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Tuesday, 28 September 2021

3:00 Nottingham Racing Tips (29th September)

NOTTINGHAM 3.00 

For a class 2 race this one doesn't thrill me, at least there is some early types in the race so I shouldn't complain as it should be a true run affair, the top weight Lezardeux 9/2 might be worth taking on with a lay bet as it can struggle to stay this distance at times and this race might emphasise its lack of stamina for the sixth furlong with 3 known front runners in the race, Jordan Electrics 25/1 is my 3rd top rated might do best of those running to the fore here and might be worth an each way interest at the price, my 2nd top rated is Second Collection 12/1 who did its best at Chester and this course is nothing like that one so I'm not sure if it can reproduce its best time here my money will be riding on WORLD OF WINDHOVEN 12/1 who won two runs ago at Yarmouth where it produced a fast time, fast enough to make it my top rated, its next run was at Newmarket where it finished sixth of six and the trainer reported that the horse didn't like the undulations on that course so its now switched back to a more level flat course so this time wont have any excuses and the trainer is in good form with 4 winners from 11 runners in the last two weeks. 

World Of Windhoven 12/1 9th -1pt 

Lay bet: Lezardeux +1pt 

Total 0pts  

CATTERICK 4.20 Div II

The 1st division of this race has 8 of the 11 runners either being a 3yo or a 4yo and there wasn't enough data to analyse the race, this division isn't great but I might have found a nugget amongst the dirt, looking at the tissue prices the bottom 5 in the handicap will be big prices so will not be of value to lay and I have negatives against everyone of them but I would maybe lay Qaaraat 7/1 and Jakacan 8/1 if they stay in single figure prices but I think they will drift out before the off, I could look to lay Dan De Light 8/1 who looks better over a shorter distance but I have to admit there's no known front running types in this race so maybe a lay isn't a good idea but if that's so then Emjaytwentythree 9/2 may be worth a lay as it might need further and is still a maiden after 13 runs but to lay either might be foolish in fact to lay anything might be downright stupid, Mr Trevor 4/1 is my 3rd top rated using a time from this year at Redcar but wont be an each way price but STRONSAY 9/1 might well be one to consider for and each way bet, admittedly it hasn't been in form lately but its best time from 2020 at Hamilton would actually make it my top rated but the jockeys 0-22 record for the stable and the stables 0-33 at this course do put me off but it might be worth a small investment, which leaves me with GINATO 2/1 who is my 2nd top rated but I expect this one will be the favourite but 1 win from 13 runs doesn't fill me with confidence but does seem the safest option in this race.

Ginato 2/1 1st +2pts
Stronsay 12/1 4th -2pts 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day 0pts

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