The bottom 3 in this handicap maybe outclassed at this level in terms of winning the race but could run ok, the two 3yo’s Juan Les Pins and Gowanlad could also run good races but would need to improve time wise to win this race but that's not out of the question, I will split my bet in this race with 2 selections, ASTRO JAKK 13/2 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on dourly at the finish is my top rated on just 2020 c/d times which is usually a positive for its chances and the jockeys record of one win from two rides makes me think they are hoping/expecting to follow up here from their win last time out but I am also interested with the top weight MOHAREB 13/2 who hasn't any c/d form this year but it has a time from 2019 that would make it a big contender for the race and this is a drop in class for it, even in stall 9 in the make-up of this race it could lead or at least contest the lead and if getting to the front it ought to prove hard to catch.
Astro Jakk 10/1 1st (+10pt) (Betfair SP 16.39)
Mohareb 13/2 6th (-1pt)
Total: +9pts
NEWCASTLE 7.15 6f Class 5
There's at least 5 horses that have only poor recent form but they all look to be outsiders looking at the tissue prices plus the 3 at the bottom of the weights may not be of this class of horse so that's over half the field on my shouldn't be able to win list, if only it was that easy, Exchequer, Pearl Of Qatar and Prophecy have all been known to lead if nothing else wants to and maybe the middle one will do best of those running from the front if deploying those tactics in this race, my top rated on just 2020 c/d times is NUBOUGH 9/2 who will be carrying some of my money, it is usually found running either in midfield or held up for a late charge but I will also be backing FRIENDLY ADVICE 16/1 (EW) who is dropped in class to run in this race and if able to reproduce its best Wolverhampton time at this course would have a decent chance of getting back to winning ways and at the price has to be given as an each way wager.
Friendly Advice 16/1 2nd (+3pts)
Nubough 9/2 th (-1pt)
Total: +2pts
Total on the day: +11pts
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