 race has 10 runners with 2 known front running types and as they are 2 of my top 3 ratings so lot of horses might not be able to get into the race, so nearly anything else of value could be worth laying, Gullane One could lead but it does prefer the going to be good to firm while here its only given as good ground so maybe not ideal for it, Absolute Dream is my 2nd top rated so should do best of those coming from off the pace but if the top weighted horse MORTY 10/1 repeats the rating it produced over this course and distance last year it would be able to lead all the way here. 

Morty 20/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

LINGFIELD 4.50 

Just six runners for this Amateur jockeys race and maybe I should leave the race alone, I will lay Kath's Toyboy 4/1 who has never won over this distance as it might need further to show its true form, the 3yo Tahani won last time out where it was allowed to dictate a relatively slow pace at Chelmsford so should like this track and if allowed to dictate again here could repeat its last run and complete the double but I don't think it will be allowed an easy lead and my money will be riding on BUNGLEDUPINBLUE 7/2 who likes to either race in midfield or track the leaders and then staying on the stronger at the finish and is also looking to follow up its win last time out and complete the double. 

Bungledupinblue 5/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Kath's Toyboy +1pt 

Total 0pts 

LINGFIELD 6.25 

A nine runner dash with three known front running types, I will look to lay Bernard Speirpoint 11/2 who has poor trainer/jockey stats, Ascot Jungle and King Crimson, who are my 3rd and 2nd top rated, could set the pace to this race but they might besetting to race up for IESHA 8/1 who usually likes to track the leaders before staying on strongly at the finish and the expected fast early pace here might play right into its hands but it doesn't have good trainer/jockey stats so my stake will be kept low.

Iesha 8/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Bernard Speirpoint +1pt 

Total 0pts

Total on the day +4pts