1:55 Carlisle Racing Tips (16th May)

PS: Yes I know a postscript should be at the end of a piece of work my English isn't quite that bad, looking at the weather forecast everywhere is forecast to have rain either today and or tomorrow so please check the going before placing a bet on anything I've mentioned because if the going is on the soft side then my ratings are defunct and I have wasted several hours analysing and writing up today's sprints. 

CARLISLE 1.55 

A nine runner class 5 race so nothing to get too excited about but with 3 known front running types it should be a true run affair and of those 3 Runninwild may do best of them although I'm not completely sure what to expect from Stalingrad who might need further to show its best, East Street Revue and Good Earth are my joint 4th top rated with Melody King sitting in 3rd top spot, there is a 5lb gap between my top 2, Fashion Advice is my top rated but this one might need this run after not having had a run in the last year but would be dangerous if fully fit but i would rather back its stablemate, VENTURA FLAME 7/1 who is usually held up for a late run, as either could win this race I will have a covering bet on Fashion Advice just in case the stable are only trying with this one. 

Ventura Flame 10/1 1st +10pts 

Total +10pts 

REDCAR 3.55 

Just a poor turnout of 5 runners for this class 3 dash but luckily there is one known front runner amongst them, looking at the early tissue prices Sir Titus 3/1 is forecast to be the favourite but this one seems to do its winning in lower class races and I would think about laying it even if it is the favourite, Rebel At Dawn is my 3rd top rated and only 2lbs behind Soul Seeker in 2nd top spot but my top rated is *MODULAR MAGIC 11/4 and its the one known front running type in the race so hopefully it can lead all the way for victory. 

*NR 

No bet soft ground 

WINDSOR 6.10 

I hope that all 8 runners take part so I can have an each way bet, if I can find one, its so bad I cannot find with confidence anything to lay, Tabdeed comes out 3rd top on my figures who can be held up for a late run or tracks the leaders and then try to stay on at the finish, if I went back to 2020 then Atalantis Boy would be in 2nd top spot but hasn't been within 10 spots of that rating since then, my top rated is FIRST FOLIO 13/2 who recorded a rating at Yarmouth last year that would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

First Folio 13/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WINDSOR 6.40 

A class 3 race with 12 runners and 4 that have been known to lead before, I might well look to lay The Princes Poet, Global Prospector 7/1 and Nelson Gay (non-runner) who might find this trip too far for them especially with a fast early pace then add Inver Park 6/1 who need to improve a good few spots time wise to win this race, Chipstead 12/1 is my 3rd top rated using a Goodwood rating this year, Media Guest 18/1 is my 2nd top rated using a 2021 Yarmouth usually held up for a late run but if SHOBIZ 11/2 can reproduce its best time from Yarmouth again here at Goodwood it can lead and hold on for the win. 

Showbiz 11/2 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt  

LEICESTER 7.50 

Eleven runners in a class 4 race but again a big problem with no known front running types amongst them, with a fast early pace I could have eliminated Dream Composer 5/1, Prince Of Abington 11/2 and Dark Shot 40/1 who all might struggle to stay the distance although the middle one of those 3 is my 2nd top rated, using a speed figure it recorded at Carlisle last year LORD P 7/1 but the possible downfall could be that its usually races in midfield or held up for a late run so without a decent gallop things will be much harder for it to win.

Lord P 11/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +7pts 

1:10 Doncaster Racing Tips (9th September)

DONCASTER 1.10 

A class 3 race for female jockeys and my selection is being ridden by one of the top jockettes, I will look to lay Pivoting and Rocket Action if they are single figure prices which I very much doubt, so maybe the best lay will be Citron Major 15/2 who doesn't seem to like good to firm ground the early pace could well be set by Giogiobbo and unless its allowed a very easy time in front I doubt it can hold on for the win, Call Me Ginger 7/2 comes out 3rd top rated on a time it recorded when winning at Hamilton but I doubt it will be an each way price, Embour 15/2 is my 2nd top rated and again its using a time recorded at Hamilton so might just about be worth an each way bet, my money will be riding on LORD P 9/4 who recorded a time when winning at Carlisle which would see it winning this race quite cosily and the trainer is in good form with a 7-18 record for the last 2 weeks. 

Lord P 9/4 2nd -1pt 

Lay bets Citron Major +1pt

Total 0pts

CHEPSTOW 2.00 

A 7 runner race but I could potentially lay 3 of them, Mabre, Siglo Six and Russco 7/4, as long as they are single figure prices, as I think they all could do better over a longer distance but at the prices it looks likely I will only lay Russco, the hold up type Gilt Edge comes out in 3rd top spot, MY STYLE 11/1 (EW) comes out top rated using 2021 times and that speed figure is good enough for 2nd top spot on my overall figures so worth an each way wager, HANDYTALK 7/2 has only slow times so far this year but does have a time from 2020 recorded at Salisbury that makes it my top rated on the overall figures, both horses have good trainer/jockey stats making it look like both sets of connections are expecting a big run from their horse in this race so I will be backing them both. 

Handytalk 5/1 3rd -1pt

My Style 11/1 4th -2pts 

Lay bets Russco -2pts, Mabre +1pt, Siglo Six +1pt

Total -3pts

CHEPSTOW 3.05 Div II 

Division 1 of this race was full of 3yo’s and lightly raced sorts so I will leave it alone, this isn't a great race but the top weight Creek Harbour 7/2 has been known to lead if nothing else wants to but will probably try to set a slightly slower early pace to keep something in reserve for the finish so it could be dangerous but along with Andre Amar 4/1 and Glorious Crescent 11/2 it can struggle to stay this distance on good to firm ground if theres a fast early pace, I will be backing 2 horses in this race there is only 2lbs between SIR RODERICK 10/1 (EW) and RAINBOW MIRAGE 12/1 (EW) and the latter has the better trainer/jockey stats which makes it hard to split them and I will be backing them both each way. 

Sir Roderick 10/1 6th -2pts

Rainbow Mirage 12/1 7th -2pts 

Total -4pts 

CHEPSTOW 4.35 

For a class 6 this one isn't too bad there's 3 known front runners and it could be won from the front, I will look to lay Nacho 7/4 who has won before but both on turf and AW surfaces they have been slow run affairs when it has won so this race may not be run to suit it, Glamorous Force 5/2 is my 3rd top rated and will be trying to stay on at the business end of the race but isn't an each way prospect, Aquadabra 14/1 comes out best on just 2021 times and 2nd best on my overall figures so may be worth an each way interest while CORONATION COTTAGE 11/2 comes out 2nd best on 2021 times but top on my overall figures and is the one that I think could lead all the way in this race. 

Coronation Cottage 11/2 1st +5.5pts 

Total +5.5pts

CHELMSFORD 8.00 

There is a couple of known front running types in this race which helps with my analysis, I have Storm Melody as my 3rd top rated and it usually likes to track the leaders as does Tilsworth Rose who sits in 2nd top spot but top on my figures but only by 1lb when I take off the apprentices 3lb claim on JORVIK PRINCE 12/1 who is a front running type and has the plum stall 1 draw in this race and could lead from the off and then prove hard to catch, its a pity there is only 7 runners because I would have put it as an each way bet if there was 3 places.

Jorvik Prince 12/1 1st -1pt

Total -1pt

Total on the day -2.5pts