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Friday, 22 July 2022

2:40 York Racing Tips (23rd July)

YORK 2.40 

Fifteen runners in this class 2 sprint with 2 known front running types and Hyperfocus is one of them and my 4th top rated so could do enough from the front to make the frame, I will look to lay Mondammej 9/1 who is a better horse over shorter distances another lay is Silver Samurai 5/1 who doesn't like good to firm ground but there is rain forecast so the ground might be ok for it, Music Society is my 3rd top rated but is taking on better horses here, Gabriel The Devil doesn't seem as good as it once was but could go well here if able to repeat its best rating from 2021, my money will be riding on LUCKY MAN 9/1 (EW) who will either race in midfield or be held up and then finish with a flourish as the finish approaches, its best rating was recorded over today's course and distance, has a nice looking jockey booking so could be a nice each way bet. 

Lucky Man 14/1 2nd +2.5pts 

Lay bet Silver Samurai +1pt

Total +3.5pts

NEWMARKET 3.42 

A nice field of 8 for this class 3 race, I can see a couple of horses, Alligator Alley and Society Lion, who look likely lays,the former has never won at today's distance and hasn't been in good form recently and the latter may be better when racing over further, Pure Dreamer and Oso Rapido are my joint 3rd top rated just 2lbs behind Chipstead who sits in 2nd top spot, the top rated SMEATON'S LIGHT 8/1 (EW)is also the only known front running type in this race so I'm hoping it can lead from start to finish to win this race and if all 8 take part I will back it each way. 

Smeaton's Light 8/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bet Alligator Alley +1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 3.57 

A poor class 4 race with just 5 runners, I can see reasons why not to back all of them as 2 of them might prefer a longer distance 2 others have not been in good form lately which leaves me with MISS NAY NEVER 4/1 who has been known to lead so if leading here could lead all the way but its rating only just registered on my figures so the race wont take much winning and my stakes will be keep low. 

Miss Nay Never 4/1 1st +4pts 

Total +4pts

ASCOT 5.20 

In this class 2 race there is 3 known front running types in this field of 10 and two of them Lynns Boy and King Of Stars are in my top 4 ratings, in 4th and 3rd top spots, I cannot see anything of value to put forward as a lay, Live In The Moment comes out in 2nd top position so could make the frame, I've got JAWWAAL 8/1 (EW) as my top rated using a time recorded last year at Haydock and a repeat of that rating would win this race nicely but this is a much tougher course so as a bit of insurance I will look to back it each way to a small stake. 

Jawwaal 16/1 7th -2pts

Total -2pts

SALISBURY 6.30 

My 4th top rated horse The Deriant looks the likely pacesetter and could do enough to make the frame, the bottom 3 have very little to recommend them but will be biggish prices, Haseef and Minhaaj may prefer a longer trip, Hattie C and Q Twenty Boy are my 3rd and 2nd top rated so could be each way bets in this race but I will be backing WE’RE REUNITED 15/2 who usually tracks the leaders before staying on strongly at the finish and the booked jockey has a 23% winning ratio for the stable. 

We're Reunited 15/2 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

SALISBURY 7.30 

Just 7 runners with 2 front running types Michael's Choice and Secret Handsheikh who are my 3rd and 2nd top rated horses, the bottom 3 in the handicap have shown very little worthwhile form recently and might be worth laying one, two or all three of them, Delegate This Lord hasn't shown much time wise lately so I will be backing STRIKE 11/2 who recorded its best rating over this course and distance and a repeat would see it winning quite smartly.

Strike 11/2 3rd -1pt

Lay bets Michael's Choice -3.5pts, Secret Handsheikh +1pt 

Total -3.5pts

Total on the day 0pts

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