6:30 Chelmsford Racing Tips (2nd December)

CHELMSFORD 6.30 

I hope all 8 runners take part in case I find an each way wager, I would look to lay Lion King if of value to do so at single figure odds as I think it needs a longer distance and is still a maiden after 11 runs, I could also lay Copinet 5/2 if its a short price, its forecast to be the five to two favourite, as I think this trip is a bit too short for it and doesn't come in my top 3 ratings, the top weight Sir Rodneyredblood has won its last 2 races but only comes out 4th best on my figures and my top 3 are all front running types, and that's using a Lingfield time the trainer hasn't had a winner for over 3 weeks from its 12 runners, Expert Opinion has the stall 1 draw and is my 3rd top rated, I am not sure if Storm Melody 14/1 is up to winning a class 4 race but does come out joint top rated on my own figures and does have a positive looking jockey booking as does Charming Kid 15/2 who comes out 2nd best on my figures but this ones trainer hasn't had a winner in the last 33 days so i have to think it has another target in mind so I will be backing BUY ME BACK 6/1 who indicated a return to form when finishing 3rd last time out and stall 7 should not be too much of a problem with the make-up of this race and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch. 

Buy Me Back 14/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bets: Copinet -5pts, Lion King +1 

Total -5pts 

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

A 11 runner class 6 race which isn't very inspiring, I will look to lay I'm Mable 4/1 who has won over this distance on grass but may find the distance a bit too short here, there are 3 runners that have been known to lead Amajova, Big Time Maybe and Kaths Lustre 5/1 and the latter could do best of those 3 despite being in stall 9 and if getting to the lead it could prove hard to catch but both its c/d time and best time from Lingfield were both recorded last year and hasn't been in good form lately plus its not really an each way price, I think they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace with SHANGHAI ROCK 9/2 being my top rated on just my 2021 course and distance speed ratings so has to have a decent chance here, while I have a time for GIOVANNI TIEPOLO 40/1 (EW) from Lingfield last year which would give it a few spots in hand of today's rivals but it hasn't shown much lately and hasn't won on an artificial surface from 10 previous attempts and its been quite awhile since the trainer had a winner on the flat but at that price I cannot let it run without having a few quid on it as an each way punt.

Shanghai Rock 13/2 9th -1pt 

Giovanni Tiepolo 80/1 Unp -2pts

Lay bets I'm Mable -1.625pts

Total - 4.625pts   

Total on the day -9.625pts

1:00 Sandown Racing Tips (22nd July)

SANDOWN 1.00 

This is an 8 runner race and I hope all run so I can go with an each way wager, there is 3 known front running types so it should be a fast run 5 furlong dash, I might lay Libertine Belle as it may need further but its sometimes risky laying a 3yo especially if its backed so the betting will be my guide whether to lay it or not, Spurofthemoment also may need further so maybe another one to lay, as for the winner I will probably dutch four horses, SAAHEQ 10/1, BUY ME BACK 11/4, SPRING BLOOM 11/2, UNION ROSE 28/1, in this race and I will probably have another each way bet on the latter who is my top rated using a time from 2020 at Bath and its time from just 2021 puts it in 3rd top spot so it ought to have a chance of at least making the frame and looks the value call in the race. 

Buy Me Back 9/2 2nd -1pt 

Spring Bloom 11/2 3rd -1pt

Saaheq 10/1 4th -1pt 

Union Rose 33/1 8th -1pt 

Total -4pts

YARMOUTH 2.00 

Ten runners with only Sir Rodneyredblood 15/2 known as a front running type but that was on the AW tracks, it hasn't made the frame in 5 runs on turf but its best AW time would make it my 2nd top rated but its not for me in this race and maybe one to lay, the other early paced one is Breath Of Spring 9/1 who could also do enough to make the frame but not sure if it can hold on for the win, Excellent George 33/1 would make the frame using its best time from 2019 or 2020 but hasn't reached that level so far this year but might be worth an each way punt if its 20/1 or bigger, Molly Shaw 11/4 and Secret To Success 9/1 could also go well but my money will be riding on GLOBAL HOPE 16/1 (EW) who recorded its best time over this course and distance in 2020 and a repeat would see it getting back to winning ways and i am hoping I can do it as an each way bet and the jockey has a 17% win ratio on the stables older horses. 

Global Hope 16/1 9th -2pts

Total -2pts

YARMOUTH 4.50 

Only 4 runners but what a race to try and solve, I could lay Castana Dia 7/4 who may need further and looks very poor value at the price in my opinion plus you don't lose much if it does win, Invincible Larne is likely to try and set the pace but time wise it needs to improve a good few spots to hold on for the win, of the other 2 I think dutching all of them might be the way to go, STAY SMART 5/1 could be the one to make sure the early pace is fast and using its best time which came on the AW at Newcastle it would be my top rated but its best time on turf is quite a lot lower but has to have a chance, SPIRITED GUEST 9/4 would be my 3rd and 2nd top rated but there is only 2lbs between the pair of them on my overall ratings but I sure wont be betting too heavily in this race. 

Spirited Guest 100/30 2nd -1pt 

Stay Smart 9/1 4th -1pt 

Total -2pts

DONCASTER 5.50 

A field of 9 here with only Barrington 8/1 having been known to lead before but hasn't been in good form lately and I doubt it could hold on for the win even if in top form, I will look to lay Blazing Hot 6/1 who may struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace, Dandys Gold is my 4th top rated but just 1lb behind Lucky Beggar in 3rd top spot and the later usually stays on at the business end of a race over this distance, the top weight Mutanaaseq comes out in 2nd top spot using a time from Thirsk this year and is another that stays on at the finish of a race,i will be putting my trust and money on HAIL SEZER 7/2 who recorded a time at Carlisle when finishing 2nd that would see it winning this race a shade cosily.

Hail Sezer 7/2 1st +3.5pts

Lay bets Blazing Hot +1pt 

Total on the day -3.5pts

5:00 Brighton Racing Tips (13th July)

BRIGHTON 5.00 

BOOM THE GROOM 15/2 I think is on the down slide with age, 10yo, it has slow distance times and needs further to show its best form and i will look to lay this one. 

BUY ME BACK 5/2 the trainer has had 2 winners in the last fortnight but the record at this course is 1-34 which is off-putting but it is my top rated.

MINHAAJ 9/2 the jockey is 0-60 for the stable and the trainer is 0-20 in the last 2 weeks, it may need further in my opinion so maybe another one to lay.

STREET PARADE (NON-RUNNER) the first of 2 possible pacesetters but the trainer is 0-20 in the last 2 weeks but the jockey does have a decent record for the stable 2-4.

AISH 2/1 is the 2nd of the known front running types and is my 2nd top rated, it has good trainer stats and even better jockey stats and the trainer has had 3 wins in the last 2 weeks.

HEMMSA 6/1 a 3yo who has slow times as it may prefer further and is a maiden after 7 races and i cannot see it breaking its duck here so a lay if a single figure price. 

SUMMARY: I have 3 that I could lay in this race and 2 I will back, I'm hoping AISH can get away quickly and set the pace to the race and could stay on for the win if allowed an easy lead but I do have BUY ME BACK rated a little bit higher and might have been my sole bet if it wasn't for the trainers record at this course.

Buy Me Back 11/4 1st +2.75pts

Aish 9/4 3rd -1pt 

Lay bets Boom The Group +1pt, Minhaaj +1pt

Total on the day +3.75pts

4:30 Newcastle Racing Tips & Lay Bets (10th February)

NEWCASTLE 4.30 

Even for a class 6 handicap this is a dire race and too honest I've got the same negative against every horse barring the one, the negative is that 9 of the runners have been in poor form lately, some have other negatives so the selection has to be NELLIE FRENCH 5/6 who won last time out over this distance at Wolverhampton, the same surface, but its best time came here over this c/d in 2020 and a repeat of that should be good so looks to have been found an ideal opportunity to follow up here but I expect it will be a fairly hot favourite, I cannot fathom why (Suwaan 6/1) is such a short price, yes it is a c/d winner but it hasn't shown anything of merit time wise since 2018 and i will happily lay the win on this horse. 

Abandoned

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.45 

A typical race where there is only 8 runners but I have struggled to narrow it down to anything lower than 3 of the runners so i will going with a dutch on A GO GO 9/2 who from stall 2 should be able to get away quickly and gain control of the rails and then could prove hard to catch but its best time is only good enough for 2nd top spot on recent c/d times but that is only 2lbs below QAARAAT 10/3 who just lately it has been running quite well and has won twice in its last four starts, BUY ME BACK 3/1 has only a slow c/d time to its name from its only run over this c/d but has a time from Lingfield that would make it my top rated so if taking to this surface could have every chance of winning but it has a time on the straight course at Newcastle which is good enough for 3rd overall, I will look to lay (Lady Quickstep 6/1) who may struggle to stay the distance in a fast run affair which looks more than likely here. 

Buy Me Back 10/3 1st (+3.33pts) (Betfair sp 4.57)

Qaaraat 7/2 3rd (-1pt)

A Go Go 4th 7/2 (-1pt) 

Lay bet: Lady Quickstep +1pt

Total: +2.33pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.45 Div I 

This 1st division of a class 6 sprint looks quite good for the class, (Eldelbar 5/2) will I expect be quite fancied in the betting after winning its last 2 races but its speed figures over this c/d isn't quite good enough for the win if others repeat their best but could still go well so I would go with a small lay, I would also usually look to lay Big Time Maybe as it can struggle to stay the trip but there isn't any known front runners in this race so that might not apply in this race and time wise it could go well with a slower early pace,, there's a few that could go well, Closely is my 4th top rated and 3rd top on recent c/d times, Tan who has the plum draw could be tempted to make the running and it does come out 3rd best on my figures and that time was recorded over this c/d this year, my money will be riding on *GLOBAL HUMOR 9/1 who has the best speed figure which was recorded in 2020 and the horse has one win and two places from its 3 previous c/d runs and should be staying on at the business end of the race. 

*NR

Lay bet: Eldelbar +1pt

Total: +1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.15 Div II 

This 2nd division is very poor where I can only find 5 horses with recorded times and they are not that good, among the rest there's a lot of lightly raced sorts so this race is best well left alone.

Total on the day: +3.33pts

2:40 Wolverhampton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (31st January)

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.40 

I will look to lay (Alsvinder 9/2) as this isn't its favourite surface, there are another 2 I could lay but they are both big prices so not of any value, 5 of the field have been known to lead before so it should be a mad dash for the line, BUY ME BACK 7/2 drawn in stall 2 is one that likes to lead and has a decent time from Newcastle which is the same surface but hasn't run here before but it does have a better time from Lingfield which would make it my 2nd top rated, Zulu Zander and A GO GO 16/1 who are my top and 2nd top rated on recent times are from the same stable and the latter maybe worth a small each way wager as looking at jockey bookings it might be the stables main hope in this race, YOU'RE COOL 14/1 is another that could try to lead and if able to repeat its best time from 2019 it would be the winner and at the price might be worth a small each way punt. 

Buy Me Back 4/1 3rd (-1pt)

You're Cool 14/1 4th (-2pt) 

A Go Go 16/1  5th (-2pt) 

Lay bet: Alsvinder +1pt

Total: -4pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.10

With no known front runners in the race it could become a tactical affair so its hard to analyse the race plus I cannot see anything of value to lay, Secret Potion has a decent time from Kempton but this trip usually taxes its stamina but if this is a slow run affair it could have a chance, Madrinho would be my joint top rated if I used its best 2019 time but has been well below that level since that year, I will take a punt on SEPAHI 4/1 who showed a return to form maybe imminent when finishing 4th on its last run plus its my top rated using recent c/d times and it can either be held up or track the leaders which it will probably have to do in this race to make sure it doesn't get caught flatfooted when the pace is picked up nearing home.

Sephi 7/1 9th (-1pt)

Total on the day: -5pts

2:40 Wolverhampton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (10th June)

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.40 

Quite a tricky race mainly due to a lack of data to work with for several of the runners which usually means a more experienced horse is top-rated, I will look to lay (Jem Scuttle + Valentino Sunrise). I can only find one known frontrunner in the race so if allowed an easy lead PEACHEY CARNEHAN 12/1 (EW) could run a big race and worth a small each-way bet, it is my joint top rated on a 2018 time but its best from last year was 9lb lower but it could steal this race from the front hopefully an each-way chance but this stable has another entry in PUCHITA 18/1 (EW) my 3rd top-rated and the stables usual jockey has chosen to ride this one, so another each-way chance at the odds, I will also be backing *ONE ONE SEVEN 6/1 who ran well when finishing 2nd on its last run but the jockeys 1-16 record for this stable is a little off-putting, I cannot see any way other than to dutch all 3 horses and each way if their price permits. 

*NR

Puchita 18/1 3rd (+2.6) 

Peachy Carnehan 16/1 6th (-2pts)

Lay bets: Jem Scuttle +1pt, Valentino Sunrise +1pt

Total: +2.6pts

KEMPTON 8.00

I am not too keen on this race, there's only 8 runners and the bottom 3 are 3yo’s who could be better than they have already shown, BUY ME BACK 5/1 could go well as it won over this c/d this year but if JAMAHEERY 9/2 from the powerful R Hannon stable can reproduce its Yarmouth time it would be winning here while the best of the older horses look to be SHIMMERING DAWN 7/2, I do think the winner will come from these 3 and dutching them looks the answer to me. 

Shimmering Dawn 7/2 2nd (-1pt)

Buy Me Back 16/1 6th (-1pt)

Jamaheery 9/2 7th (-1pt)

Total: -3pts 

KEMPTON 8.30 

A field of 10 runners with no known frontrunners which always makes things hard to analyse to completion, I can find a couple to lay (Pedestal + Three Little Birds) Inexes may need further or a slower surface but the jockeys good stats for the stable means I'm not confident enough to lay it, I can also see a few that will run well, the bottom weight Di Metteo has only slow times at this c/d but its best time from Wolverhampton would make it top rated but I will stick with the proven on this surface, Inaam’s best time from Lingfield would put it in the mix but it's one run at this c/d was poor, Nezar will be staying on at the finish, my money will be riding on PRIVATE MATTER 7/1 who can be held up or track the leaders but my stakes will be kept low because of the lack of known early pace.

Private Matter 7/1 4th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Pedestal +1pt, Three Little Bird +1pt

Total: +1pt

Total on the day: +0.6pts