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Monday, 6 September 2021

4:10 Catterick Racing Tips (7th September)

CATTERICK 4.10

MILITIA a possible pacesetter but would need to improve time wise to win this race and the trainers win ratio is only 8% at this course. 

BUY ME BACK the jockey is 0-4 and the trainers strike-rate with their older runners is a poor 5% and has had 1 winner from 19 runners in the last 2 weeks.

MACHREE has poorish trainer/jockey stats and the trainer is also 0-17 for the last 2 weeks while puts me off its chances.

ASTROZONE has poor trainer stats and its best time from the last 2 years leaves it well short of whats needed to win this class 4 race. 

DAPPER MAN a possible pacesetter and my top rated on just 2021 times at this level and its best speed figure from Hamilton makes it my top rated on my overall figures. 

DARK SHOT has been known to lead but hasn't done so lately but its best time from 2020 at Leicester would make it my 2nd top rated but it could struggle to lead here which could hamper its chance of winning. 

SPANISH ANGEL has poorish jockey stats and time wise would need to improve to win this race but could go well if able to reproduce its best 2020 speed figure.

THRILLA IN MANILLA has poorish trainer/jockey stats but it is capable of making the frame if running to its best speed figure rating. 

ECONOMIC CRISIS the trainer is 1-63 at this course and the jockey 0-17 for the stable and maybe doesn't like good to firm ground.

AUCKLAND LODGE this one might be outclassed at this level but is capable of recording a fast time in the right grade.

SUMMARY: With 6 of the 10 runners having been known to lead I think this race should be won from the front as long as they don't go off too fast from the off, I am going to side with DAPPER MAN 4/1 who admittedly hasn't the best of the draw in stall 8 but it ought to be away fast enough to lead or at least gain a good early prominent position and then a reproduction of its best Hamilton time would see it get back to winning ways here. 

Dapper Man 9/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

WINDSOR 4.15 

There's 7 runners in this race with 2 horses known as front running types and they are my 4th top rated, Anjella and my 2nd top rated Hello Me so maybe the rest of the field may struggle to get involved, Sarah's Verse is my 3rd top rated and this one is a hold up type but I will be putting my money on the top weight SECOND COLLECTION 10/3 who is another hold up type and it likes a fast pace to aim at so this race should be run to suit it, the trainer has had 6 winners in the last 2 weeks so is in good form and could add to his total here. 

Second Collection 9/2 2nd -1pt

Total -1pt 

WINDSOR 5.15 

Just 5 runners but luckily 2 of them have been known to lead before so the early pace could be set by either/or Pop Dancer and Just That Lord and the pair of them are only separated by 1lb on my figures and Pettochside is rated just 1lb higher but none of them are in my top 2 ratings, ROSE HIP 3/1 is my 2nd top rated on just 2021 times but has a time from last year that moves it to top spot so has to be backed in case it can repeat last years best time but I will also be backing AUTUMN FLIGHT 5/4 who is top rated on just this years times and the trainer has a decent 15% win ratio at this course.

Rose Hip 3/1 2nd -1pt 
Autumn Flight 7/4 3rd -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -4pts

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