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Thursday, 30 December 2021

12:40 Lingfield Racing Tips (31st December)

LINGFIELD 12.40 

A nice looking class 3 race with 8 runners and 3 that like to lead, Outrage 9/1 may prefer further, Vandad 11/1 and Lucky Ava 3/1 might be outclassed and I will look to lay all 3 of them if they are of value to lay , the top weight Top Breeze could go well but may not be ideally drawn in stall 8 for a front runner and might get carried wide on the bend, my money will be riding on LIHOU 7/2 who is another front runner and from stall 5 it should be able to get either a good position or lead and it then should prove hard to catch.

Lihou 7/2 6th -1pt

Lay bet Lucky Ava +1pt

Total 0pts 

LINGFIELD 2.55 Div I

Not the best sprint even for a class 6 race but with 2 known front runners it should be a true run race with Winnetka and Julie Johnston battling for control of the early pace, I will look to lay Hector Loza 9/2 who has recorded slow times on this surface at both Chelmsford and Kempton and I think its a better horse over a shorter distance plus the jockeys record is 1-42 which doesn't indicate it will be expected to win win this race, Come On Girl and The Cola Kid are my joint 3rd top rated so either could make the frame if they repeat their best so might be worth an each way punt if they are a double figure price but they might be battling for just the one place so it makes more sense to leave them alone, both of the 2 horses I will be backing in this race like to track the leaders, my top rated horse CAMACHESS 9/2 would normally be my sole bet in this race as it is my top rated and it recorded that rating here this year but its been 57 days since this stable last had a winner admittedly they have only sent out 6 horses in those 57 days so i might also back my 2nd top rated horse Nubough 9/2 more as a covering bet as its been 18 runners and 128 days since this stable last tasted success, so any stakes will be kept low. 

Camachess 8/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Hector Loza +1pt 

Total 0pts

LINGFIELD 3.25 Div II 

This looks the weaker of the two divisions with five 3yo’s in the race and just one known front runner, if Amasova 7/1 is a single figure price I would look to lay it as it seems much better when raced over a shorter trip plus the horse is still a maiden after 14 races while the trainer is 0-12 in the last fortnight and its been 13 runners since the stable last toasted a winner, Thaki 5/2, Alcazan 13/2 and Kodi Gold 9/1 could run well here and battle to make the frame but my money will be riding on the aforementioned front running CHAMPAGNE SUPANOVA 3/1 and if it does get to the front it should prove a very hard nut to crack and it looks to have been found a very good opportunity to follow up its win last time out.

Lay bets must be single figure odds at sp

Champagne Supanova 4/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt 

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