2:40 York Racing Tips (23rd July)

YORK 2.40 

Fifteen runners in this class 2 sprint with 2 known front running types and Hyperfocus is one of them and my 4th top rated so could do enough from the front to make the frame, I will look to lay Mondammej 9/1 who is a better horse over shorter distances another lay is Silver Samurai 5/1 who doesn't like good to firm ground but there is rain forecast so the ground might be ok for it, Music Society is my 3rd top rated but is taking on better horses here, Gabriel The Devil doesn't seem as good as it once was but could go well here if able to repeat its best rating from 2021, my money will be riding on LUCKY MAN 9/1 (EW) who will either race in midfield or be held up and then finish with a flourish as the finish approaches, its best rating was recorded over today's course and distance, has a nice looking jockey booking so could be a nice each way bet. 

Lucky Man 14/1 2nd +2.5pts 

Lay bet Silver Samurai +1pt

Total +3.5pts

NEWMARKET 3.42 

A nice field of 8 for this class 3 race, I can see a couple of horses, Alligator Alley and Society Lion, who look likely lays,the former has never won at today's distance and hasn't been in good form recently and the latter may be better when racing over further, Pure Dreamer and Oso Rapido are my joint 3rd top rated just 2lbs behind Chipstead who sits in 2nd top spot, the top rated SMEATON'S LIGHT 8/1 (EW)is also the only known front running type in this race so I'm hoping it can lead from start to finish to win this race and if all 8 take part I will back it each way. 

Smeaton's Light 8/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bet Alligator Alley +1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 3.57 

A poor class 4 race with just 5 runners, I can see reasons why not to back all of them as 2 of them might prefer a longer distance 2 others have not been in good form lately which leaves me with MISS NAY NEVER 4/1 who has been known to lead so if leading here could lead all the way but its rating only just registered on my figures so the race wont take much winning and my stakes will be keep low. 

Miss Nay Never 4/1 1st +4pts 

Total +4pts

ASCOT 5.20 

In this class 2 race there is 3 known front running types in this field of 10 and two of them Lynns Boy and King Of Stars are in my top 4 ratings, in 4th and 3rd top spots, I cannot see anything of value to put forward as a lay, Live In The Moment comes out in 2nd top position so could make the frame, I've got JAWWAAL 8/1 (EW) as my top rated using a time recorded last year at Haydock and a repeat of that rating would win this race nicely but this is a much tougher course so as a bit of insurance I will look to back it each way to a small stake. 

Jawwaal 16/1 7th -2pts

Total -2pts

SALISBURY 6.30 

My 4th top rated horse The Deriant looks the likely pacesetter and could do enough to make the frame, the bottom 3 have very little to recommend them but will be biggish prices, Haseef and Minhaaj may prefer a longer trip, Hattie C and Q Twenty Boy are my 3rd and 2nd top rated so could be each way bets in this race but I will be backing WE’RE REUNITED 15/2 who usually tracks the leaders before staying on strongly at the finish and the booked jockey has a 23% winning ratio for the stable. 

We're Reunited 15/2 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

SALISBURY 7.30 

Just 7 runners with 2 front running types Michael's Choice and Secret Handsheikh who are my 3rd and 2nd top rated horses, the bottom 3 in the handicap have shown very little worthwhile form recently and might be worth laying one, two or all three of them, Delegate This Lord hasn't shown much time wise lately so I will be backing STRIKE 11/2 who recorded its best rating over this course and distance and a repeat would see it winning quite smartly.

Strike 11/2 3rd -1pt

Lay bets Michael's Choice -3.5pts, Secret Handsheikh +1pt 

Total -3.5pts

Total on the day 0pts

3:20 Leicester Racing Tips (23rd April)

There are two sprints today at Ripon 4.00 and Haydock 1.30 where the going is given as good and good to soft in places which isn't what's needed for my ratings to work, IF, and it is a big if, the going does dry out then I might have a small each way punt on Macho Pride 10/1 in the Haydock race as it could possibly lead all the way as its the only known front running type in the race but there is a few lightly raced sorts who might turn out to be front runners in the future but I will be hoping it doesn't happen here if I am able to have a bet and Bedford Flyer could be the answer to the Ripon race as there is 4 known front running types in this race and that might set it up for something coming from off the pace, I will concentrate on the sprint where I am predicted to have good and good to firm in places ground at Leicester.

LEICESTER 3.20 

CITY WALK 11/2 has good jockey stats but its not the happiest hunting ground for the trainer who is 1-10 at the course, it hasn't won over this distance so I'm not 100% sure it will stay the distance if there's a decent early gallop . 

DAZZLING DAN has a decent time from back in 2020 and hasn't been in the same level of form since that year, it may need this run for fitness and a lay if a single figure price, the trainer has a decent win ratio at this course but the jockey is 0-8 for the stable. 

JACK'S POINT has 1 win from 26 runs on turf which doesn't bode well it may also be better when racing over a longer distance and the jockey has only a mediocre 8% win ratio for the stable and one I will look to lay. 

DANCINGINTHEWOODS its been 57 runners and 166 days since the stable last had a winner, the trainer is 1-14 at this course and would need to improve time wise to be winning this race so everything points to this one being worth taking on with a lay bet. 

AL SIMMO a possible pacesetter but its been 26 runners and 246 days since the stables last winner plus the trainer is 0-16 at this course and will need to improve on the clock to win here so maybe another to lay. 

CRAZY LUCK this horse might not want the ground to be really fast and that's reflected in its speed figures, the jockey has a poorish 6% win ratio for the stable and the stable is 0-16 for the last 2 weeks and 28 runners over the last 52 days since its last winner.

LETMELIVEMYLIFE this one hasn't been in the best of form in its last few runs and may be better racing over a longer distance so one to lay if a single figure price nearing the off.

SMEATON'S LIGHT this one seems to need good to firm going to show its best form and being a front runner it could prove dangerous if getting to the front, it does have good trainer/jockey stats and has to have some degree of a chance of winning this race. 

CASTANA DIA 14/1 this one will be trying to stay on strongly nearing the finish and its best rating recorded at Yarmouth last year would make it my top rated but all of its best form has come on flat courses and it might not be as good on this undulating surface but has won twice and placed four times in its 8 runs on turf so could go well and has good trainer/jockey stats. 

SUMMARY: I can see a few that could be possible lays in this race as time wise I've got three horses that are a good few spots above the rest of the field, City Walk and Castana Dia could go well but the former has poor trainer stats while the latter may prefer a flatter course, so my money will be riding on SMEATON'S LIGHT 14/1 (EW) who has won before when coming back from a break, it has good trainer/jockey stats with its older horses and if its the double figure price predicted on the tissue prices I will be going with an each way wager.

Smeaton's Light 14/1 2nd +1.8pts 

Lay bet Dazzling Dan +1pt, Jack's Point +1pt, Letmelivemylife +1pt 

Total on the day +4.8pts

2:50 Windsor Racing Tips (4th April)

WINDSOR 2.50 

BERNADO O’REILLY won last time out on the AW, it only comes out 5th top on its turf form from last year and can be held up or tracks the leaders but might be one to lay as it will be a shorter price because of the win. 

RECON MISSION hasn't produced a speed figure of note since 2020 a possible pacesetter or at least race prominently but i suspect an outsider in the betting. 

ZIM BABY races in midfield or is held up but needs to improve time wise to win this race it has poorish trainer stats at this course but might be shorter because of the jockey booking so maybe worth laying if a single figure price.

INDIAN CREAK races in midfield and its best time from Goodwood leaves it short of winning this race but i suspect it will be a double figure price. 

LITTLE BOY BLUE is usually held up for a late run but maybe not quickly enough to catch the leaders but I expect too big a price to lay.

DANCINGINTHEWOODS can track the leaders or be held up and can be relied upon to reproduce its best but that wont be enough to win here and i expect a double figure price.

MARLAY PARK may really need a longer distance to show its best and could be dangerous if able to track the leaders but might be outpaced in the early stages but another double figure priced horse.

YIMOU is my 3rd top rated horse it can be held up or track the leaders and could stay on well enough at the finish to make the frame so maybe worth an each way interest. 

CRAZY LUCK this one might not want the going to be too fast but will be trying to stay on from the rear or midfield nearing the finish but maybe too late for the win but not of value to lay. 

MANY A STAR is out top rated on my figures and has been running in better class races, has good trainer/jockey stats and usually tracks the leaders before staying on strongly at the finish.

SMEATON'S LIGHT is my 2nd top rated and has good trainer/jockey stats and could be the one to set the pace and has won before after a break so could be dangerous if leading.

INVER PARK 9/2 can be held up or track the leaders but time wise it needs to improve a good few spots but finds the trip too far on good to firm ground and prefers some cut in the ground.

THE CRUISING LORD hasn't been in good form in its latest runs and may not stay the distance with a fast early pace so will be held up but one to lay if of value to lay. 

MISTER BLUEBIRD is another that may struggle to stay the distance so will need to be held up for a late run it is my 4th top rated but i expect it will be a double figure price and no value to lay.

COCO BEAR can be held up or track the leaders but seems better when there's some cut in the ground and one to lay if a single figure price. 

SUMMARY: There is a few I will be looking to lay if they are value to lay but the betting will be the deciding factor for some of them but looking at the tissue prices, Bernado O’Reilly 4/1 and Zim Baby 7/1, could be short enough to lay I cannot see why Inver Park 9/2 is so short the tissue prices had it at 12/1 if there is some cut in the ground then it could well be the winner but if good or better it may struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace but as normal if there is any cut in the going then I wont be betting in this race, as for the winner I will be having two bets firstly on *SMEATON'S LIGHT 16/1 who could set the pace to the race and if repeating its best rating from 2021 which was recorded over this c/d it could lead all the way and has to be given as an each way wager, i do have MANY A STAR 8/1 rated higher using a Yarmouth speed figure from 2021 but both ratings were recorded on good to firm going but with both having good trainer/jockey stats it makes me think both stables think their horse will run well here and both might be worth doing as each way bets but any bets or lays will be at low stakes.

*NR 

Many A Star 8/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Zim Baby -3.3pts, Bernado O'Reily +1pt

Total on the day -3.3pts

1:40 Chepstow Racing Tips (19th August)

CHEPSTOW 1.40 

Not a bad looking class 6 race but there isn't any known front running types amongst them and in this race I am hoping the early pace isn't a frantic one, Our Man In Havana has good jockey stats and comes out 4th best on my figures, in 3rd top spot I've got Knockabout Queen who has average trainer/jockey stats and could make the frame, I've got joint top rated horses in WIFF WAFF 6/1 and I'M WATCHING YOU 25/1 the former is held up for a late run while the latter usually runs in midfield or tracks the leaders and I will be backing the both of them with the latter being worth an each way interest at the price. 

I'm Watching You 25/1 5th -2pts 

Wiff Waff 7/1 Unp -1pt 

Total -3pts 

CHEPSTOW 2.15 

This is a tricky looking race where I have got 5 horses that all look to have some chance of winning this race, Oh So Nice is one of the 2 known front running types in the race but only comes out 5th of them, Toptime the other possible pacesetter comes out 4th of the five with winning chances so they may set the race up for something coming from off the pace, Alba Del Sole is 3rd top rated using a 2020 time recorded at Ripon but hasn't been in as good a form so far this year, Katherine Place is my 2nd top rated and once again its using a 2020 time this time from Lingfield my top rated horse AQUADABRA 25/1 is top rated using just 2021 times and has an even faster time from 2020 that also makes it my top rated on overall speed figures and I'm hoping this one will be an each way price as a bit of insurance. 

Aquadabra 25/1 6th -2pts

Total -2pts 

WINDSOR 5.25 

I expect that Fernando Rah will set the pace to this race but time wise it only comes out in 5th top spot so may struggle to lead all the way, the bottom weight Lady Celia is capable of running a fast time but usually in lower class races than this one but could still go well, the 3yo Koolmoe Dee comes out 2nd best but that is using a time recorded at Bath in 2020 and this years best has been way below that standard, my top rated on 2021 times is HURAIZ 7/1 who recorded it over this course and distance but will have to bounce back to form from what its achieved in its recent runs and i am hoping it will be an each way price as a bit of insurance. 

Huraiz 11/2 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt

WINDSOR 5.55 

An 11 runner race with 2 known front runners, Tanfantic is one of them but would need to improve timewise to stay there till the end as its only 5th joint top rated on my figures the other frontrunner is SMEATONS LIGHT 13/2 who is my joint top rated on just 2021 times and 2nd joint top on overall times so it could be hard to catch and has decent trainer/jockey stats, TEMPLE BRUER 10/1 is the other joint 2nd top rated on overall figures and this one has even better trainer/jockey stats so it looks like both sets of connections are expecting big runs in this race but i do have EQUITATION 5/1 with a higher rating but this ones best time does come from 2020 in its defense though it hasn't any form on good or good to firm going recently so if fully fit it could win, so i will be dutching the 3 of them.

Smeaton's Light  13/2 3rd -1pt

Temple Bruer 10/1 7th -1pt 

Equitation 10/1 9th -1pt 

Total on the day -9pts