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Showing posts with label Dodgy Bob. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Dodgy Bob. Show all posts

Monday, 19 April 2021

1:45 Epsom Racing Tips (20th April)

EPSOM 1.45 

Only 6 runners over the fastest course in the country, Green Power hasn't shown much worthwhile form in its latest runs, Spoof may not want good to firm going the same applies to Recon Mission and this one might also prefer a longer trip, Militia has been known to lead before but its another that doesn't want really fast ground which again also applies to Duke Of Firenze so I am hoping that DARK SHOT 5/1 can lead from the off and then prove hard to catch and a repeat of its best time from Leicester last year would be good enough to win this race. 

Dark Shot 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.20 Div I

This looks by far the better of the 2 divisions of this class 6 race, I would look to lay (Creek Harbour 10/1) if it becomes a single figure price, AT YOUR SERVICE 12/1 comes out top rated on just 2021 times and 3rd top on overall figures and it usually stays on strongly at the business end of its races, in stall 2 is DODGY BOB 16/1 who likes to set the pace and has a time from 2019 that would make it my 2nd top rated and they have employed an apprentice jockey to help their cause, sticking with times from 2019 ENGLISHMAN 33/1 comes out in top spot on overall figures and the jockey has a 17% win ratio for the stable on its older horses, so I will have to dutch all 3 of them with each way bets. 

Dodgy Bob 50/1 EW 5th -2pts 
Englishman 33/1 EW 6th -2pts
At Your Service 12/1 EW 9th -2pts 

Lay bets: Creek Harbour +1pt

Total -5pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.50 Div II 

Not the best of races even for the class, firstly I will look to lay (Dubai Elegance 11/2) as long as it is a single figure price as this trip might be too far for it and there is at least one known front runner in the race, only the top weight KATELLI 10/3 has recorded a rating on my figures for this year so has to be considered as a possible winner and the apprentice jockeys record is 1-3 for the stable so they could be expecting a big run, MIRACLE GARDEN 9/2 has a fast c/d time but it was recorded back in 2019, the apprentice riding this one is 1-2 for the stable, in top spot is AGUEROOO 4/1 but again the time comes from 2019 and the jockey has a 17% win ratio on the stables older horses, so it looks like all 3 sets of connections are expecting a big run so I will dutch the 3 of them.

Katelli 6/1 2nd -1pt 
Aguerooo 4/1 3rd -1pt 
Miracle Garden 9/1 4th -1pt

Lay bet: Dubai Elegence +1pt

Total -2pts

Total on the day  -8pts

Friday, 19 February 2021

3:46 Lingfield Racing Tips (20th February)


LINGFIELD 3.46 

A field of 8 in a nice looking class 4 race, with a couple of front runners it should be a true run affair, one them Capla Spirit is drawn widest of all in stall 8 and this one needs to improve time wise to lead all the way, the top weight Raasel is the 7/4 favourite it has only ran 3 times, twice in 2019 winning once on g/s ground on grass and then 3rd in a class 3 race again on g/s ground, it could be head and shoulders above today's opposition but its not run on this course before and its time from Chelmsford wouldn't see it winning but it has potential so my stakes will be kept low for this race, Saaheq is my 3rd top rated and will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late to catch the leader, in 2nd spot but only rated 1lb higher is Shamshon who likes to track the leaders and then keep on stoutly at the finish I’m hoping that ZULU ZANDER 6/1 can lead from stall 1 and being my top rated hold on for the win and looks the value call in the race. 

Zulu Zander 8/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Note: Eric's top three horses filled the frame T/C £257.30 

NEWCASTLE 7.00 

If there's a fast early pace to this poor class 6 stakes race, which looks likely, then there's a few who may struggle to stay the distance but I think they will be too big to be of value to lay but i will put it up if any are worthwhile laying, I hope all 8 take part in case I find an each way wager when I see the betting, there is 2 known front runners in this race and they are my top two ratings, STAR CRACKER 4/1 is top rated on recent c/d times and has won 3 times over this c/d, the other front runner is DODGY BOB 10/1 who hasn't won from 4 attempts over this c/d but has a time from Wolverhampton, the same surface, that would put it 2lbs clear of my other selection, and this one also has what looks a positive jockey booking and I will go with backing them both. 

Dodgy Bob 10/1 -1pt 
Star Cracker 17/2 5th -1pt 

Total on the day: -2pts

NEWCASTLE 7.30

I am not very confident with the analysis of this race, there is 4 known front running types in the race, drawn in stalls 3.6.7 and 8, and 2 of them are my top 2 ratings, which you would think would make my analysis easy but there is a few if’s, if they go off too fast then the one that could prosper is my 3rd top rated horse Primos Comet who usually stays on at the business end of a race, Longroom is my 2nd top rated and has won twice from its 8 previous c/d runs but the trainer has a fairly poor, 8%, win ratio at this course and the 3lb claiming apprentice jockey has an even poorer 0-6 record for the stable, my top rated is ROCKLEY POINT 10/1 (EW) who is a front runner and in stall 3 so it need not get into a head to head battle for the lead, it has been beaten but only just in this class of race and I'm hoping it is up to winning at this level and at the price is has to be an each way wager.

Rockley Point 10/1 2nd +1pt

Total +1pt

Total on the day -2pts 

Friday, 3 January 2020

1:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (3rd January)

WOLVERHAMPTON 1.00 

Div 1 Two divisions of a quite poor race so I will stick with the basics of what's important in looking for the winner and I think it will come from these four horses, Sagittarian Wind, Dodgy Bob, Griggy or Miracle Garden, the latter is my top rated but the jockey has a poor 1-16 record for the stable, Sagittarian Wind also has a poor jockey stat of 0-7 on the stables older horses but is my joint 2nd top-rated, Dodgy Bob has poor trainer/jockey stats with a win ratio of just 5% for both but this one could set the pace and it won last time out so is in good form as is Griggy who also won last time out, I will have my main bets on DODGY BOB 10/1 and MIRACLE GARDEN 10/1 with smaller covering bets on the other two mentioned. 

Dodgy Bob 14/1 5th 
Miracle Garden 10/1 7th 

WOLVERHAMPTON 1.30

Div 2 This division is no easier and I think anyone of 5 can win the race, Bernies Boy 8/1 would be my 2nd top-rated if able to reproduce its best time which was recorded in 2018, One One Seven 4/1 won last time out and is top-rated on just 2019 c/d times, Our Man In Havana 13/2 is only 5th top on my figures but looks the only known frontrunning type in the race so could go well if allowed an easy lead, Isabella Rubystarts off as my 4th best but its 7lb claiming apprentice moves it to top spot on 2019 c/d times and will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish, Red Allure 10/1 comes out in top spot but that time was recorded at Newcastle and this is its 1st attempt at this course, I will have bets on all 5 horses mentioned but maybe tilting in the favour of ISABELLA RUBY 7/1 who I thought would be a bit shorter in the betting. 

Isabella Ruby 10/1 4th 

SOUTHWELL 6.15 

Only 7 runners and I cannot discard any of them completely, my top 3 ratings are the top 3 In the handicap Zylan is on a losing run of 12 races but is 3rd top-rated, in 2nd top spot is Young John who is one of 3 in the race that has been known to lead before but my money will be riding on KATHEEFA 7/2 who won last time out and has been found a good chance here to follow up and to be honest, I was expecting it to be a bit shorter in price so I think it might be shorter before the off.

Katheefa 7/1 1st

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