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Thursday, 6 February 2020

2:40 Chelmsford Racing Tips & Lay Bet (6th February)


CHELMSFORD 2.40 

A nice looking class 3 sprint where I can find a couple to lay, (Prince of Rome + Commander Han) the topweight Gamgoom could be a hidden danger in the race the way it ran on strongly over the 5 furlong trip at this course, there's a few with decent win and place ratios, Mohareb having the best with 3 wins and 4 places from 7 AW rcaces and it could make the frame again here, Rock On Baileys, Fizzy Feet, Gracious John and With Caution could also be competing to make the frame, my money will be riding on STORM OVER 4/1 who won last time out and has been found a good opportunity to follow up here and has good trainer/jockey stats which is always a positive. 

Storm Over 4/1 4th 

Lay bets: Prince Of Rome (+1pt) Commander Han (+1pt)

Total +1pt 

CHELMSFORD 3.50 

Another class 3 race where I hope all 8 entrants take part, I've found 3 that I will look to lay here (Alsvinder + Typhoon Ten + Thegreatestshowman) the early pace could be set by Pink Flamingo and maybe Alsvinder but will be setting the race up for a finishing type, King Robert my 4th top-rated and Shamshon in 3rd spot will both be trying to stay on strongly at the finish, my 2nd top-rated Verne Castle is on a losing run of 11 races which is off-putting and I'm not sure the jockey is a positive booking, I will be taking a bit of a chance on LANCELOT DU LAC 4/1 who I have to admit hasn't been in the best form and the price is shorter than I was expecting but I'm hoping its 4th place finish last time out is a pointer to it coming back to form and apprentice booked to take the ride has a good 20% win ratio on the stables older horse on AW tracks. 

Lancelot Du Lac 4/1 3rd 
Lay bets: Alsvinder (+1pt) Typhoon Ten (+1pt) Thegreatestshowman (+1pt)

Total +2pt

NEWCASTLE 6.30

A class 4 affair where I can find 2 horses to lay (Moon Trouble + Louis Treize) and I would have to dutch the remaining 4 runners who all have some chance of winning, Mythical Spirit hasn't any form on this surface to work with but it could be staying on strongly here and does have good trainer/jockey stats, the other 3 are my top 3 ratings but none have positive pointers looking at their trainers and jockeys so I cannot narrow it down any lower than the possible four. 

Lay bets: Moon Trouble (+1pt) Louis Treize (+1pt) 

Total +2pts 

NEWCASTLE 7.00

Another class 4 race but only 7 runners to look at but I would look to lay (National Anthem + *Kamra + Airwaves + Double Up) the bottom weight Calin's Lad has good trainer/jockey stats and should be trying to stay on strongly at the finish, Dandys Gold is making its debut in England but wasn't in good form in its last few runs in Ireland so I'm not sure what to expect but hope it doesn't spring back to form in this race, which leaves me with the one I will be backing, the topweight ATHOLLBLAIR BOY 7/2 is my top rated and it will be another staying on strongly at the finish.

Athollblair Boy 7/2 4th 

Lay bets: National Anthem (+1pt) Ariwaves (+1pt) Double Up (+1pt) 

*Deceased 

Total +2pts 

Total on Day +7pts