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Friday, 18 September 2020

1:40 Newbury Racing Tips & Lay Bets (19th September)

NEWBURY 1.40 

A great looking Group 3 race where 5 of the 9 runners have been known to lead before and I think the race will be run from the front, Jabbarockie and Wise Words have pieces of form that could see them make the frame, my 2nd top rated on 2020 times is TIS MARVELLOUS 11/4 and one of the possible front runners and has a time from 2019 that would make it top on my list, the one top rated on 2020 times is EQUILLATERAL 9/4 another possible pacesetter and both could prove hard to catch if getting to the front. 

Tis Marvellous 5/1 2nd (-1pt) 
Equillateral 9/4 3rd (-1pts)

Total: -2pt 

NEWMARKET 5.00 

Its a race where I'm not really sure what will set the early pace and I cannot find anything to lay with any confidence and to top it all off i can only narrow it down to 2 selections, Breanski I 3rd best on my figures and is either held up or races in midfield, FLAVIUS TITUS 8/1 who likes to track the leaders is actually my top rated using a fast run race here on the Rowley Mile course but since then it has shown very little, hence why its not my sole selection the other is MY STYLE 7/2 who will sit in midfield and then try to stay on strongly at the finish. 

My Style 7/2 2nd (-1pt)
Flavius Titus 14/1 4th  (-1pt)

Total: -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.15

A few lightly raced sorts in this race which always makes analysis much harder as does having no known front runners in the race, Bayar and Lucky Lodge are my joint 3rd top rated and only 1lb below BAHUTA ACHA 7/1 who has a time from 2019 that would move it to top time and will be the one I'm backing in this race, Jungle Inthebungle has the top time of just 2020 and might be worth an each way punt. 

Bahuta Acha 7/1 1st (Betfair SP 8.28) +7pts

Total: +7pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.15

Of these 10 runners 6 have been known to lead, I will look to lay (Secret Potion + *Wild Flower + Mansfield) there are a couple more I could add to the lay list but I doubt they will be any value to take on, Dark Side Dream is 3rd top and has the plum stall 1 draw for a front runner, the one that could prosper if they go too fast from the off is Shepherds Purse but if YOU'RE COOL 14/1 gets to the front it could prove hard to catch and will be carrying my money and at the price it has be given as an each way wager. 

*NR 

You're Cool 17/2 4th (-2pts)

Lay bets: Mansfield (-4pts) (Betfair SP: 5.56), Secret Potion +1pt

Total: -5pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.45

I'm nearly ashamed to put this horse up again as my selection as it has let me down time and time again recently and yes I did say if it didn't win last time out I would never back it again but once again QAARAAT 4/1 looks to have the best form in a race and should win, I doubt it will be a very big price and might not be value to back but if running to its best of earlier this year before lock down or its best from 2019 it ought to win but maybe its one of those horses that never wins the number of races it should do.

Qaaraat 4/1 5th -1pt 

Total: -1pt

Total on the day:  -3pts

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