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Monday, 18 October 2021

2:50 Newcastle Racing Tips (19th October)

NEWCASTLE 2.50 

A full house of 14 runners with 3 known front running types amongst them and Jordan Electrics, my 2nd top rated and Giogiobbo my joint 4th top rated will make sure its a true run race and both of them might be worth looking at for an each way punt, there's a couple of possible hidden dangers in Pagan and Silver Samurai which means my stakes will be kept low, I'm not sure if anything I see that I might lay will be a worthwhile price so I will hold fire on the lays till I see some betting, my money will be riding on CAPTAIN VALLO 5/1 a 3yo that won last time out in a fast time, admittedly it was in a lower class race but I'm hoping this is an improving 3yo and can take the upgrade in its stride and follow up again here. 

Captain Vallo 5/1 2nd -1pt

Total -1pt 

KEMPTON 5.00 

A fairly nice looking class 5 dash with 2 front running sort’s to ensure there's a fast early pace, La Roca Del Fuego has been in cracking form winning its last 4 races on an artificial surface but they were all recorded at Chelmsford and hasn't any form over this course and distance, 3 of its 4 wins were over 6 furlongs but it did win over five furlongs last time out by leading all the way but that time would only be good enough for 3rd top spot on my overall figures and it might not be quite fast enough to lead in this race as my top rated SPIRIT POWER 11/1 (EW) is also a front running type who has good trainer and jockey stats although the trainer is 0-9 for the last 2 weeks its only 23 days since they had a winner and will be the one carrying my money with an each way wager at the price, the horse that might do best of those coming form off the pace could be Smokey who has a time from Lingfield last year that makes it my 2nd top rated on my overall figures and strangely none of the horses in this race have a recorded time for this year so everything is more of a gamble. 

Spirit Power 22/1 7th -2pts 

Total -2pts 

NEWCASTLE 5.40 

I will wait until the day of the race before deciding if there's anything worthwhile laying in this race as it does look a very competitive affair and I am not 100% sure its race to be betting in at all, on the clock I looked at ANOTHER ANGEL 9/2 one of the possible pacesetters and comes out 3rd best on my overall figures using a 2020 time so could go well but the trainer is 0-11 in the last 2 weeks which muddies the waters, LORD OF THE GLEN 6/1 is another possible front runner and comes out in top spot using a time from 2020 when it won over this course and distance but the trainers 0-17 in the last 2 weeks doesn't fill me with confidence,YOUNG TIGER 8/1 could be the one to prosper if the leaders tire but once again I am using a 2020 time to find its best speed figure and hasn't shown much in its last few runs on turf so maybe the switch back to the All-Weather will inspire it to bounce back to form so I will be dutching the three of them.

Lord Of The Glen 6/1 2nd -1pt 
Young Tiger 8/1 8th -1pt 
Another Angel 9th -1pt 

Total -3pts 

Total on the day -6pts

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