6:30 Newcastle Racing Tips (21st February)

NEWCASTLE 6.30 

QUEEN OF BURGUNDY may need further to show its best and time wise its got a bit to find but I doubt it will be of value to lay. 

KATHEEFA has been in poor form lately but does come out joint 3rd top rated using a 2020 speed figure but I suspect it will be an outsider if not then a lay. 

*LINCOLN GAMBLE 4/1 hasn't done a recordable time on any of the 3 courses that have this Tapeta surface and may need a longer distance to show its best, so one i will look to have a one point lay on. 

I KNOW HOW recorded its best time in 2019 and its times since then have been a lot lower and one I will look to lay if of value to do so. 

STORM OVER is one of the three front running types in this race and also my top rated using its best time from 2021 and did a decent time at Southwell best of the 4 that have run there. 

PURPLE POWER is another that has been known to lead but has never run on this surface before and might need a longer distance so might not be quite quick enough to get to the front. 

WON LOVE 4/1 the 3rd of the front running types but this one sets a slow pace when it leads which it wont be allowed to do in this race so one to lay. 

PADDY POWER comes out as my second top rated using a 2019 rating and and co third best using a 2021 rating so could make the frame. 

MILLION REASONS 7/1 hasn't any form over this distance on this surface and won last time out in a slow run race at Lingfield so may need further and maybe another one to lay.

WESTERN MUSIC 4/1 is another that looks to want a longer distance, has a slow time from both Wolverhampton and Southwell where it won last time out and one I will look to lay. 

SUMMARY: In theory I could look to lay seven of the ten runners for various reasons and the betting will show which ones finally make my lay list, Katheefa comes out joining 3rd top rated using a 2020 rating so could possibly make the frame but its not been in form recently so maybe not strong enough positives to even back each way but never say never with this one, Paddy Power 16/1 is my 2nd top rated and usually stays on at the finish over this distance and may need further to show its best but an each way bet could pay dividends as it could run on enough to make the frame and might be even be worth doing for the forecast along with the one i will be backing, STORM OVER 40/1 (EW) is my top rated using a 2021 rating and although at first glance it doesn't look to be in good form recently it did record the best time of those that have run at Southwell on their new Tapeta surface so I am hoping it can lead all the way in this race, the stables poor recent form does temper my confidence and hence my stakes but if its a double figure price as forecast in the early tissue prices then it will be an each way wager. 

*NR

Storm Over 40/1 8th -2pts

Lay bets Million Reasons -7.5pts, Queen Of Burgundy +1pt, Katheefa +1pts, I Know How +1pt, Won Love +1pt, Western Music +1pt 

Total -4.5pts 

NEWCASTLE 7.00 

TRIGGERED a lot of its form was in higher class races but has ran twice at this class 5 level where it ran well in defeat so it could go well again here but the jockey is 0-4 for the stable while its 57 runners and 43 days since the stables last winner, its my second top rated using c/d speed figures and top rated of those that have run at Southwell on this surface. 

SPARTAN FIGHTER is one of two known front runners in this race and is my top rated using a course and distance speed figure it recorded last year, its another that has been dropped in class and could possibly lead all the way. 

KRATOS has had two previous course and distance races and neither times has it done a recorded speed figure, it only comes out 3rd top using a Southwell rating and would need to improve to win this race and its with a more than capable stable but maybe worth laying. 

CARIBBEAN SUNSET has had 1 previous course and distance race which resulted in a slow time therefore no recorded rating, its best time from Lingfiled wouldn't be good enough to win this race and another i would look to lay if of value to do so. 

JUNGLE SPEED is the other known front running type but time wise, using its best rating which was recorded in 2020, it would need to improve to win this race, and its best rating from 2021 was a bit below its previous years best. 

BURROWS SEESIDE usually races in midfield before trying to stay on resolutely nearing the finish and comes out second best on my own unique speed figures so could go well enough to make the frame but I doubt in will be an each way price.

ATHOLLBLAIR BOY this nine year old seems to be on the decline as i had to go back to 2019 to find its best speed figure and even that rating wouldn't be enough to win this race and its best rating from 2021 was a good few spots below its best rating. 

MARSELAN is making it debut here on an AW course, its not run over this distance before but all its turf form points to it wanting a longer distance so a lay if of value to do so, which I doubt. 

SUMMARY: The betting will decide which horses I lay in this race but the candidates are, Kratos, Caribbean Sunset and Athollblair Boy while two others possibles, Marselan and Jungle Speed look likely to be double figure prices, when looking at the betting near the off time, Burrows Seeside is my 2nd top rated and could run into a place but I'm not sure it will be an each way price, the top weight Triggered 5/2 could go well and might have been with a bet if its trainer/jockey stats hadn't been negative, so I am hoping that SPARTAN FIGHTER 14/1 can lead and set the pace to the race and could then be hard to catch and it is also dropped in class and looks to have been found a good chance to get back to winning ways here.

Spartan Fighter 14/1 1st +14pts

Lay bet Carribean Sunset +1pt 

Total +15pts 

Total on the day +11.5pts

Lay bets must be 9/1 and less sp or no bet

6:00 Newcastle Racing Tips (10th February)

NEWCASTLE 6.00 

A field of ten take part here with three of them being known as front running types so it should be a true run race, Nellie French 14/1 and Qaaraat 8/1 have good speed figures if I use their best ratings from 2020 but both have been well below that level since that year and I think the betting will reflect that, Eeh Bah Gum 9/2 hasn't any recent course and distance form to its name but I would have to go back to 2019 to find this ones best rating so may be worth taking on with a lay bet, Joshua R has only slow times from its two course and distance runs but the surface has been running slow of late so cannot be discarded, I will be backing BERNARD SPEIRPOINT 4/1 who is a possible pacesetter and is top rated using recent Southwell ratings and this will be its debut on this course and maybe the straight course will suit it better, my other bet will be on STROXX 7/1 who is still a maiden after 15 races but has a good rating over this course and distance from last year and could be the one to prosper if the leaders fade nearing the finish, I was hoping for an each way price with this horse and it might drift enough to be worth doing each way. 

Bernard Speirpoint 4/1 4th -1pt 

Stroxx 13/2 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Eeh Bah Gum +1pt 

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 6.30 

Only 6 runners for this class 3 race which is disappointing as is the fact that there's no known front runners in the race and to be honest I think more than half the field are more than capable of winning this race, Asadjumeirah has only run over this c/d when the going has been slow so I'm not really sure what it can achieve if the going is standard but I couldn't say it cant win this race, I did have to go back to 2020 to find Rathbone’s best rating but I expect it will be an outsider in this race but would be worth laying if its a single figure price,if sticking to the proven then I think the winner will come from any of Aberama Gold, top on Southwell ratings, Astro Jakk, top using a 2020 speed figure and Ballyare who is top rated on c/d rating from 2021/22, so maybe this race is best left alone. 

NEWCASTLE 7.00 

There is just one known front runner in this race but it is my top rated so I will be hoping that STORM OVER 11/1 (EW) can lead from start to finish and get back to winning ways as its my top rated using a c/d speed figure recorded in 2021, admittedly it hasn't been in the best of form lately but it is the best horse in this race taking on inferior beasts, it does well at this course and maybe the switch back to this course, its last run here was February last year, will rejuvenate it and this is its best chance to lead for some time now but the trainer hasn't had a winner from 24 runners in the last 91 days which tempers my stakes while I hope all 8 runners take part so I can back it each way, Tarnholm 16/1 may be better when racing over a longer distance so maybe worth laying, but not at the price, as will Rabeh 15/2 but this one probably needs to drop down in distance, on my ratings Deevious Beau 4/1, Oriental Lilly 10/3 and Due A Win 11/2 will be battling for the minor places.

Storm Over 14/1 6th -2pts 

Total -2pt 

Total on the day -3pts

Lay bets must be single-figure odds. 

2:25 Southwell Racing Tips (27th Jauary)

SOUTHWELL 2.25 

I will look to lay Digital 12/1 if its value to do so because it struggles to stay this distance in a true run race, Tommy De Vito 3/1 will need to improve time wise on its Newcastle rating to win this race but when a horse wins it can bring about improvement so I cant put it up as a lay, Shallow Hal would have every chance if able to reproduce its best 2020 rating but hasn't been quite up to that level since then, MOHAREB 13/2 has the best rating on just recent c/d speed figures and being the only known front runner in the race it could go very well from the front and will be carrying some of my money but I will also be backing *ASTRO JAKK 12/1 who is a very close 2nd on recent c/d speed figures and comes out in top spot on figures from Newcastle and Wolverhampton and this one has good trainer/jockey stats. 

*NR

Mohareb 13/2 9th -1pts

Lay bet Digital +1pt, Tommy De Vito -2.75

Total -2.75pts

SOUTHWELL 2.55 

This race is hard to back down to a conclusion, Eye Of The Tiger 11/2 hasn't been in good form recently and one I will look to lay, *Decision Maker 10/1 may need this run for fitness so may be worth taking on with a lay bet, Inclement Weather 4/1 has a chance on my speed figures but the trainer is 0-3 at this course and the jockey is 0-24 for the stable so another one to consider laying, I will be covering the angles with 2 bets, TOPTIME 3/1 is one of 2 known front runners in this race it has good trainer/jockey stats and just top rated on c/d times on this new surface, the other bet is going to be on STORM OVER 20/1 also has good jockey stats but the trainer hasn't had a winner for the last 77 days but has the plum stall 1 draw and could go best of those coming from off the pace. 

*NR

Toptime 4/1 4th -1pt 

Storm Over 22/1 6th 1pt 

Lay bets Inclement Weather +1pt, Eye Of The Water +1pt

Total 0pts

SOUTHWELL 3.25 

This is a poor race with 3 known front 'runners and of that trio I will be hoping that JEANS MAITE 8/1 can do best and is 2nd top on just recent c/d times and it is only a fraction slower than GLORIOUS CHARMER 6/1 so it could be very close between the pair of them I have to add into the mix BLUELLA 16/1 who comes out top on Tapeta speed figures but from the other two courses, the trainer does quite well here but hasn't had a winner in 43 days from 20 runners, I'm not sure there is anything of value to lay and my stakes will be kept low in a race which wont take much winning. 

Jean's Maite 8/1 1st +8pts

Bluella  66/1 5th -1pt 

Glorious Charmer 8/1 7th -1pt 

Total +6pts

NEWCASTLE 6.30 

The early pace to this race could well be set by Barrington but I doubt it will be good enough for it to win but being my 4th top rated it could make the frame so maybe worth an each way bet if of value, I would look to lay Mrs Bagerran 13/2, Clear Angel 8/1 and Perfect Soldier 15/2 if they are single figure prices nearing the off, I will be splitting my bet between TELL’EM NOWT 4/1 and BERYL THE PERIL 7/2 the former will be trying to stay on at the finish as it races as though a longer trip might suit it better but has recorded what looks to be a decent speed figure on this new surface, the latter will be tracking the leaders and then stays on strongly at the finish and has good trainer/jockey stats. 

Tell'em Nowt 4/1 1st +4pts

Beryl The Peril 7/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bets Mrs Bagerran +1pt, Clear Angel +1pt

Total +5pts 

NEWCASTLE 7.00 

Only 7 runners but no obvious front runner in the field so maybe best to keep stakes low, both Porfin and Portelet Bay need to improve time wise and they both may need further to show their true merits, Blazing Hot won over c/d distance last time out but it wasn't a fast run race so maybe that result has flattered it and might be worth risking with a lay if its a short price, Tanasoq is 2nd top on my figures and will be trying to stay on at the finish but my money will be riding on TATHMEEN 5/1 who would this race if it reproduced its best 2021 speed figure and had an even better rating from 2020 which would see it winning this race a shade cosily.

Tathmeen 5/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet Blazing Hot -2.5pts 

Total -3.5pts

Total on the day +4.75pts

4:20 Southwell Racing Tips (11th January)

SOUTHWELL 4.20 

I am never quite sure what to make of these apprentice races where they carry whips but are not allowed to use them, if you are cleverer than me you perhaps know the answer to this question: Which horses respond to a jockey's urging without the use of the whip because I am certain some horses do not and will not give their all without a reminder or two from the whip so in all reality these races should be left alone but I might have found a nugget or two for this race. It is fairly close at the top of my speed figures and You're Cool, Brandy Station and The Tron could go well but the three of those trainers have not had a winner in the last 2 weeks which is a bit off-putting. The early pace could be set by Jean's Maite and/or May The Sixth but both sit just outside my top five ratings so could be worth laying during the race if they are in front. While Papa's Girl is 2nd top on just course and distance times since the new surface was laid but I do have MISS SEAFIRE 12/1 (EW) rated just a little bit higher and the 5lbs the apprentice claims could be the deciding factor although he is 0-3 for the stable but that isn't enough data to make it a reliable fact but the trainer does have a 22% win ratio at this course and 3-18 record in apprentice races so at the price I will go with an each way bet, my top rated on this surface, but at either Newcastle or Wolverhampton, is GLORIOUS CHARMER 13/2 and this ones trainer has a 3-14 win ratio in apprentice races, I will be backing them both but I cannot be betting too heavily in a low class apprentice race on a newly laid surface, so one win bet and one each way is the way I will be going in this race along with a lay on Gossip 8/1 if it stays a single figure price.

Miss Seafire 20/1 2nd +4pts 

Glorious Charmer 9/1 6th -1pt

Total +3pts 

SOUTHWELL 7.50 

The lack of early pace in this race could be a problem but I will be both laying and backing in this race, I will be looking to lay *Starter For Ten 11/4 who won last time out but that speed figure is only good enough for 4th top spot and is therefore poor value, so it only takes one of my top 3 to run to their best then it cannot win and as its forecast to be the favourite it would be of poor value to back, I will also look to lay Toptime 13/2 who won at Kempton but that also was a slow run race so both of them might have been flattered. Ginato is actually my 2nd top rated but it has poor trainer/jockey stats and the stable hasn't had a winner for over two months which puts me off its chances and stall 12 could be the deciding factor on why I will not be backing this runner, DEEVIOUS BEAU 8/1 is my 3rd top rated and the trainer is 3-6 for the last two weeks, so is in good form, the trainer also has a good 21% strike-rate at this course and the jockey has a 22% win ratio for the stable so has to carry some of my money but I do have STORM OVER 33/1 (EW) rated higher and if it had been in good form it might have been my sole selection but it can spring back to form without warning so I cannot let it run without some of my money riding on it each way especially at such a big price.

*NR

Storm Over 33/1 9th -2pts 

Deevious Beau 8/1 Unp -1pt

Total -3pts

Total on the day 0pts

Lay bets must be single figure odds at sp

2:30 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (22nd December)

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.30 

In this 5 furlong dash I can see 5 horses that like or can lead and with a bit of luck this race could be won from the front as long as they don't go off too fast and fade badly approaching the finish, maybe Araifjan 7/1 might be worth taking on with a lay bet as it usually runs better over a longer distance, Red Walls comes out 3rd top and is a possible pacesetter but is drawn in stall 10 of the 11 runners, Savalas coming out of stall 6 comes out 2nd top on my figures and it is another one that has been known to lead before while my top rated is ROYDMOOR 9/2 who won for me last time out and has been found a good opportunity to follow up here as long as stall 9 doesn't prove to be its downfall but time wise I think it should be fast enough away to gain a good early prominent position and if reproducing its best rating it would follow up here with a few spots in hand. 

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.00 

For a class 4 affair this isn't the greatest of races, I can only suggest a couple that might be worth taking an each way punt on, TRIGGERED 20/1 (EW) comes out top using a time it recorded at Newcastle in 2020 but hasn't any form over this course while the jockey has an overall win ratio of 20% for the stable but it does drop to 13% on the stables older horses, PORTELET BAY 10/1 (EW) who comes out 2nd best on overall figures but is top rated on just 2021 course and distance times and the jockey has a decent 18% win ratio on the stables 3yo’s. 

SOUTHWELL 7.30 

I will look to lay Porterinthejungle 6/1 who may need a longer distance to show its true merit and this race might not be run to suit it with just one natural front running type in the race and that horse is better over 5 furlongs so I'm not sure if there will be a fast early pace while if there is a decent early pace then Capla Spirit 6/1 may struggle to stay the distance, Royal Advice and Tathmeen are my joint 3rd top rated so could make the frame, I've got BURROW'S SEESIDE 8/1 (EW) as my 2nd top rated and this one usually races in midfield before staying on at the finish but it will need to bounce back to form to win this race, my top rated is STORM OVER 33/1 (EW) another who will need to return to form, both are capable on their day and hopefully a couple of each way wagers will pay dividends.

Lay bets only if single-figure odds at sp.

5:00 Newcastle Racing Tips (11th December)

NEWCASTLE 5.00 

To be completely honest this is a very poor race even for class 6, I have put negatives against half of the 14 runners while I can see 3 horses that have been known to lead before and if one horse bounces back to form it could be won from the front, I am not sure if there will be any lays as all bar one of the 7 I have negatives for are forecast to be double figure prices, I've got SWISS CONNECTION 8/1 (EW) as my 3rd top rated and this one is capable of reproducing its best speed figure again and could at least make the frame and with question marks about my top 2 ratings I will have to back this one as well, BLACKCURRENT 18/1 (EW) is my top rated on just 2021 ratings but the jockey is 0-4 for the stable but could make the frame while my top rated horse ROCKLEY POINT 28/1 (EW) becomes my top rated using a rating from 2020 and drops to 2nd top using a time recorded earlier this year but has been way out of form lately and it has poor trainer, 5% and jockey 0-15 stats which puts me off a little but could be worth an each way punt an I cannot see anything else to do but back the three of them with each way bets at the odds available. 

Backcurrent 22/1 1st +22pts 

Swiss Connection 8/1 4th -2pts 

Rockley Point 33/1 Unp -2pts 

Total +18pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.15 

A 9 runner race with a couple of known front running types, I will be looking to lay Corvair 15/2 who races as though a longer distance would suit it better and the jockeys record is 0-14 for the stable, Temple Bruer comes out a my 3rd top rated but that was in a lower class race and may be out of its depth in this race, the top weight Fizzy Feet (non runner) comes out 2nd best on my speed figures but that was using a 2020 time and has been a bit below that level this year but could make the frame, my money will be riding on MUSCIKA 2/1 who has won its last 3 races and could lead again here and achieve the four timer I expect it will be the favourite but might be worth including in a multiple bet. 

Muscika 9/4 7th -1pt

Lay bet Corvair +1pt 

Total 0pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.45 

I can see a couple of possible pacesetters in this race but I doubt that they can hold on for the win as they both need to improve time wise, I'm not sure if there is anything of value to put forward as a lay bet in this race but the betting will be the deciding factor as usual, El Hombre is my 4th top rated but that is using a 2020 time and this horses seems to be getting a bit slower each year, Vape comes out top rated on just 2021 course and distance times but that is only good enough for 3rd top spot overall, Ballyare comes 2nd best but I had to go back to 2019 to find this ones rating but in its defence it has not run over this course and distance since that year and the apprentice jockey booking could be a positive and it could make the frame, I have to admit my top rated STORM OVER 33/1 (EW) hasn't shown much in its last 5 runs and has only ran once over this course and distance this year but its best time from 2020 puts it in top spot and the apprentices 5b claim could tip things more in its favour, it is a bit more of a gamble but at the price I cannot let it run without a few quid riding on it as an each way punt.

Storm Over 40/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day +16pts

7:10 Newcastle Racing Tips (16th Febraury)

NEWCASTLE 7.10 

GLOBAL WARNING 11/4 has won its only previous c/d run and could have a positive looking apprentice jockey booking, it has been known to lead but time wise it will need to improve to hold on for the win. 

SPARTAN FIGHTER 4/1 has average trainer/jockey stats but has a decent c/d time which was recorded this year which is a positive, it usually tracks the leaders and is 4th top on my figures. 

KIND REVIEW 5/1 comes out 3rd best on overall speed figures and is usually held up or runs in the middle of the field, it has just a bit above average trainer/jockey stats and I would perhaps have backed it each way if there was 3 places up for grabs. 

STORM OVER 4/1 the trainer has a 11% win ratio with their older horses while the jockey has a 36% win record again on older horses which makes me think they are expecting it to follow up here and is top rated on my figures. 

GIOGIOBBO 14/1 is the other in the race that's has been known to lead and time wise its got a better rating but that's only good enough for 4th top spot also it no wins, no places from its 3 previous c/d runs. 

DEVIL'S ANGEL 9/1 has decent jockey stats and average trainer stats but time wise its got to improve a few pounds but has won one c/d race from the 3 its ran in. 

ATHOLLBLAIR BOY 8/1 has quite poor trainer stats but has won 4 of its 18 previous c/d races, it has a time from 2019 that would make it my top rated but has been 18lbs below that level since then. 

SUMMARY: The only older horse handicap sprint for the day and just 7 runners, I like at least 8 in case i find an each way wager, I expect Giogiobbo will do best of the front running pair and could go well from the front if allowed an easy lead but I'm doubtful it can win and I will go with STORM OVER 4/1 hoping it can follow up its win from last time out eleven days ago.

Storm Over 9/2 7th (-1pt)

4:10 Lingfield Racing Tips (24th January)

4:10 Lingfield 

ICE AGE hasn't shown much lately and its only AW in came over 7 furlongs so should be staying on at the finish if fit but maybe too late to win the race.

JACKSTAR hasn't any distance form to its name and is another that may be better when racing over further but its best Wolverhampton time would make it 3rd top overall. 

SPRING ROMANCE hasn't any recent c/d form to its name and its best time from 2019 wouldn't be good enough to make the frame if others do their best.

HURCLE has only a slow c/d time to its name despite winning over this c/d so would need to improve time wise to get involved in the finish here. 

CHALMANIC it hasn't made the frame its only 2 AW runs and races as though it will be a better prospect when tried over further.

DAZZLING DES has a c/d time from 2020 that makes it my top rated on recent c/d times and 2nd overall so could go well here but the jockey booking doesn't look a positive move so maybe its getting fit for a future target. 

GARTH ROCKETT has a good record of 2 wins and a place from just 3 c/d runs but its best time from them is a bit below what might be required to win this race. 

STORM OVER hasn't any form over this c/d but it has done well at Chemsford which is a very similar type of course and its best time from there would make it top rated here, this is the trainers first runner here and its the jockeys 1st ride for the stable.

POWER OVER ME won well last time out but the time was only good enough for 2nd top spot on recent c/d times and 4th top overall but it is an improving sort so could go well but i doubt it will be an each way price. 

GREY GALLEON ran a decent race when finishing 2nd last time out at Kempton, its only c/d run resulted in a slow time plus its still a maiden after 14 runs. 

SUMMARY: If Power Over Me doesn't lead, it didn't when it won last time out but has done so in the past, i haven't a clue what will set the pace, if it does lead I'm not sure it will hold on, I will lay (Grey Galleon) as long as its a single figure price, Dazzling Des ought to run a decent race if in the mood but I will be putting my pennies on STORM OVER 7/1 hoping it can repeat its best time from Chelmsford which would see it winning a shade cosily.

7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (10th October)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

A competitive looking class 4 race with 13 entrants and 4 that like to set the early pace but I think they will set the race up for something coming from off the pace, there's a few that could battle to make the frame, Clareyblue, Extraordinaire (who may do best of the front runners) Recall The Show and Lilklan, my selection is ROCK BOY GREY 6/1 who should be staying on at the finish but I will also have a small each way bet on *STORM OVER 33/1 who has a time from 2019 that would make it top rated and at the price I cannot let it run without a bet on it. 

*NR

Rock Boy Grey 6/1 1st (+6pts) Betfair SP (5.9)

Total: +6pts 

(If you get  a chance, watch the race from the start)

CHELMSFORD 7.30 

A full house of 14 for this race with a couple of front running types and another that can lead if nothing else wants to, Indian Pursuit has a speed figure from 2018 that would see it winning this race but it hasn't shown the same level since then from limited opportunities, Poppy May is a possible pacesetter and comes out joint 3rd best on my figures the other joint 3rd rated being Dubai Paradise, ROCKETEER 10/1 is joint top rated and the one that could do best of those coming from off the pace and has a positive jockey booking and it will be carrying some of my money along with ROCKESBURY 9/1 who is a possible pacesetter and if this one gets to the front it could prove hard to catch but i have to back them both to cover both angles.

Rockesbury 9/1 2nd (-1pt)

Rocketeer 10/1 6th (-1pt)

Total -2pts

Total on the day +4pts

3:20 Kempton Racing Tips and Lay Bets (12th August)

KEMPTON 3.20

This looks a competitive class 3 race but I would look to lay (May Sonic 7/2 who may not like this surface and is favourite on the early tissue prices + The Cruising Lord who may find this trip too far and worth laying if a single figure price) the 3yo Love Powerful hasn't any form at this distance on the AW but does have a good time on turf, STORM OVER 10/1 could go well using a Chelmsford time but this is its debut here, it could be worth an each-way punt if a big price, I will also be backing EL HOMBRE 16/1 but I am not sure what to make of the jockeys 0-8 record for this stable and its enough to put me off putting it up as my sole selection, so I will be having 2 each way bets at the prices on offer. 

El Hombre 16/1 7th (-2pt) 
Storm Over 16/1 Unp (-2pt)

Lay bets: May Sonic (-1.75) Betfair SP (2.88), The Cruising Lord +1pt

Total:  -4.75pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.35

I dont think this is a race to be betting too big in theres too many crossed lines of form but something caught my eye enough to write up this race, theres a few that could go well on some pieces of form, Cowboy Soldier hasnt any course form but has fast times fromKempton and Southwell but its time from Newcastle, the same surface, wouldnt be good enough so not sure the surace suits it, Benny And The Jets could do best of the possible pacesettters using a Kempton time but hasnt any c/d form, Dazzling Den won over this c/d but in a slow time but has a good time from Newcastle and will be trying to stay on at the finish, my pennies will be riding on ABSOLUTIO 15/2 who hasnt any form at this distance but its 6f time here puts it in the mix and this drop in distance might be a good move, the eye catcher is the trainers record of 2-13 with all runners and 2-4 with the older horses and the jockeys record is 1-2 for this stable on all rides and 1-1 on the older horses which makes me think they are expecting a big run here.

Absolutio 15/2 4th (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

Total on the day: -5.75pts

2:40 Chelmsford Racing Tips & Lay Bet (6th February)

CHELMSFORD 2.40 

A nice looking class 3 sprint where I can find a couple to lay, (Prince of Rome + Commander Han) the topweight Gamgoom could be a hidden danger in the race the way it ran on strongly over the 5 furlong trip at this course, there's a few with decent win and place ratios, Mohareb having the best with 3 wins and 4 places from 7 AW rcaces and it could make the frame again here, Rock On Baileys, Fizzy Feet, Gracious John and With Caution could also be competing to make the frame, my money will be riding on STORM OVER 4/1 who won last time out and has been found a good opportunity to follow up here and has good trainer/jockey stats which is always a positive. 

Storm Over 4/1 4th 

Lay bets: Prince Of Rome (+1pt) Commander Han (+1pt)

Total +1pt 

CHELMSFORD 3.50 

Another class 3 race where I hope all 8 entrants take part, I've found 3 that I will look to lay here (Alsvinder + Typhoon Ten + Thegreatestshowman) the early pace could be set by Pink Flamingo and maybe Alsvinder but will be setting the race up for a finishing type, King Robert my 4th top-rated and Shamshon in 3rd spot will both be trying to stay on strongly at the finish, my 2nd top-rated Verne Castle is on a losing run of 11 races which is off-putting and I'm not sure the jockey is a positive booking, I will be taking a bit of a chance on LANCELOT DU LAC 4/1 who I have to admit hasn't been in the best form and the price is shorter than I was expecting but I'm hoping its 4th place finish last time out is a pointer to it coming back to form and apprentice booked to take the ride has a good 20% win ratio on the stables older horse on AW tracks. 

Lancelot Du Lac 4/1 3rd 
Lay bets: Alsvinder (+1pt) Typhoon Ten (+1pt) Thegreatestshowman (+1pt)

Total +2pt

NEWCASTLE 6.30

A class 4 affair where I can find 2 horses to lay (Moon Trouble + Louis Treize) and I would have to dutch the remaining 4 runners who all have some chance of winning, Mythical Spirit hasn't any form on this surface to work with but it could be staying on strongly here and does have good trainer/jockey stats, the other 3 are my top 3 ratings but none have positive pointers looking at their trainers and jockeys so I cannot narrow it down any lower than the possible four. 

Lay bets: Moon Trouble (+1pt) Louis Treize (+1pt) 

Total +2pts 

NEWCASTLE 7.00

Another class 4 race but only 7 runners to look at but I would look to lay (National Anthem + *Kamra + Airwaves + Double Up) the bottom weight Calin's Lad has good trainer/jockey stats and should be trying to stay on strongly at the finish, Dandys Gold is making its debut in England but wasn't in good form in its last few runs in Ireland so I'm not sure what to expect but hope it doesn't spring back to form in this race, which leaves me with the one I will be backing, the topweight ATHOLLBLAIR BOY 7/2 is my top rated and it will be another staying on strongly at the finish.

Athollblair Boy 7/2 4th 

Lay bets: National Anthem (+1pt) Ariwaves (+1pt) Double Up (+1pt) 

*Deceased 

Total +2pts 

Total on Day +7pts

3:25 Lingfield Racing Tips & Lay Bets (18th January)

LINGFIELD 3.25

There's 3 horses that could set the pace but Awsaaf in stall 2 would like to lead and then set its own slowish pace but hopefully, that won't happen here and I would look to have a small lay on this one, another that I would also lay to a small stake is George Thomas, Sandridge Lad from stall 5 and Lalania in stall 9 are the other 2 frontrunners and both in my top 5 ratings and could easily make the frame, Alicia Darcy is 2nd top on just 2019/20 c/d times but will need some luck from stall 10, my money will be riding on HIGHLAND ACCLAIM 5/1 who likes to track the leaders and from stall 4 could get a good tow into the race.

Win bet: Highland Acclaim 8/1 6th   
Lay: Awsaaf 9th (+1pt) George Thomas Unp (+1pt) 

Total = +1pt

LINGFIELD 3.50

This is a poor race and two that are forecast to be the 1st two in the betting, Dreamboat Annie who could lead all the way here but is on a losing streak of 20 races and Chocco Star who ran on well over 5 furlongs in a fast run race looks the main danger, Our Man In Havana, Porto Ferro and Pharoh Jake have the odd piece of form that could see them make the frame but maybe these conditions are not quite right for them, it's probably a race best left alone. 

CHELMSFORD 4.45

The topweight DEEDS NOT WORDS 3/1 won well last time out and has been found an ideal opportunity to follow up here but in all honesty, this race being class 7 will not take much winning and being an apprentice jockeys race where they cannot use their whips adds more negatives to the race so my stake won't be at full strength, maybe the best way to make a profit in this race is with laying, Ask The Guru, Alaskan Bay, Grandee Daisy, and Miss Gradenko even with these lays my stakes will be again kept fairly low. 

Win bet: Deeds Not Words 3/1 1st 
Lay: Ask The Guru (+1pt) Alaskan Bay (+1pt) Grandee Daisy (+1pt) Miss Gradenko (+1pt)

Total = +7pts 

CHELMSFORD 6.15 

This class 3 sprint should be the best race of the day but the big problem is the lack of known pace setting types in the race, the bottom 5 in the handicap are all usually held up for a late run and 3 of my top 5 are in the top 4 in the handicap, there's a few in this race which I will look to lay, Red Alert, Concierge, Savalas, and Calder Prince, El Hombre and Katheefa could do enough to make the frame if reproducing their best times, my top rated on just 2019/20 c/d times is STORM OVER 4/1 who will be coming with a late run and will be carrying some of my money along with LANCELOT DU LAC 8/1 who is coming out of stall one and has been known to lead before and if deploying those tactics here it could pay dividends, its best time from 2018 puts it top-rated overall and this is a drop in class for it.

Win bets: Storm Over 4/1 1st, Lancelot Du Lac 8/1 4th
Lay bets: Red Alert (+1pt) Concierge (+1pt) Savalas (NR) Calder Prince (+1pt) 

Total = + 6pts

Total On Day +18.45pts 

3:35 Wolverhampton - Free Horse Racing Tips (12th December)

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.35 

This Class 6 stakes race is quite poor. 

Eight of the thirteen runners look to have very little chance of winning. 

Rock Warbler and Sagittarian Wind could possibly be dangers as they both have what look to be positive jockey bookings. 

Poppy May comes out third top on my speed figures. She has good trainer/jockey stats but stall twelve (12) isn't going to help her cause. 

The early pace will most likely be set by Dodgy Bob from stall three (3) and its second top on my figures. 

I will be backing CUBAN SPIRIT 5/1 who likes to track the leaders. Lee Carter's charge could get a good tow into the race from stall four (4) and stay on the stronger at the finish.

Cuban Spirit 10/1 5th  

CHELMSFORD 5.50

There are four frontrunning types in this race so it should be a true run affair. 

Young John has the best draw of these in stall four (4) but may prefer a slower surface.

The other three front runners are drawn in wide in stalls: ten, eleven and twelve. Roger Teal's Spirit Of May (10) is my fourth top-rated. Eye Of The water (12) is another that may prefer a different surface. 

While the bottom weight Sandridge Lad comes out third top and is on a losing run of thirteen.

*STORM OVER 7/1 comes out top on just 2019 course and distance times so has to be considered as the possible winner. 

However, I have *DOUBLE UP 17/2 rated a good few spots higher but this gelding's best time came from 2018. In his defense, Ian Williams' son of Exceed And Excel hasn't run over this course and distance so far this year (off course for 140-days). 

Both horses have what look positive jockey bookings so I will go with backing them both in this race but maybe sways in favour of my overall top rated.

*NR



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