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Showing posts with label Victory Angel. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Victory Angel. Show all posts

Thursday, 29 July 2021

8:10 Bath Racing Tips (30th July)

BATH 8.10 

GINGER JAM has a time from 2020 that would put it at the top of my figures and is usually held up for a late run and this race could suit it. 

POP DANCER the 1st of 3 known front running types in this race and its best time from 2020 at Sandown would make it my joint 2nd top rated.

FERNANDO RAH 11/10 this 3yo is another possible pacesetter and is the other joint 2nd top rated and could still improve being a youngster so has to be feared.

SENECA CHIEF would need to improve time wise to win this race but it is fairly consistent when it gets its ideal conditions. 

VANDAD the 3rd and final possible pacesetter is my top rated and it recorded its best time last time out at Brighton and has been found an opportunity to follow up here.

SARAH'S VERSE hasn't any form over this distance and it does appear that a longer distance would suit it better 

SUMMARY: 3 of my top 4 ratings are all front running types so it should be a mad furious dash for the line, I'm hoping that *VANDAD 7/2 can get to the front here and if doing so could be hard to catch so it will be carrying my cash. 

*NR

MUSSELBURGH 8.22 

CLARENDON HOUSE 7/4 this 3yo is versatile when it comes to its racing tactics including leading and comes out 3rd top using a time recorded at Newmarket this year.

VICTORY ANGEL is usually held up for a late strong run and is 2nd top on its best time recorded over this course and distance this year.

STARS IN THE NIGHT its best time from 2020 wouldn't be good enough to win this race even with the apprentices 7lb claim. 

MILITIA 11/4 the 2nd of the known front running types in this race but its best time recorded on its last race would make it my 4th top rated.

GET BOOSTING has its best time recorded this year over this course and distance but it would need to improve time wise to win this race.

KRAKEN POWER is another that will need to improve time wise to win this race and I think it will be better when racing over a longer distance. 

PRIMOS COMET 6/1 has the best time for this race but its best times have been recorded in lower class races than this one so maybe worth laying at the price. 

SUMMARY: I expect Clarendon House and/or Militia to set the pace I have only 1lb between them on my ratings, I'm not sure the bottom weight, Primos Comet, is quite up to winning this class of race so I will be putting my money on *VICTORY ANGEL 13/2 who likes a fast pace to aim at so this race could suit it ideally but i wont be betting too heavily in this race.

*NR

Friday, 4 June 2021

4:55 Musselburgh Racing Tips (5th June)

MUSSELBURGH 4.55 

As usual I will stick with my own unique speed figure handicap ratings which gives VICTORY ANGEL 7/2 as my top rated, its usually held up for a late run and with 3 possible pacesetters this race could be run to suit it, the only downside is the trainers 0-6 record at this course and the jockeys 0-8 record on this stables horses both Eeh Bah Gum and Militia could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but they might also cut each others throats and set the race up for my selection. 

Victory Angel 7/2 1st +3.5pts (Betfair SP -) 

Total +3.5pts

CHEPSTOW 6.00 

Looking at the tissue prices I will look to lay Aguerooo15/2 and Finvarca 8/1 who both might do better over longer distances as long as they are single figure prices, another lay could be Captain Ryan 13/2 who I tipped up and backed when it won last time out on the AW but it hasn't won since 2016 on grass and has shown very little since then on its sporadic ventures onto the turf and I think this expected favourite could be worth laying, Glamorous Force is my 4th top rated but only 1lb below my joint 2nd and 3rd top rated horses Top Boy, but I had to go back to 2019 for this ones best time, and Blue Venture and this one could be the one to set the pace and should prove hard to catch if getting to the front but my top rated is AQUADABRA 9/2 who recorded a time in 2020 at Bath that would see it winning this race a shade cosily, the poor trainer/jockey stats are a bit off-putting but I am hoping an each way punt could pay dividends. 

Aquadabra 11/2 1pt ew +0.5pts

Total +0.5pts

CHEPSTOW 6.30 

A 9 runner dash with 3 known front running types in the race and Davids Beauty could go best of the trio but this ones best is only good enough for 4th top spot, I will look to lay Flip Mode as I don't think good to firm going suits it but I will need to check the going on the day before laying this one, Bellevarde is my 3rd top rated and the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim moves it to 2nd top spot, my original 2nd top rated was Show Me The Bubbly but this one jockeys record of 1-13 for the stable looks a negative, MOONRAKER 2/1 starts off as my top rated and the apprentices 3lb claim keeps it at top spot and it usually likes to track the leaders and the stay on strongly at the finish of the race but I do hope it drifts as I was hoping for about 5/1.

Moonraker 5/1 5th -1pt 

Total on the day: +3pts

Tuesday, 13 April 2021

1:50 Newmarket Racing Tips (14th April)

NEWMARKET 1.50 

A nice looking class 2 handicap and a couple that have been known to lead, Going Places only seems to lead if nothing else wants to so may not have to lead here and it may be better over further so may not even be able to lead and it may be one i will look to lay if it is of value to do so, two others I will look to lay if of value are Stone Circle and Gunmetal, the former may also prefer a longer trip and the latter who is actually my 2nd top rated, may be outclassed at this level and it doesn't want the going to be too firm, Additional is the one I think will set the pace and could be very dangerous if allowed a soft lead but then again it might need this run for fitness, I couldn't back or lay this one, I think Dazzling Dan has a chance to make the frame even though its only 4th on my figures, I will split my stakes in this race backing both CHIL CHIL 8/1 who ha a decent time from 2020 but it is a 2019 time that makes it my 3rd top rated and this one has a positive looking jockey booking it has a break to overcome but has one after a break before, the other bet is COUNT OTTO 10/1 who produced its best time last year over this c/d so I'm hoping it can do so again. 

Count Otto 10/1 1 Point Win 1st +10pts (Betfair SP 11.12) CSF £68.44
Chil Chil 8/1 1 Point Win 2nd -1pt 
Gunmetal 2 Points Lay +2 pts
Goin Place 1 Point Lay +1pt
Stone Circle 1 Point Lay +1pt

Total +13pts

BEVERLEY 4.00 

I can only find 1 natural front runner in this 5 furlong dash, I will look to lay Muscika and Queens Order if a single figure price, Jawwaal, Ginger Jam, Music Society and Saluti all like to stay on at the business end of a race but all need to improve time wise if others run to their best, Nibras Again is capable of recording a good time but this one might be outclassed in this class 3 affair, my 2nd top rated is King Of Storms 9/2 and it could be the one to set the pace to the race and recorded its best time this year when winning at Bath so has to be respected and it could be the one for the forecast but I wasn't expecting it to be the favourite, I will be hoping that VICTORY ANGEL 10/1 can improve on its 4th place on its last run at Musselburgh and that's where it recorded its top time, so being this year it is another in good heart and as usual at the price I have to go with an each way wager. 

Victory Angel 1 Point Each Way 1st +12pts (Betfair SP 8.4) 
Queens Order 2 Points Lay +2pts
Muscika 1 Point Lay +1pt

Total on the day +28pts