A class 3 race for female jockeys and my selection is being ridden by one of the top jockettes, I will look to lay Pivoting and Rocket Action if they are single figure prices which I very much doubt, so maybe the best lay will be Citron Major 15/2 who doesn't seem to like good to firm ground the early pace could well be set by Giogiobbo and unless its allowed a very easy time in front I doubt it can hold on for the win, Call Me Ginger 7/2 comes out 3rd top rated on a time it recorded when winning at Hamilton but I doubt it will be an each way price, Embour 15/2 is my 2nd top rated and again its using a time recorded at Hamilton so might just about be worth an each way bet, my money will be riding on LORD P 9/4 who recorded a time when winning at Carlisle which would see it winning this race quite cosily and the trainer is in good form with a 7-18 record for the last 2 weeks.
Lord P 9/4 2nd -1pt
Lay bets Citron Major +1pt
Total 0pts
CHEPSTOW 2.00
A 7 runner race but I could potentially lay 3 of them, Mabre, Siglo Six and Russco 7/4, as long as they are single figure prices, as I think they all could do better over a longer distance but at the prices it looks likely I will only lay Russco, the hold up type Gilt Edge comes out in 3rd top spot, MY STYLE 11/1 (EW) comes out top rated using 2021 times and that speed figure is good enough for 2nd top spot on my overall figures so worth an each way wager, HANDYTALK 7/2 has only slow times so far this year but does have a time from 2020 recorded at Salisbury that makes it my top rated on the overall figures, both horses have good trainer/jockey stats making it look like both sets of connections are expecting a big run from their horse in this race so I will be backing them both.
Handytalk 5/1 3rd -1pt
My Style 11/1 4th -2pts
Lay bets Russco -2pts, Mabre +1pt, Siglo Six +1pt
Total -3pts
CHEPSTOW 3.05 Div II
Division 1 of this race was full of 3yo’s and lightly raced sorts so I will leave it alone, this isn't a great race but the top weight Creek Harbour 7/2 has been known to lead if nothing else wants to but will probably try to set a slightly slower early pace to keep something in reserve for the finish so it could be dangerous but along with Andre Amar 4/1 and Glorious Crescent 11/2 it can struggle to stay this distance on good to firm ground if theres a fast early pace, I will be backing 2 horses in this race there is only 2lbs between SIR RODERICK 10/1 (EW) and RAINBOW MIRAGE 12/1 (EW) and the latter has the better trainer/jockey stats which makes it hard to split them and I will be backing them both each way.
Sir Roderick 10/1 6th -2pts
Rainbow Mirage 12/1 7th -2pts
Total -4pts
CHEPSTOW 4.35
For a class 6 this one isn't too bad there's 3 known front runners and it could be won from the front, I will look to lay Nacho 7/4 who has won before but both on turf and AW surfaces they have been slow run affairs when it has won so this race may not be run to suit it, Glamorous Force 5/2 is my 3rd top rated and will be trying to stay on at the business end of the race but isn't an each way prospect, Aquadabra 14/1 comes out best on just 2021 times and 2nd best on my overall figures so may be worth an each way interest while CORONATION COTTAGE 11/2 comes out 2nd best on 2021 times but top on my overall figures and is the one that I think could lead all the way in this race.
Coronation Cottage 11/2 1st +5.5pts
Total +5.5pts
CHELMSFORD 8.00
There is a couple of known front running types in this race which helps with my analysis, I have Storm Melody as my 3rd top rated and it usually likes to track the leaders as does Tilsworth Rose who sits in 2nd top spot but top on my figures but only by 1lb when I take off the apprentices 3lb claim on JORVIK PRINCE 12/1 who is a front running type and has the plum stall 1 draw in this race and could lead from the off and then prove hard to catch, its a pity there is only 7 runners because I would have put it as an each way bet if there was 3 places.
Jorvik Prince 12/1 1st -1pt
Total -1pt
Total on the day -2.5pts
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