1:00 Southwell Racing Tips (4th April)

SOUTHWELL 1.00 

Today's two sprints are pretty poor affairs and stakes will be kept to a minimum, the early pace might be set by Jeans Maite but strictly on form its not weighted to beat AGUEROOO 9/2 again, San Juan is forecast to be the 2nd favourite but again at the weights its held but this time by Red Allure, Brandy Station has a decent time from Newcastle but slow times from its 7 previous c/d runs so maybe isn't suited to this surface and the jockeys 0-11 record for this stable has to be taken as a negative,RAABEH 18/1 hasn't made the frame in 9 races but does have a good time from Newcastle but that might have been a flukey time where it got carried along in a fast run affair but it has good trainer/jockey stats so maybe today is the day it breaks its maiden tag, DARK SIDE DREAM 6/1 has good trainer stats and is my top rated on recent c/d times which is always a positive and I will be dutching the 3 horses. 

Dark Side Dream 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Rabaah 18/1 4th -1pt

Aguerooo 9/2 5th -1pt 

Total -3pts

SOUTHWELL 3.36 

This is a tricky looking race with just one known front runner in Jazz Legend but time wise it would need to improve to hold on for the win but could make the frame, First Excel is versatile with its racing tactics and is another that could make the frame,others that have a competitive time from awhile ago or different tracks are,Tyche, Catapult, Deevious Beau, Burning Sun and Kommander Kirkup but I will have a small bet on the top weight DECISION MAKER 13/2 who if it can repeat its best time from 2020 it would win this race a shade cosily but has a 171 day break from racing to overcome and the fact that it wasn't in the best of form when it was last seen but is capable and the jockey has a 20% win ratio for the stable so I am hoping that is a good omen.

Decision Maker 13/2 2nd -1pt 

Total on the day -4pts

4:40 Southwell Racing Tips & Lay Bets (15th October)

SOUTHWELL 4.40 DIVI

Not a lot to say about this race, I will look to lay (Archimedes + *Bernies Boy) 3rd top rated is Puchits who could do best of those coming from off the pace, Archimedes is my 2nd top rated but can struggle to stay the trip if there's a fast early pace and if KRAKA 13/8 gets to the front it ought to prove hard to catch but I suspect it will be the favourite for the race. 

*NR

Kraka 13/8 3rd (-1pt) 

Lay bets: Archimedes +1pt

Total: 0pts

LINGFIELD 4.50

A 10 runner dash with 3 known front runners in the field, it isn't really a race to be betting too heavily in and i might have even left this race alone but the tissue prices have thrown up a possible each way punt, the top weight Zulu Zander is my 3rd top rated and likes to run on at the finish but my top 2 ratings are both front running types, Summit Fever is 2nd top and in stall 2 so could gain control of the rails while top rated CHITRA 12/1 (EW) is coming out of stall 10 it should either be able to contest the lead if not actually lead and if getting to the front should be hard to catch and at least be able to hold on for a place so worth an each way punt. 

Chitra 12/1 5th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts

SOUTHWELL 5.15 Div II 

I will look to lay (Foad + Quaint) the 3yo Northern Charm who is versatile when it comes to racing tactics is my 3rd top rated so could go well, the top weight Global Melody comes out 2nd top rated and can be held up or track the leaders before staying on while my top rated horse DECISION MAKER 13/2 likes to run on well nearing the finish after either being held up or race in midfield and will be the one carrying my money.

Decision Maker 13/2 7th (-1pt) 

Lay bets: Foad +1pt, Quaint +1pt

Total: +1pt

SOUTHWELL 6.45 

They have saved the best sprint of the day for last, I will look to lay (North Wind) who might prefer a longer distance, there's plenty of known early pace in the race so it should be a mad dash for the line as there's no bend over this trip and the draw makes very little difference if any, Astro Jakk a possible pacesetter could go well here and could possibly do enough to make the frame but i doubt it will be an each way price, my 2nd top rated on just 2020 c/d times and equal top on overall figures is Samovar and it could do best of those coming from off the pace but my other joint top rated is CROSSE FIRE 6/1 but this one is the one I hope can lead all the way and this time go one better when finishing 2nd last time out when I tipped it up at a big price.

Crosse Fire 8/1 3rd (-1pt)

Lay bet: North Wind +1pt

Total: 0pts

Total on the day: -1pt

3:45 Southwell Racing Tips & Lay Bets (10th March)

SOUTHWELL 3.45 

I hope all 8 runners take part, I can only find (Mansfield) to lay fairly confidently, I'm not sure if Puchita will be as effective over this shorter trip but did win very easily last time out over 6 furlongs, both Precious Plum and Global Melody have pieces of form that could see them run ok here but maybe only fighting for a place, Archimedes is my 2nd top-rated using its best time from 2018 and being a frontrunner it could be dangerous if allowed a soft lead but my money will be riding on DECISION MAKER 2/1 who likes to track the leaders and housed in stall 3 it could get a good tow into the race and then stay on the stronger. 

Decision Maker 4/1 5th

Lay bets: (+1pt)

Total 0pts

SOUTHWELL 4.25

Only 6 runners but I cannot confidently lay any of them although Moveonup nearly made the list, Badayel has been known to lead before and stall 1 is ideal and could be very dangerous if allowed to dictate and then kicks from off the bend, Highland Dress finished 2nd on Sunday over this c/d and does need to improve a bit to win this race but is in good form, Split Down South won last time out but that was a relatively slow run affair but I think it will be pushed for the lead here by Moveonup who is the stablemate of my selection ROBERO 11/1 who needs a fast pace to aim at so this race might be run to suit its style. 

Robero 11/1 3rd 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 6.15

I dont know whats wrong today but again theres nothing I can put up confidently as a lay in this race, I would have laid Militia as it may need this run after a break but its the only known front running type in the race so it could get an easy lead and then prove hard to catch, Klopp has been in great form lately but usually in one class lower races than todays contest, Mutabbahy won last time out so is in good heart, once upon a time Dynamo Walt would win this race cosily but hasnt shown anything near good enough since 2018 but never say never, Royal Brave is my 2nd top rated and the jockeys 3lb claim would move it to top spot but the jockeys 0-15 record for this stable on the AW is enough to put me off so my money will be riding on the topweight FOXY FOREVER 13/2 who likes to track the leaders and it could get a good tow into the race with the likely leader drawn on its inside and this one has good trainer/jockey stats which hopefully point to connections expecting a big run here.

Foxy Forever 13/2 1st 

Total +6.5pts 

Total on day +5.5pts 

**KNOW THE BEST HORSES IN TRAINING (BEFORE THEY RACE!)**