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Showing posts with label Peachey Carnehan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Peachey Carnehan. Show all posts

Tuesday, 9 June 2020

2:40 Wolverhampton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (10th June)


WOLVERHAMPTON 2.40 

Quite a tricky race mainly due to a lack of data to work with for several of the runners which usually means a more experienced horse is top-rated, I will look to lay (Jem Scuttle + Valentino Sunrise). I can only find one known frontrunner in the race so if allowed an easy lead PEACHEY CARNEHAN 12/1 (EW) could run a big race and worth a small each-way bet, it is my joint top rated on a 2018 time but its best from last year was 9lb lower but it could steal this race from the front hopefully an each-way chance but this stable has another entry in PUCHITA 18/1 (EW) my 3rd top-rated and the stables usual jockey has chosen to ride this one, so another each-way chance at the odds, I will also be backing *ONE ONE SEVEN 6/1 who ran well when finishing 2nd on its last run but the jockeys 1-16 record for this stable is a little off-putting, I cannot see any way other than to dutch all 3 horses and each way if their price permits. 

*NR

Puchita 18/1 3rd (+2.6) 
Peachy Carnehan 16/1 6th (-2pts)

Lay bets: Jem Scuttle +1pt, Valentino Sunrise +1pt

Total: +2.6pts

KEMPTON 8.00

I am not too keen on this race, there's only 8 runners and the bottom 3 are 3yo’s who could be better than they have already shown, BUY ME BACK 5/1 could go well as it won over this c/d this year but if JAMAHEERY 9/2 from the powerful R Hannon stable can reproduce its Yarmouth time it would be winning here while the best of the older horses look to be SHIMMERING DAWN 7/2, I do think the winner will come from these 3 and dutching them looks the answer to me. 

Shimmering Dawn 7/2 2nd (-1pt)
Buy Me Back 16/1 6th (-1pt)
Jamaheery 9/2 7th (-1pt)

Total: -3pts 


KEMPTON 8.30 

A field of 10 runners with no known frontrunners which always makes things hard to analyse to completion, I can find a couple to lay (Pedestal + Three Little Birds) Inexes may need further or a slower surface but the jockeys good stats for the stable means I'm not confident enough to lay it, I can also see a few that will run well, the bottom weight Di Metteo has only slow times at this c/d but its best time from Wolverhampton would make it top rated but I will stick with the proven on this surface, Inaam’s best time from Lingfield would put it in the mix but it's one run at this c/d was poor, Nezar will be staying on at the finish, my money will be riding on PRIVATE MATTER 7/1 who can be held up or track the leaders but my stakes will be kept low because of the lack of known early pace.

Private Matter 7/1 4th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Pedestal +1pt, Three Little Bird +1pt

Total: +1pt

Total on the day: +0.6pts


Saturday, 14 December 2019

3:45 Newcastle - Free Winning Racing Tips (14th December)


NEWCASTLE 3.45 

I can see natural frontrunning types in stalls 1. 2 and 13 but the draw makes very little difference here, of these 3 maybe Rockley Point will do the best but it's not in my top 4 ratings, Landing Night comes out 4th best and likes to track the leaders as does Qaaraat my 3rd top-rated, in 2nd top spot I've got the 3yo Be Proud another that likes to track the pacesetters, my top rated is another 3yo in *KYLLACHY WARRIOR 8/1 who can be held up or track the pace and the booked jockey has a good win ratio for this stable, the downside is that it is still a maiden after 11 runs but it is taking on slightly lower class horses here and it has been in the frame in 4 of its 7 AW races and I will be having a punt on it hoping it can break its duck. 

*NR

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.20

This is a tricky little class 6 race and to be honest, I cannot narrow it down to less than 4 possible winners, Peachey Carnehan has a good jockey booking and I think this one from stall 3 will be the one to set the pace and could be very dangerous if allowed an easy lead, It Must Be Faith usually likes to track the leaders and has a fast time from 2017 but has been way below that last year and this, Miracle Garden can track the pace or be held up but hasnt been in good form lately so im not sure what to expect of it here and it might be foolish to ignore it, Brockey Rise usually stays on at the finish over this distance but is on a losing run of 11 ut could go well if the jockette is worth her 7lb claim, overall I think the safest call would be for me to back PEACHEY CARNEHAN 12/1 in case it can lead all the way and then also back BROCKEY RISE 6/1 in case the apprentice brings out the best in the horse and then have smaller covering bets on the other 2 horses mentioned 

Peachy Carnehan 12/1 6th 
Brockey Rise 8/1 8th 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.50

A class 2 race but its a bit devoid of early pace which always makes analysis tricky, Mokaatil is capable of running a fast time but usually in class 3 races so may struggle again here to win this race, Lancelot Du Lac could do enough to make the frame if running to its best but is on a losing run of 12 races, Desert Doctor won last time out at Chelmsford so is good heart at the moment and could make the frame but my money will be riding on MERHOOB 14/1 who is drawn in stall 1 so could get a good early position and then prove the stronger at the finish and the jockey booking looks to be a positive one and the price looks a little generous so I can go with an each-way wager.

Merhoob 14/1 5th

Friday, 11 October 2019

6:30 Newcastle Racing Tips (11th October)

NEWCASTLE 6:30 

This is a very competitive race where I've 4 main contenders and two more that could go well. I Know How who won last time out could go well despite this course not looking to be its favourite surface, Pinarella is one of four in this race that looks natural front running types and could go well from stall 10 on this straight course, Mr Wagyu has only run once before on the AW tracks but it was over this course and distance but didn't show much but does have a fast time on good to firm ground on turf so could be dangerous, Mutabaahy would need to improve on its best 2018 time to win this race but has a time from 2017 that would make it my 2nd top-rated, I will be splitting my stake between AVENUE OF STARS 10/1 and PEACHEY CARNEHAN 6/1 the former likes to track the leaders while the latter is a front running type and if it does get to the front could prove hard to catch, I will back them both but my stakes will be tilted in favour of the latter hoping it can lead all the way here.

Peachey Carnehan 10/1 2nd 
Avenue Of Stars 12/1 Unp