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Sunday, 13 June 2021

6:50 Nottingham Racing Tips (14th June)

NOTTINGHAM 6.50 

LATIN FIVE 8/1 likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger nearing the finish and races as though further might help its cause but this race could be run to suit it. 

SALUTI 8/1 usually tracks the leaders and then stays on at the finish and comes out 3rd best on my speed figures so could make the frame. 

NIBRAS AGAIN 12/1 hasn't shown much time wise since 2019 and usually stays on at the business end of a race but the jockeys 0-8 makes me think this race isn't its target. 

BLAZING HOT 10/1 is one of the two known front runners in the race and comes out 2nd best on my figures and could be hard to catch if getting an easy lead but I doubt that will happen but could make frame so maybe value to do as an each way punt. 

EEH BAH GUM 3/1 is the other one of the two known front running types in the race and its best time from 2019 would make it my 3rd top rated so could make the frame but its not an each way price. 

HELVETIAN 8/1 this one looks as though a longer trip would help its cause and would need to improve time wise to win this race. 

BIRKENHEAD 12/1 is a hold up type of horse but it may struggle to catch the leaders in this race and isn't in my top 4 speed ratings. 

TOMSHALFBROTHER 7/2 the trainer has a decent 22% win ratio here with their older horses but this one might be better over a longer distance and one I will look to lay at the price. 

MAY THE SIXTH 20/1 hasn't any turf form to its name and it would need to improve on its best AW time which came at this distance at Wolverhampton. 

CONCLUSION: Blazing Hot and/or Eeh Bah Gum look the likely pacesetters and the former is my 2nd top rated so could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but I think they could set this race up form the top weight. LATIN FIVE 8/1 who likes a fast pace to aim at and its best time was recorded this year so is my top rated on both recent and overall speed figures. 

Latin Five 9/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

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WINDSOR 7.30 

EDRAAK 3/1 comes out 4th top rated on my figures and is usually held up in the rear or in midfield to come with a late run and its best time did come from this year but isn't an each way price. 

TINTO 16/1 is usually held up for a late run and is my 2nd top rated but the apprentices 3lb claim makes it very tight between my top 2 ratings and looks worth an each way punt. 

OPEN WIDE 11/1 is my 3rd top rated and likes to track the leaders so could do enough to make the frame if an each way price. 

IVANTHEENGINE 11/2 has poor recent form to its name in its only 2 races this year and its best time which was at Wolverhampton wouldn't win this race so maybe worth laying if a single figure price.

INDIAN CREEK 4/1 usually likes to race in the midfield in its races and time wise it would need to improve to win this race and may not catch the leaders quickly enough.

A SURE WELCOME 7/2 I think this is the one that will set the pace in this race and is my top rated so ought to prove very hard to catch. 

CONCIERGE 10/1 has only slow times from its recent races and may be a better prospect when tried over further than today's 6 furlongs. 

HAN SOLO BERGER 11/1 has only slow times over this distance mainly due to the fact it looks better when tried over a shorter distance. 

CONCLUSION: Only the one known front runner so A SURE WELCOME 7/2 could go well from the front if allowed an easy lead and will be carrying some of my money but to cover the angles I will also be backing TINTO 16/1 who is usually held up for a late run and there is very little between them on the clock and looks worth having a small each way bet because it looks value at the price.

Tinto 16/1 2nd -1pt 
A Sure Welcome 7/2 3rd -1pt

Total on the day -3pts

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