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Friday, 4 June 2021

4:55 Musselburgh Racing Tips (5th June)


As usual I will stick with my own unique speed figure handicap ratings which gives VICTORY ANGEL 7/2 as my top rated, its usually held up for a late run and with 3 possible pacesetters this race could be run to suit it, the only downside is the trainers 0-6 record at this course and the jockeys 0-8 record on this stables horses both Eeh Bah Gum and Militia could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but they might also cut each others throats and set the race up for my selection. 

Victory Angel 7/2 1st +3.5pts (Betfair SP -) 

Total +3.5pts


Looking at the tissue prices I will look to lay Aguerooo15/2 and Finvarca 8/1 who both might do better over longer distances as long as they are single figure prices, another lay could be Captain Ryan 13/2 who I tipped up and backed when it won last time out on the AW but it hasn't won since 2016 on grass and has shown very little since then on its sporadic ventures onto the turf and I think this expected favourite could be worth laying, Glamorous Force is my 4th top rated but only 1lb below my joint 2nd and 3rd top rated horses Top Boy, but I had to go back to 2019 for this ones best time, and Blue Venture and this one could be the one to set the pace and should prove hard to catch if getting to the front but my top rated is AQUADABRA 9/2 who recorded a time in 2020 at Bath that would see it winning this race a shade cosily, the poor trainer/jockey stats are a bit off-putting but I am hoping an each way punt could pay dividends. 

Aquadabra 11/2 1pt ew +0.5pts

Total +0.5pts


A 9 runner dash with 3 known front running types in the race and Davids Beauty could go best of the trio but this ones best is only good enough for 4th top spot, I will look to lay Flip Mode as I don't think good to firm going suits it but I will need to check the going on the day before laying this one, Bellevarde is my 3rd top rated and the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim moves it to 2nd top spot, my original 2nd top rated was Show Me The Bubbly but this one jockeys record of 1-13 for the stable looks a negative, MOONRAKER 2/1 starts off as my top rated and the apprentices 3lb claim keeps it at top spot and it usually likes to track the leaders and the stay on strongly at the finish of the race but I do hope it drifts as I was hoping for about 5/1.

Moonraker 5/1 5th -1pt 

Total on the day: +3pts

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