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Showing posts with label Final Frontier. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Final Frontier. Show all posts

Sunday, 7 March 2021

5:40 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (8th March)


WOLVERHAMPTON 5.40 

Class 4 race with 11 entries and 5 in the field have been known to lead before but I think they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace, Spartan Fighter, Turanga Leela and Power Over Me look the most likely to go best of the early paced sorts, Garth Rockett has a time from Chelmsford that would make it my overall top rated but I'm not sure that figure can be relied upon as its previous run over this c/d resulted in a slow time so maybe? This isn't its favoured surface so I will stick with something proven, Storm Over has the plum stall 1 draw and comes out in 2nd top spot on recent c/d times but stall 1 can be a hindrance if the horse isn't smartly away and it could get shuffled back in the early stages, my money will be riding on the horse i think its the value call in the race FINAL FRONTIER 16/1 (EW) comes out top rated on recent c/d speed figures and from stall 5 it could track Turanga Leela from stall 4 across to the rails and then gain a good position from which to attack in the latter stages and at the price I have to put it forward as an each way wager. 

Final Frontier 16/1 4th -2pts

Total -2pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.40 

I am not really a fan of these class 6 stakes races they are full of lightly raced sorts or older horses that are out of form lately but this one does look a bit better than most, famous last words, i have put a positive mark against 5 of the 11 runners and the 3 known front running types in the race are in that 5 so it looks likely to be a fast run race for the class, Jeans Maite a possible pacesetter in stall 2 comes out 5th best but there is only 6lbs between my top 5 horses, Captain Ryan would be 2nd top rated but that's using a 2019 time and I'm not sure if its capable of repeating that rating and its 2nd place finish last time out was in a slow run affair and I can't see that happening here, Dubai Princess has only a slow time to its name over this c/d but did a decent time at Chelmsford but its not proven here so i will err on the side of caution, I am hoping that RED STRIPES 6/1 can make a fast start here, its best recent c/d time is only 2lbs from top spot but has a time from 2019 that would make it top overall and it could go well here DYNAMO WALT 10/1 is top rated on recent c/d times so has to be considered and could be the one to prosper if they do go off too fast and fade nearing the finish and I will be having the two bets.

Dynamo Walt 10/1 6th -1pt
Red Stripe 9/1 7th -1pt 

Total on the day -4pts

Thursday, 30 July 2020

Pontefract Racing Tips & Lay Bets (31st July)


PONTEFRACT 1.25 

A race with a few lightly raced sorts and it doesn't look a race to be getting too heavily involved in betting wise, I will look to lay (*Magical Effect + Musharrif + Six Strings) as for finding the winner I've narrowed it down to 4 and I think I will be dutching them all, THE ARMED MAN 25/1 (EW) is only 4th top-rated but could be the one to set the pace and with an easy lead could pinch the race from the front so has to be an each-way bet at the price, FIRMDECISIONS 33/1 (EW) is 3rd top on 2020 times and on overall times so has to have a chance so another big enough to back each way, KINDLY 4/1 is 3rd best on 2020 times but is top-rated overall but that figure is only 2lbs higher than *FINAL FRONTIER 16/1 (EW) who’s best time was recorded this year which has to count for something and has to be the 3rd horse to be worth backing each way. 

*NR

Kindly 4/1 2nd (-1pt)
Firmdecisions 33/1 4th (-2pts)
The Armed Man 25/1 8th (-2pts)

Lay best: Musharrif +1pt, Six Strings +1pt

Total: -3pts

GOODWOOD 3.15 

A shame there's only 7 runners and to be honest, it looks like a one horserace and I expect BATTAASH 1/3f will be an odds on favourite, it ought to win cosily according to my speed figures and if pushed I would go with backing the 3-year-old Liberty Beach for the forecast. 

Battaash 1/3 1st 
Liberty Beach 5/1 4th 

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.35

Save the best till last, I do prefer the AW racing as I seem to be able to see the overall picture much more easily, I will look to lay (Our Man In Havana + Awsaaf + Creek Harbour + Eastern Star + Kingsman Spirit + Where Next Jo) Cameatchoo is top-rated on just 2020 times and this 3yo could still improve, Pushkin Museum would be in the frame if reproducing its best time but that was back in 2018 and hasn't been at that level for a while now, Perfect Symphony would be in the mix as long as the early pace isn't too fast but that might not happen with Peachey Carnehan in the races this one likes to set the pace and could do enough from the front to stay in the frame so maybe an each-way bet, my money will be riding on FANTASY JUSTIFIER 14/1 (EW) who will be held up for a late run here and is big enough in price to be worth an each-way punt.

Fantasy Justifier 28/1 Unp (-2pts)

Lay bets: Our Man In Havana +1pt, Awsaaf +1pt, Creek Harbour +1pt, Eastern Star +1pt, Kingsman Spirit +1pt, Where Next Jo +1pt

Total: +4pts

Total on the day:  0pts

Wednesday, 15 July 2020

1:00 Hamilton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (16th July)


DONT FORGET PLEASE CHECK THE GOING 

HAMILTON 1.00 

Only 7 runners but no known frontrunners, I will look to lay (Lady Celia who may need further or a slower surface + Somewhere Secret who has poor times and doesn't seem to like good to firm ground) both Groundwork and Northern Society could go well if they run to their best but the one carrying the money is LYDIATE LADY 11/1 who likes to track the leaders and then run on strongly at the finish and its a shame there's not 8 runners so I could back it each way with 3 places up for grabs. 


Lydiate Lady 11/1 2nd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Lady Celia +2.75pts, Somewhere Secret +1pt

Total: -2.75pts

HAMILTON 1.30

Down to 6 runners for this race and I will look to lay half the field, (Ey Up Its Mick who might not like the going + Kindly won't like it if the going is good to firm + Indiara who may need further) I am hoping that Gullane One and Kindly will set the pace and then my selection FINAL FRONTIER 5/1 will stay on the stronger in the closing stages of the race. 

Final Frontier 11/2 3rd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Kindly -4pts, Ey Up Its Mick +1pt, Indira +1pt

Total: -4pts 

HAMILTON 2.00

A field of 10 for this class 3 race with a couple of known frontrunners it should be a true run affair, I can only find (Cold Store) to lay as I think it needs either a longer trip or a slower surface maybe both, its a hard race to narrow down to a final conclusion and I have 4 runners that I think could possibly win this race, Teruntum Star, Music Society, Admiralty, and Monoski. Teruntum Star doesn't want good to firm ground, Admiralty has good trainer/jockey stats but its best time was back in 2018, Music Society also has good trainer/jockey stats but again might not want it to be good to firm ground, my main selection, therefore, has to be MONOSKI 12/1 (EW) who is only a three year old and could improve further and has a chance to lead all the way here but at these odds, it has to be given as an each-way wager. 

Monoski 20/1 5th (-2pts)

Lay bet: Cold Store +1pt

Total: -1pt  

SANDOWN 4.20 

It might be a race I should leave alone, I can only see (Momtathill) lay in this race and when it comes to finding the winner I have 4 runners on my list, *BROADHAVEN DREAM 18/1 and OUR OYSTERCATCHER 11/2 could do well from the front of the race and set a decent pace which could also play into the hands of DOC SPORTELLO 10/1 and INDIAN RAJ 7/2 who both like to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish, I cant split either from the two sets of racing tactics so maybe dutching all 4 is the best line of attack. 

*NR

Our Oystercatcher 11/2 3rd (-1pt)
Indian Raj 7/2 5th (-1pt)
Doc Sportello 10/1 8th  (-1pt)

Lay bet: Momtathil +1pt 

Total: -2pts


SANDOWN 4.55

This class 3 race looks a nice affair of the 10 runners I will look to lay 4 of them (*Green Power who might need further + Puds who won't get the easy lead it needs in this race + Magic J looked as though it wanted further at 6 furlongs so this trip should be too short for it + Outrage who has been out of form for a while now) there's a few that could go well in this race, Blue De Vega, Royal Birth, Line Of Reason and Mokaatil but I am hoping KONCHEK 3/1 can get to the front and if doing so could be very hard to catch and will be carrying my money.

*NR 

Konchek 3/1 2nd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Magic J -1.75pts, Outrage, Puds +1pt, Outrage +1pt

Total: -0.75pts 

Total on the day: -10.5pts