3:00 Nottingham Racing Tips (29th September)

NOTTINGHAM 3.00 

For a class 2 race this one doesn't thrill me, at least there is some early types in the race so I shouldn't complain as it should be a true run affair, the top weight Lezardeux 9/2 might be worth taking on with a lay bet as it can struggle to stay this distance at times and this race might emphasise its lack of stamina for the sixth furlong with 3 known front runners in the race, Jordan Electrics 25/1 is my 3rd top rated might do best of those running to the fore here and might be worth an each way interest at the price, my 2nd top rated is Second Collection 12/1 who did its best at Chester and this course is nothing like that one so I'm not sure if it can reproduce its best time here my money will be riding on WORLD OF WINDHOVEN 12/1 who won two runs ago at Yarmouth where it produced a fast time, fast enough to make it my top rated, its next run was at Newmarket where it finished sixth of six and the trainer reported that the horse didn't like the undulations on that course so its now switched back to a more level flat course so this time wont have any excuses and the trainer is in good form with 4 winners from 11 runners in the last two weeks. 

World Of Windhoven 12/1 9th -1pt 

Lay bet: Lezardeux +1pt 

Total 0pts  

CATTERICK 4.20 Div II

The 1st division of this race has 8 of the 11 runners either being a 3yo or a 4yo and there wasn't enough data to analyse the race, this division isn't great but I might have found a nugget amongst the dirt, looking at the tissue prices the bottom 5 in the handicap will be big prices so will not be of value to lay and I have negatives against everyone of them but I would maybe lay Qaaraat 7/1 and Jakacan 8/1 if they stay in single figure prices but I think they will drift out before the off, I could look to lay Dan De Light 8/1 who looks better over a shorter distance but I have to admit there's no known front running types in this race so maybe a lay isn't a good idea but if that's so then Emjaytwentythree 9/2 may be worth a lay as it might need further and is still a maiden after 13 runs but to lay either might be foolish in fact to lay anything might be downright stupid, Mr Trevor 4/1 is my 3rd top rated using a time from this year at Redcar but wont be an each way price but STRONSAY 9/1 might well be one to consider for and each way bet, admittedly it hasn't been in form lately but its best time from 2020 at Hamilton would actually make it my top rated but the jockeys 0-22 record for the stable and the stables 0-33 at this course do put me off but it might be worth a small investment, which leaves me with GINATO 2/1 who is my 2nd top rated but I expect this one will be the favourite but 1 win from 13 runs doesn't fill me with confidence but does seem the safest option in this race.

Ginato 2/1 1st +2pts

Stronsay 12/1 4th -2pts 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day 0pts

2:15 Ayr Racing Tips (26th July)

AYR 2.15 

A 12 runner race with 3 front running types, I will look to lay Glenamoy Lad 13/2 who hasn't won since 2017 and Jessie Allan 11/1 who won last time out but in a slow run race so may have been flattered by that piece of form,looking at my figures I expect the pace will be set by Jordan Electrics and/or Rebel Redemption as they are my 4th and 3rd top rated using times they recorded this year at Hamilton and Carlisle, I had to go back to 2019 to find the best time for Paddy Power and its time when it won over this course and distance 3 runs ago this year was a slow run affair and I think age is catching up with this 8yo, my money will be riding on STRONSAY 9/1 with an each way wager at the price, who I fancied last time it ran but things didn't go to plan for it that day where the early pace was quite slow and then when the leaders kicked on it got outpaced before staying on again at the finish with there being more early paced sorts in this race it should have the good pace to aim at which it likes. 

Stronsay 9/1 10th -2pts 

Lay bets Glenamoy Lad +1pt, Jessie Allan +1pt 

Total 0pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.35 

Eleven runners with 3 front running types in the field, I will look to lay Nacho 5/1 who has only produced slow times in its 4 runs over this course and distance and Bellevarde 4/1 who also has had 4 course and distance runs and not produced a time good enough to register on my figures and this one also has poor trainer/jockey stats, its not a great race and I've only got 5 runners with a rating, Katherine Place who’s best time comes from 2019, Signore Piccolo who’s best time comes from Newcastle, Qaaraat who hasn't shown much so far this year over this distance, Street Life who did its best time when winning at Newcastle but has 2 slow times form its only 2 course and distance runs, the one carrying my money has never run on this surface before but has a time from Chelmsford that would put it 9lb higher than anything else plus its the other possible pacesetter slim hoping that *DARK SIDE PRINCE 5/1 can get to the front and then prove too hard to catch and the jockey booking makes me think the stables expecting a big run here. 

*NR 

Lay bets Nacho +1pt, Bellevarde +1pt 

Total +2pts  

WINDSOR 6.25

Only 7 runners in a class 4 affair and to be fair I was going to leave this race alone before I checked the form of the 3yo’s in the race, I can see the 3yo Enduring setting the pace to the race but this one has only slow times on turf from its 5 races where its not even made the frame but its best time on the AW at Chelmsford would make it my 2nd top rated so could go well here but I will be backing another 3yo in the shape of AL SAARLYAH 8/1 who recorded a time at Yarmouth in 2020 that would make it my top rated, its 3 runs this year can be ignored as its not had the ideal conditions but as long as its doesn't rain here it has been found a good opportunity to get back to winning ways. 

Al Saarlay 8/1 1st +8pts 

Total +8pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.35 

A field of 13 in a class 5 race that looks above average for its class, there's five 3yo’s amongst them and 2 known front running types, there is a few forecast to be around the 10/1 mark that I would lay if a single figure price so the betting will decide whether I have any lays or not, I've got very little between Turanga Leela (one of the possible pacesetters), Tathmeen, Spanish Angel, Al Asef and Martineo on my ratings so any could run well but I have Zamjar as my top rated but that time came from a Newcastle time back in 2019 and has only slow times here from 2 runs, my money will be riding on CUBAN BREEZE 15/2 who is the other known pace setting type and in the make-up of this race stall 11 might not be too bad and if getting to the front it ought to prove hard to catch and with its good trainer/jockey stats making me think connections are expecting a big run here.  

Cuban Breeze 8/1 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +9pts 

1:50 Catterick Racing Tips (21st July)

CATTERICK 1.50 

A strange race, the bottom 4 in the handicap are all out of form on recent runs but I expect they will all be double figure prices, I think the next 2 in the handicap, Qaaraat and Alex Gracie can both can struggle to stay the sixth furlong if there's a fast early pace and I would also add Alsvinder to the list of those that may not stay the distance, I expect Gullane One to set a fast early pace as that's its only hope of winning but I still doubt it can do so but never say never, Redzone has won over this distance and this course and distance but they were all relatively slow run affairs and maybe another to add to my lay list, Lincoln Gamble is my 3rd top rated and usually races in midfield before trying to stay on at the finish, Jungle Inthebungle comes out 2nd top using a time from Pontefract last year but its last win was way back in 2018 but may need this run for fitness having been of the courses for over 200 days, if *STRONSAY 9/1 runs here after running at Ayr on Monday this will be the one carrying my money, on Monday it was close to the front but the pace was a slow one and then it got outpaced when the other leaders kicked and then stayed on again nearing the finish but I think this race will have a faster early pace which will suit it better. 

*NR

CATTERICK 3.20 

There is only 6 runners but 4 of them have been known to lead, I can only see Denzils Laughing 9/1 as one to lay as its best times even when winning were on the slow side of things and could therefore get outpaced in this race and could be found easier chances in the future, Militia and Machree are possible pacesetters and the latter is my 3rd top rated, MUTABAAHY 7/2 is my top rated using just 2021 times and has a time 3lbs higher from 2020 but that would only make it my 2nd top rated on overall figures and could be the one to prosper if the leaders go off too fast and fade but of the front runners I've got DARK SHOT 11/4 in top spot using a time it recorded at Leicester last year and I will be backing them both to cover the angles.

Dark Shot 11/4 2nd -1pt 

Mutabaahy 13/2 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Denzil's Laughing +1pt

Total on the day -1pt

1:35 Ayr Racing Tips (19th July)

AYR 1.35 

A race with 8 runners so lets hope they all run, I cannot find a guaranteed pacesetter amongst them which is something that always puts me on the back foot and any bets the stakes are kept on the low side, Global Humor is my 3rd top rated using a time recorded at Hamilton in 2020, in 2nd top spot is Amazing Alba who might like this race as it can struggle to stay this far if there's a fast early pace but I will stick with backing my top rated STRONSAY 11/4 who can run in midfield or track the leaders and hopefully it can cover any moves whatever way this race is run and a repeat of its time from Hamilton this year would see it winning it a shade cosily. 

Stronsay 100/30 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

BEVERLEY 6.15 

A big field of 17 for this race and a couple of front runners to make sure there's a fast early pace, I'm not sure if there's anything of value to be worth laying, as for the winner I have 5 of them with positive marks against their names and have some chance of winning this race but I will discard two of them but I cannot narrow it down any further and I will go with dutching the three remaining horses, DARK SHOT 8/1 is the one that I think will lead in this race and comes out top rated using a time from Leicester last year that might be a little bit higher than it should be but with a soft lead it could be very dangerous, VAN GERWEN 10/1 is my top rated on just 2021 times which it recorded at Ripon and likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish, *NOT ON YOUR NELLIE 7/1 is 2nd top rated on just 2021 times and also 2nd top on overall figures using a time from 2020 and usually is held up or races in midfield and then stay on at the business end of the race. 

*NR 

Dark Shot 8/1 2nd -1pt 

Van Gerwin 22/1 Unp -1pt

Total -2pts

WINDSOR 7.35 

There is 2 known front running types in this race so it should be a true run affair, I will look to lay Huraiz and Lihou if they are a single figure price as they might prefer a longer distance to shine while I would also lay Firepower 13/2 as its been in poor form lately that is if they are single figure prices, Rose Hip would be top rated using a time from Leicester last year but the time of that race is starting to look like a bit of a fluke time, Second Collection would be another contender using its best time from 2020 over this course and distance, the early pace may well be set by Glamorous Anna who recorded its best time at Newbury last year but I will be backing the top weight A SURE WELCOME 3/1 who usually finishes fast over this distance and this ones best time was recorded this year over this course and distance which is always a bonus.

A Sure Welcome 9/2 7th -1pt

Lay bets Lihou +1pt, Huraiz +1pt

Total on the day -2pts