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Showing posts with label Zulu Zander. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Zulu Zander. Show all posts

Monday, 24 May 2021

8:35 Lingfield Racing Tips (25th May)

LINGFIELD 8.35 

I will start with Centurian Song who I will look to lay as it may need further or slower going or maybe both, as for the winner i have put a positive mark alongside the name of 6 of the 10 runners, there's 3 or possibly 4 that could set the pace to this race and both Spurofthemoment 13/2 in stall 8 and Lethal Blast 15/8 in stall 1 are in that group and are also ones with a positive against their name and both could feasibly make the frame, Vandad, Shamshon and Thegreyvtrain are 3 others that i have marked as possible winners of this race, the one that will be carrying my money in the form of an each way wager is *ZULU ZANDER 14/1 who is versatile when it comes to racing tactics and that does include leading but I'm doubtful it will deploy those tactics in this race, the early paced horses are in stalls 1, 7 and 8 I'm hoping it can follow the pair on its inside towards the rail and then get a good position just behind the leaders ready to pounce in the closing stages and the jockey does have a 17% win ratio on the stables older horses so I'm hoping they are expecting it to go well in this race and get back to winning ways. 

*NR

NEWCASTLE 8.55 

A class 6 race with 13 runners and a couple of known front running types while the draw isn't too important on this straight course, strangely the 2 known front runners, Hall Sezer 8/1 in stall 14 and Kolossus 6/1 in stall 5 have both got a negative against their names and neither have a time fast enough to register on my figures and along with Debawtry 8/1 I would look to lay them if of any value to do so, i have got 5 horses at the top of my figures that merit consideration, The Mackem Torpedo 7/1 using a time from Wolverhampton and Groupie 33/1 again using a time from that course but this ones best was back in 2019 and looking at the betting isn't fancied in this race, they could possibly make the frame, Oakenshield 6/1 is my 3rd top rated but the jockeys 0-6 record for this stable is a little bit off-putting, in 2nd top spot is Royal Prospect 14/1 but this one can struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace so may be a little bit inconvenienced in this race which is reflected in its price, sitting on top of my figures is GIGI’S BEACH 9/2 who will be more at home now dropped back to 6f after running over 7f in its last 2 races, it usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely at the business end of its races.

Gigi's Beach 9/2 4th -1pt

Total on the day -1pt

Monday, 26 April 2021

2:00 Brighton Racing Tips (27th April)

BRIGHTON 2.00 

Just 7 runners but Invincible Larne likes to set the pace so it should be an ok race as it is my 3rd top rated, this might be a bit short for Boom The Groom 9/1 to show its best on turf and hasn't won on grass since 2016 from 22 attempts, Shamshon seems to run well even when not winning but it has good trainer/jockey stats for this race but hasnt won on grass since 2019 from just 5 attempts, it finished a length behind ZULU ZANDER 7/2 on its last run and it is worse off at today's weights but if i go back to their 2020 times I've got just 1lb between them but once again it is in favour of the selection. 

Zulu Zander 7/2 6th -1pt

Total -1pt

BRIGHTON 3.00 

This is quite poor even for class 6 standard, i am not sure what will set the pace which is always a problem when it comes to analysing a race, there's few that are out of form on latest runs, Storm Melody hasn't shown much since 2019 timewise, thats when it last won on grass but its best from then would make it my 2nd top rated, Real Estate my 4th top rated recorded its best time last year but hasn't been in good form of late, my 3rd top rated is Holdenhurst who recorded its best last year at Yarmouth which is where my top rated LETHAL ANGEL 3/1 recorded its best time and a repeat of that speed figure would see it winning a shade cosily. 

Lethal Angel 4/1 5th -1pt

Total -1pt

BRIGHTON 3.35 

Only 5 runners but i still cannot narrow it down to any less than 2 selections, the lack of early pace doesn't help, I'm not sure what to expect from Lady Quickstep while Vape comes out in 4th top spot, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in Street Parade, who is usually held up for a late run so this race isn't likely to be run to suit it, and RECALL THE SHOW 5/2 who did its best time over this c/d last time out which is always a positive plus the trainer does well at this course and that's the reason why I will be backing it, if THE LAMPLIGHTER 5/1 can reproduce its best time from 2020 it would be winning cosily but its time this year, admittedly from just one race, wasn't up to that level, i will be backing them both but probably with my stakes tilted in favour of the top weight. 

Recall The Show 10/3 1st +3.33pts
The Lamplighter 5/1 3rd -1pt

Total +2.33pts

AYR 5.35 

Another 5 runner race and again the lack of known early pace doesn't help to analyse the race, four of the runners like to track the leaders so I'm hoping that's enough to ensure there's a decent early gallop, Nubough and Gleniffer may prefer further so this race might not be run to suit them, Captain Jameson has a good time from 2019 but nothing as good last year and may need this run for fitness as it usually does, Pearl Of Qatar 2/1 will I expect run a decent race but looks to be poor value in my opinion, i will be backing DICK DATCHERY 5/2 who is the hold up horse in the race, it isn't much better in the betting but the outsider is only a 6/1 shot.

Dick Datchery 11/4 5th -1pt

Total on the day -0.67pts

Monday, 29 March 2021

6:10 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (30th March)

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.10 

HEER WE GO AGAIN 13/2 is versatile when it comes to racing tactics and could be in contention to at least make the frame and has won twice from its 7 previous c/d runs.

MUTABAAHY 10/3 races as though further suits it better it has won 5 times and placed twice from 10 previous c/d races and could be in contention. 

ZULU ZANDER 11/2 is versatile with its racing tactics and usually stays on at the finish over this c/d and another that could be thereabouts at the business end of the race.

SHAMSHON 13/8 a possible pacesetter has good trainer/jockey stats but hasn't won in 10 previous runs over this c/d and as a 10 year old I cant see it improving and at the price I will have to lay it. 

DANA FOREVER 4/1 another possible pacesetter also has good trainer/jockey stats but from 4 previous c/d runs it has made the frame each time but hasn't won.

SWORD EXCEED 18/1 hasn't any form over this distance and everything seems to point to it needing a longer distance to shine. 

SUMMARY: Dana Forever and Shamshon are known to prefer to lead and are drawn next to each other, Sword Exceed will be the outsider and maybe too big a price to lay, Mutabbahy will be staying on at the finish but maybe too late for the win, I would have to go back to 2018 to find a time good enough for Shamshon to win this race but does always run a decent race and may have to settle for a place again here but I doubt it will be an each way price and the is no way I could back it especially if its a short price, the forecast price is 11/8 and at that price i would definitely lay it. I will be hoping that ZULU ZANDER 11/2 get the tactics right and looks to be the value call in the race and I will have a small wager on it at that price.

Zulu Zander 13/2 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt

Friday, 19 February 2021

3:46 Lingfield Racing Tips (20th February)


LINGFIELD 3.46 

A field of 8 in a nice looking class 4 race, with a couple of front runners it should be a true run affair, one them Capla Spirit is drawn widest of all in stall 8 and this one needs to improve time wise to lead all the way, the top weight Raasel is the 7/4 favourite it has only ran 3 times, twice in 2019 winning once on g/s ground on grass and then 3rd in a class 3 race again on g/s ground, it could be head and shoulders above today's opposition but its not run on this course before and its time from Chelmsford wouldn't see it winning but it has potential so my stakes will be kept low for this race, Saaheq is my 3rd top rated and will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late to catch the leader, in 2nd spot but only rated 1lb higher is Shamshon who likes to track the leaders and then keep on stoutly at the finish I’m hoping that ZULU ZANDER 6/1 can lead from stall 1 and being my top rated hold on for the win and looks the value call in the race. 

Zulu Zander 8/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Note: Eric's top three horses filled the frame T/C £257.30 

NEWCASTLE 7.00 

If there's a fast early pace to this poor class 6 stakes race, which looks likely, then there's a few who may struggle to stay the distance but I think they will be too big to be of value to lay but i will put it up if any are worthwhile laying, I hope all 8 take part in case I find an each way wager when I see the betting, there is 2 known front runners in this race and they are my top two ratings, STAR CRACKER 4/1 is top rated on recent c/d times and has won 3 times over this c/d, the other front runner is DODGY BOB 10/1 who hasn't won from 4 attempts over this c/d but has a time from Wolverhampton, the same surface, that would put it 2lbs clear of my other selection, and this one also has what looks a positive jockey booking and I will go with backing them both. 

Dodgy Bob 10/1 -1pt 
Star Cracker 17/2 5th -1pt 

Total on the day: -2pts

NEWCASTLE 7.30

I am not very confident with the analysis of this race, there is 4 known front running types in the race, drawn in stalls 3.6.7 and 8, and 2 of them are my top 2 ratings, which you would think would make my analysis easy but there is a few if’s, if they go off too fast then the one that could prosper is my 3rd top rated horse Primos Comet who usually stays on at the business end of a race, Longroom is my 2nd top rated and has won twice from its 8 previous c/d runs but the trainer has a fairly poor, 8%, win ratio at this course and the 3lb claiming apprentice jockey has an even poorer 0-6 record for the stable, my top rated is ROCKLEY POINT 10/1 (EW) who is a front runner and in stall 3 so it need not get into a head to head battle for the lead, it has been beaten but only just in this class of race and I'm hoping it is up to winning at this level and at the price is has to be an each way wager.

Rockley Point 10/1 2nd +1pt

Total +1pt

Total on the day -2pts 

Friday, 18 December 2020

11:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (19th December)


LINGFIELD 11.45 

A dash with 3 known front runners, I'm not sure A Go Go 3/1 can reproduce its form on this surface so worth a lay, Kaths Lustre 7/2 may need a longer trip therefore worth laying, Starchant and Fairy Fast are my joint 2nd top rated but both from times earlier in the season and they haven't shown much on their recent starts, my money will be riding on EQUALLY FAST 11/2 who is a possible pace setter and should be able to gain control of the rails and once in front it ought to prove hard to catch but the jockey Franny Norton is 0-10 for this stable which surprises me but it surely that must just be a coincidence and he has a chance to break his duck for the stable here. 

Equally Fast 11/2 5th (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

LINGFIELD 1.25 

A very competitive class 2 race i can only see Lomu 10/1 to lay if it drops to a single figure price, time wise I might also take on Premier Power 5/4 it has been in good form but none of its races were as fast as some of these can go on a good day and if favourite wont be of value and its even a shorter than i anticipated, Brian The Snail could stay on at the finish and is going for a hattrick of wins here, i will take a wild punt in this race by backing MERHOOB 12/1 (EW) each way, it has led before and from stall 4 could even grab the rails if it can beat the stall 2 horse out of the stalls, it has the fastest c/d figure for 2020 and that would be 2nd best overall but its best from 2019 pushes it back into top spot. 

Merhoob 12/1 7th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.00 Div I 

Quite a poor race where on tissue prices 8 of the 11 runners are predicted to be double figure prices and my top two are in the 3 that are fancied in the betting, The Mackem Torpedo 2/1 could be the favourite but i think it might need further to show its best and might be worth taking on with a lay bet and at the price isn't value to back in my opinion, i will be backing 2 horses to cover the angles, ROCKESBURY 13/2 could be the one to set the pace, it hasn't run here before so not 100% sure what to expect but its best time from Chelmsford makes it my top rated on overall figures so could lead all the way if not then my 2nd top rated horse KNOCKABOUT QUEEN 7/2 who is top rated on just c/d times and it was recorded this year which is always a positive. 

Knockabout Queen 13/2 7th (-1pt)
Rockesbury 13/2 8th (-1pt)

Total: -2pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.30 Div II

This is a strange race where there's not a single horse that has a recorded c/d time from 2020 so I've had to go back to 2019 to find Billyoakes 6/1 best time while in its defence it has only had one c/d run this year so it could make the frame but the trainer/jockey stats are quite low and the price isn't really big enough to back each way, Miracle Garden is my joint top rated horse once again using a 2019 time but again the trainer doesn't have the greatest of stats at this course which leaves me with SWANTON BLUE 28/1 (EW) and this ones time was recorded this year but at Chelmsford and if it takes to this course it could be worth a small each way wager especially at the price on offer. 

Swanton Blue 28/1 1pt EW (+4.6pts)

Total: +4.6pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.00 

This is a decent looking class 4 race with just one known front runner in Mythmaker 5/1 who is my joint 3rd top rated horse alongside A Sure Welcome 4/1 who likes to track the leaders and both could make the frame if things go their way but neither are each way prices in my opinion, sitting in 2nd top spot is Steelriver 12/1 but its only by 1lb and this one can be held up or track the leaders so could make the frame and is an each way price but my money will be riding on CHOOKIE DUNEDIN 4/1 who won last time out and has been found a good opportunity to follow up here, stall 10 isn't ideal but a repeat of its time last time out would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

Sprint number 6 for the day, there's only 11 runners but its a race where I will have to dutch a few of them, ZULU ZANDER 10/1 is top rated on just 2020 c/d times so has to be included and its versatile when it comes to racing tactics, ANOTHER ANGEL 7/2 could be the one to set the early pace and is my 2nd top rated on overall figures and could make the frame but isnt an each way price then add BALLYARE 11/2 into the mix as this one is top rated using a Newcastle time but its best c/d time isn't good enough to even make the frame, I hope I've got the winner within the three selections but my stakes wont be at full strength.

Wednesday, 18 November 2020

4:50 Newcastle Racing Tips & Lay Bets (19th November)


NEWCASTLE 4.50 5f 

A full house of 14 runners with 3 known front runners in amongst them, I will look to lay Orvar, as long as its a single figure price, who hasn't been in form lately and not shown much time wise since 2018, all of these could run big races here, Watchable, El Hombre and Get Boosting, Venturous won last time out and being in form could run well again here and could make the frame, Big Les and Exalted Angel could be the 2 that set the early pace, I will be taking a bit of a punt on the 3yo BIRKENHEAD 17/2 (EW) who has only run here once before without showing much but its best time from Wolverhampton would put it in the mix while the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim moves it into top spot and it will hopefully be an decent each way price. 
Birkenhead 10/1 7th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts

CHELMSFORD 5.30 6f 

A ten runner affair and at class 2 is the highest rated sprint of the day, the 3yo Aberama Gold is forecast to be the favourite but I am not convinced this course will suit it so worth laying, there's 4 known front running types in the race and my top 2 ratings are in that group, Katheefa could go well if reproducing its best 2019 time, Lipsink could be a bit of a hidden danger, while Poets Dance may do best of those coming from off the pace, Spirit Of May has got stall 2 which could help its cause but I'm siding with NIGEL NOTT 5/1 who could be ok from stall 8 in the make-up of this race and if getting to the front ought to prove to be a hard nut to crack and I think the jockey booking looks a positive. 

Nigel Nott 5/1 2nd -1pt

Total: -1pt

CHELMSFORD 6.00 6f Div II

This class 6 race is a bit patchy time wise with only 6 of the 14 runners have a recorded speed figure, I'm looking to lay (Daddy's Diva + Krazy Paving) if in single figure prices anything bigger and the value would be lost, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in Vincenzo Coccotti who is a hold up type and will be staying on at the finish, the other is Rockesbury (non runner) who is one of 2 known front running types in the race and if getting to the front could be hard to catch but i do have one horse rated 2lbs higher so if *INDEPENDENCE DAY 12/1 (EW)
gets a clear run it could pick up the leader and at the price has to be an each way wager. 

*NR

Lay bets: Daddy's Diva +1pt, Krazy Paving +1pt

Total: +2pts


CHELMSFORD 6.30 6f Div II

In this 2nd division there's 7 with recorded speed figures but very little is over this c/d and or recent, I've got joint 3rd top rated horses in Isabella Ruby and *AT YOUR SERVICE 13/2 and the latter is top rated on just 2020 times so has to be respected and will be carrying my money, Illustrious Spirit is 2nd top rated using a Lingfield time from earlier this year but hasn't been in good form lately, with no known pacesetter in the race my stakes wont be at full strength. 

*NR

CHELMSFORD 7.00 5f 

Only a class 5 but a hard race to analyse to a conclusion in fact I will be dutching 3 horses, INVINCIBLE LARNE 5/2 is the favourite and could try to lead but from stall 8 but with 3 others that might try the same tactic it might get taken wide on the bend, it is my top rated using a Kempton time but this will be its debut at this course but if getting a run and taking to the track it could win but there is two 3yo’s in the race that could cause it some trouble nearing the finish who are both rated exactly equal so I will be backing both REASSURE 4/1 and ZULU ZANDER 14/1 just in case the top weight doesn't handle the course or the draw.

Reassure 7/1 1st (+7pts Betfair SP 10.14)
Zulu Zander 40/1 4th (-1pt)
Invincible Larne 5/2 6th (-1pt)

Total: +5pts

Total on the day +4pts