4:40 Lingfield Racing Tips (20th August)

LINGFIELD 4.40 

Only 6 runners with one known front running type, I will look to lay Porfin 7/2 who can find the distance too far with a fast early pace which will most likely happen here and looks better on the Tapeta surface, Firenze Rosa who likes to track the leaders is my 3rd top rated while the top weight Twilight Secret starts off as my top rated and I think it will be a short priced favourite but I will take a punt with backing CHAMPAGNE SUPANOVA 5/1 who is the one I think will set the pace to the race and when I take of the apprentices 5lb claim it takes the top spot on my figures so I'm hoping it can lead all the way and the apprentice jockey hasn't ridden for the stable on the AW tracks before but on turf is two wins from two rides so it will be carrying my money. 

Champagne Supanova 13/2 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Porfin -5.5pts 

Total -6pts

SANDOWN 5.35 

I can only see one front running type in this race so if Glamorous Breeze 14/1 is allowed an uncontested lead it might do enough to make the frame or maybe even better so cannot be dismissed as the possible winner, I will look to lay Impeach 9/2 who might need a longer distance before it shows its best form and it was a slow time when it finished 2nd and might have been flattered by that run and therefore represents poor value in this race, Chipstead likes to track the leaders and could be an each way possibility in this race, Four Adaay 6/1 is my top rated using just 2022 ratings and usually runs in midfield before staying on nearing the finish, BEYOND EQUAL 12/1 would need to improve on what its shown so far this year but has a rating from Newmarket in 2021 which would see it track the early pace and then stay on the stronger nearing the finish and the jockeys record is 1-3 for the stable and at the price as a type of insurance I am able to back it each way.

Beyond Equal 16/1 4th -2pts 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -8pts

12:40 Lingfield Racing Tips (31st December)

LINGFIELD 12.40 

A nice looking class 3 race with 8 runners and 3 that like to lead, Outrage 9/1 may prefer further, Vandad 11/1 and Lucky Ava 3/1 might be outclassed and I will look to lay all 3 of them if they are of value to lay , the top weight Top Breeze could go well but may not be ideally drawn in stall 8 for a front runner and might get carried wide on the bend, my money will be riding on LIHOU 7/2 who is another front runner and from stall 5 it should be able to get either a good position or lead and it then should prove hard to catch.

Lihou 7/2 6th -1pt

Lay bet Lucky Ava +1pt

Total 0pts 

LINGFIELD 2.55 Div I

Not the best sprint even for a class 6 race but with 2 known front runners it should be a true run race with Winnetka and Julie Johnston battling for control of the early pace, I will look to lay Hector Loza 9/2 who has recorded slow times on this surface at both Chelmsford and Kempton and I think its a better horse over a shorter distance plus the jockeys record is 1-42 which doesn't indicate it will be expected to win win this race, Come On Girl and The Cola Kid are my joint 3rd top rated so either could make the frame if they repeat their best so might be worth an each way punt if they are a double figure price but they might be battling for just the one place so it makes more sense to leave them alone, both of the 2 horses I will be backing in this race like to track the leaders, my top rated horse CAMACHESS 9/2 would normally be my sole bet in this race as it is my top rated and it recorded that rating here this year but its been 57 days since this stable last had a winner admittedly they have only sent out 6 horses in those 57 days so i might also back my 2nd top rated horse Nubough 9/2 more as a covering bet as its been 18 runners and 128 days since this stable last tasted success, so any stakes will be kept low. 

Camachess 8/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Hector Loza +1pt 

Total 0pts

LINGFIELD 3.25 Div II 

This looks the weaker of the two divisions with five 3yo’s in the race and just one known front runner, if Amasova 7/1 is a single figure price I would look to lay it as it seems much better when raced over a shorter trip plus the horse is still a maiden after 14 races while the trainer is 0-12 in the last fortnight and its been 13 runners since the stable last toasted a winner, Thaki 5/2, Alcazan 13/2 and Kodi Gold 9/1 could run well here and battle to make the frame but my money will be riding on the aforementioned front running CHAMPAGNE SUPANOVA 3/1 and if it does get to the front it should prove a very hard nut to crack and it looks to have been found a very good opportunity to follow up its win last time out.

Lay bets must be single figure odds at sp

Champagne Supanova 4/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt 

5:25 Chelmsford Racing Tips & Lay Bets (22nd August)

CHELMSFORD 5.25

SEPAHI 8/1 has only a slow c/d time from 2019 to its name and its best time from Wolverhampton would still mean it would need to improve to win this race I would lay it at the price.

RASHEEQ 20/1 ran 2nd over this c/d but in a slow time and hasn't shown much so far this year and I expect it to be an outsider (it's up to you if you would lay it at such a big price).

KAPONO 10/1 hasn't any course form to work with and not shown much at all this year, its best time from Newcastle wouldn't even see it making the frame.

SWISS PRIDE 9/2 one of 2 known frontrunners in the race, its time here is relatively slow but a repeat of its best Lingfield time would see it in the mix.

BREAKFAST CLUB (3yo) 11/2 has only run twice winning once and 3rd in the other race both over 5 furlongs, it could be anything so has to be considered at least as a danger.

VILLIAN'S VOICE (3yo) 15/2 is making its handicap debut which always makes it a possible hidden danger, it has the fastest c/d time for this year so has to be feared.

ZENALDA (3yo) 18/1 hasn't any form at this distance and it may be a better a horse when tried over a longer distance.

BROUGHTON'S FLAME 14/1 will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish and could feasibly at least make the frame so maybe worth a small each-way punt at the price.

CHAMPAGNE SUPANOVA (3yo) 9/2 is the other possible pacesetter and its best c/d time from last year could see it leading all the way here and stall 3 should be ideal in the make-up of this race.

VICTORY ROSE 15/2 hasn't any course form and its best speed figure from Wolverhampton wouldn't be good enough to even make the frame.

ALBUM (3yo) 7/1 hasn't run on any All-Weather track before which can make it dangerous but I think it might need further for it to shine so I would lay it at the price.

PHOENIX STAR 12/1 can struggle to stay this distance if there's a fast early pace which I think there will be in this race.

CONCLUSION: There's a few to lay in this race (Sepahi, Rasheeq, Zenaida, and Album) there are also four horses that could be a danger to my selection and any of them could make each way bets, Swiss Pride Breakfast Club, Villains Voice, and Broughtons Flame but my money will be riding on the 3yo CHAMPAGNE SUPANOVA 9/2 who I am hoping can lead all the way.

Champagne Supanova 9/2 8th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Zenaida -33pts Betfair SP (53.18), Sepahi +1pt, Rasheeq +1pt, Album +1pt

Total: -31pts