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Wednesday, 15 July 2020

1:00 Hamilton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (16th July)

DONT FORGET PLEASE CHECK THE GOING 

HAMILTON 1.00 

Only 7 runners but no known frontrunners, I will look to lay (Lady Celia who may need further or a slower surface + Somewhere Secret who has poor times and doesn't seem to like good to firm ground) both Groundwork and Northern Society could go well if they run to their best but the one carrying the money is LYDIATE LADY 11/1 who likes to track the leaders and then run on strongly at the finish and its a shame there's not 8 runners so I could back it each way with 3 places up for grabs. 


Lydiate Lady 11/1 2nd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Lady Celia +2.75pts, Somewhere Secret +1pt

Total: -2.75pts

HAMILTON 1.30

Down to 6 runners for this race and I will look to lay half the field, (Ey Up Its Mick who might not like the going + Kindly won't like it if the going is good to firm + Indiara who may need further) I am hoping that Gullane One and Kindly will set the pace and then my selection FINAL FRONTIER 5/1 will stay on the stronger in the closing stages of the race. 

Final Frontier 11/2 3rd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Kindly -4pts, Ey Up Its Mick +1pt, Indira +1pt

Total: -4pts 

HAMILTON 2.00

A field of 10 for this class 3 race with a couple of known frontrunners it should be a true run affair, I can only find (Cold Store) to lay as I think it needs either a longer trip or a slower surface maybe both, its a hard race to narrow down to a final conclusion and I have 4 runners that I think could possibly win this race, Teruntum Star, Music Society, Admiralty, and Monoski. Teruntum Star doesn't want good to firm ground, Admiralty has good trainer/jockey stats but its best time was back in 2018, Music Society also has good trainer/jockey stats but again might not want it to be good to firm ground, my main selection, therefore, has to be MONOSKI 12/1 (EW) who is only a three year old and could improve further and has a chance to lead all the way here but at these odds, it has to be given as an each-way wager. 

Monoski 20/1 5th (-2pts)

Lay bet: Cold Store +1pt

Total: -1pt  

SANDOWN 4.20 

It might be a race I should leave alone, I can only see (Momtathill) lay in this race and when it comes to finding the winner I have 4 runners on my list, *BROADHAVEN DREAM 18/1 and OUR OYSTERCATCHER 11/2 could do well from the front of the race and set a decent pace which could also play into the hands of DOC SPORTELLO 10/1 and INDIAN RAJ 7/2 who both like to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish, I cant split either from the two sets of racing tactics so maybe dutching all 4 is the best line of attack. 

*NR

Our Oystercatcher 11/2 3rd (-1pt)
Indian Raj 7/2 5th (-1pt)
Doc Sportello 10/1 8th  (-1pt)

Lay bet: Momtathil +1pt 

Total: -2pts


SANDOWN 4.55

This class 3 race looks a nice affair of the 10 runners I will look to lay 4 of them (*Green Power who might need further + Puds who won't get the easy lead it needs in this race + Magic J looked as though it wanted further at 6 furlongs so this trip should be too short for it + Outrage who has been out of form for a while now) there's a few that could go well in this race, Blue De Vega, Royal Birth, Line Of Reason and Mokaatil but I am hoping KONCHEK 3/1 can get to the front and if doing so could be very hard to catch and will be carrying my money.

*NR 

Konchek 3/1 2nd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Magic J -1.75pts, Outrage, Puds +1pt, Outrage +1pt

Total: -0.75pts 

Total on the day: -10.5pts

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