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Showing posts with label Equilateral. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Equilateral. Show all posts

Friday, 18 September 2020

1:40 Newbury Racing Tips & Lay Bets (19th September)


NEWBURY 1.40 

A great looking Group 3 race where 5 of the 9 runners have been known to lead before and I think the race will be run from the front, Jabbarockie and Wise Words have pieces of form that could see them make the frame, my 2nd top rated on 2020 times is TIS MARVELLOUS 11/4 and one of the possible front runners and has a time from 2019 that would make it top on my list, the one top rated on 2020 times is EQUILLATERAL 9/4 another possible pacesetter and both could prove hard to catch if getting to the front. 

Tis Marvellous 5/1 2nd (-1pt) 
Equillateral 9/4 3rd (-1pts)

Total: -2pt 

NEWMARKET 5.00 

Its a race where I'm not really sure what will set the early pace and I cannot find anything to lay with any confidence and to top it all off i can only narrow it down to 2 selections, Breanski I 3rd best on my figures and is either held up or races in midfield, FLAVIUS TITUS 8/1 who likes to track the leaders is actually my top rated using a fast run race here on the Rowley Mile course but since then it has shown very little, hence why its not my sole selection the other is MY STYLE 7/2 who will sit in midfield and then try to stay on strongly at the finish. 

My Style 7/2 2nd (-1pt)
Flavius Titus 14/1 4th  (-1pt)

Total: -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.15

A few lightly raced sorts in this race which always makes analysis much harder as does having no known front runners in the race, Bayar and Lucky Lodge are my joint 3rd top rated and only 1lb below BAHUTA ACHA 7/1 who has a time from 2019 that would move it to top time and will be the one I'm backing in this race, Jungle Inthebungle has the top time of just 2020 and might be worth an each way punt. 

Bahuta Acha 7/1 1st (Betfair SP 8.28) +7pts

Total: +7pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.15

Of these 10 runners 6 have been known to lead, I will look to lay (Secret Potion + *Wild Flower + Mansfield) there are a couple more I could add to the lay list but I doubt they will be any value to take on, Dark Side Dream is 3rd top and has the plum stall 1 draw for a front runner, the one that could prosper if they go too fast from the off is Shepherds Purse but if YOU'RE COOL 14/1 gets to the front it could prove hard to catch and will be carrying my money and at the price it has be given as an each way wager. 

*NR 

You're Cool 17/2 4th (-2pts)

Lay bets: Mansfield (-4pts) (Betfair SP: 5.56), Secret Potion +1pt

Total: -5pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.45

I'm nearly ashamed to put this horse up again as my selection as it has let me down time and time again recently and yes I did say if it didn't win last time out I would never back it again but once again QAARAAT 4/1 looks to have the best form in a race and should win, I doubt it will be a very big price and might not be value to back but if running to its best of earlier this year before lock down or its best from 2019 it ought to win but maybe its one of those horses that never wins the number of races it should do.

Qaaraat 4/1 5th -1pt 

Total: -1pt

Total on the day:  -3pts

Saturday, 21 September 2019

1:45 Newbury Racing Tips (21st September)


 NEWBURY 1.45 (7.8) 

I'm guessing that Dakota Gold who is is tremendous form will be the favourite in this race and it could improve again to win this race but I will go with backing my top-rated EQUILATERAL 2/1 who likes to either lead or contest the lead and if getting to the front it could prove very hard to catch.

Equilateral 2/1 6th

CHELMSFORD 2.15 Div1 

There's a couple of known front running types in the race sp Poeta Brasieiro should make sure nothing gets an easy lead being 3rd top on 2019 times, Evening Attire should be staying on strongly at the finish of this race as should my selection SENORITA GRANDE 7/2 this 3-year-old could still be able to improve and the trainer has a 20% win rate here with its 3-year-olds. 

Senorita Grande 7/2 2nd 

CHELMSFORD 2.50 Div2 

This 2nd division looks slightly stronger but only my 3rd top-rated Olaudah known to set the pace, my 2nd top-rated is Englishman who can be held up or track the leaders but I will once again be backing a 3-year-old in the shape of CRACKING DREAM 3/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger and this one has strong trainer/jockey stats pointing to them expecting a big run in this race. 

Cracking Dream 5/1 8th

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.20 

The lack of known pacesetters in this race worries me and automatically means my stakes won't be at full strength, Caledonian Gold has run some decent times but its still a maiden after 59 races so will it ever win I don't know but it might not happen here, Laubali is 2nd top-rated using 2019 times and likes to track the leaders, top-rated for recent times is Madrinho but these ones on a losing run of 20 which is a bit off-putting, I've got CONSEQUENCES 7/2 as my top rated but that is using a time recorded at Chelmsford this year but if able to repeat that time it would win this race a little cosily.

Consequences 6/1 3rd