4:55 Brighton Racing Tips (2nd May)

BRIGHTON 4.55 

A field of 11 for this class 6 sprint where I expect the early pace might be set by Liberty Bay 20/1 but this one hasn't produced much time wise since 2021 but might be worth a small each way punt as it could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead as its best rating from 2021 would make it my 2nd top rated horse. Madrinho 6/1 hasn't won a race since 2021 and might be worth laying if its a single figure price, McQueen 4/1 might need a longer trip to show its best work as might Rainbow Sign 7/1 but I doubt they will be a single figure price (which goes to show how much I know about predicting the betting). No Speed Limit 5/1 and Autumn Flight 6/1 on the other hand might prefer a shorter distance to shine so I could look to lay these if they are of value to do so. Hagla Sophia 4/1 usually races in midfield before staying on at the finish and could make the frame but I doubt it will be an each way price and if fully fit on its first run for quite a while, I will take a punt in this race on MINHAAJ 10/1 (EW) who usually stays on strongly over this distance and might be worth a small each way punt. 

Minhaaj 10/1 4th -2pts 

Lay bets Autumn Flight -6pts, Madrinho +1pt, No Speed Limit +1pt

Total -6pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.40 

Another field of 11 for this class 6 dash this time I can see 2 horses that have been known to lead before, Next Second could possibly lead if nothing else wants to and if allowed an easy lead then could be a danger but I think the early pace will be set by Rockley Point 7/4 who comes in 4th on my ratings and could do enough to make the frame and to me looks poor value to back but I also couldn't lay it in case its allowed an easy lead and leads all the way. Pandemic Princess 11/1 and Bankrupt 5/1 both usually run on at the finish over this distance but both would need to improve time wise to win this race. Red Allure has a good time to its name from Newcastle but its not done anything worthwhile time wise at this course since 2021, Iconicdaay also has a good rating but has never won over this distance and hasn't been in good from recently. My money will be riding on WE’RE REUNITED 10/3 who will be staying on strongly at the finish, it indicated a return to form when finishing 3rd last time out and if getting some luck in running when making a challenge it could get back to winning ways here but I will admit I was expecting it to be about double the price on offer. 

We're Reunited 5/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.10 

One extra runner here to make it 12 runners for this class 6 sprint where the early pace looks most likely to be set by Another Angel 4/1 who happens to be my 4th top rated and with an easy lead could at least make the frame but I doubt it will be an each way price. If Jumira Bridge 15/2, Hard Solution 18/1 and Fair And Square 5/1 are single figure prices I would look to lay them all as they seem better prospects over shorter distance races. Catesby 15/2 comes out 3rd top on my figures and usually races in midfield before trying to stay on at the finish, BUNGLE BAY 11/2 is my 2nd top rated using a course and distance time it recorded last year and the switch back to turf could see this one bounce back to form and the same can be said for YAAHOBBY 14/1 (EW) who also recorded its best time over this course and distance last year and i will be backing them both, with a win bet on the former and an each way wager on the latter, hoping at least one of them can reproduce its previous best.

Yaahobby 14/1 3rd +2.8pts

Bungle Bay 13/2 4th -1pt 

Total +1.8pts 

Total on the day -5.2pts

7:30 Kempton Racing Tips (5th October)

KEMPTON 7.30 

Quite a complex class 2 conditions race where there is 2 known front running types and another that has been known to lead when nothing else wants to, I'm not sure if there will be anything of value to lay but the betting will be the deciding factor on that issue, Mutafawwig 4/1 hasn't run over this distance on the AW tracks so this distance might be a bit too short for it and may also need this run for fitness and I will look to lay it if of value to do so but be warned the trainer does quite well at this course with a 19% win ratio here with their older horses, but that still means 4 out of 5 runners get beaten, First Folio has a rating from on turf that would make it my top rated but this is its first venture on an artificial surface so maybe a watching brief for future races, Ayr Harbour has a rating over this course and distance that wouldn't be good enough to win this race but its best rating from Lingfield would make it my top rated on any AW surface but I'm not sure its good enough to win at this level, the only 3yo in the race WILLEM TWEE 6/1 is on an upward curve and merits this step up in class and its last run which was on good to soft ground can be ignored, it usually races in midfield or track the leaders and from the favoured stall 1 draw it should be able to get a good early position from which to attack from nearing the finish. 

Willem Twee 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Mutafawwig -3.5pts 

Total -4.5pts

KEMPTON 8.30 

This race is quite poor even for a class 6 affair where only 4 of the 12 runners have ran well enough to have a recorded speed figure rating, if Rainbow Sign 15/2 is a single figure price near the off I will be looking to lay it as it might need further to show its best form and the same applies to Fact Or Fable 15/2 neither have good trainer/jockey stats but the former is 0-42 at this course. My 4th top rated is Magicinthemaking who will be trying to stay on nearing the finish but I suspect too late for the win but could possibly make the frame, Manettino has a decent rating on the Tapeta surface but slow times from 2 runs on this surface and another that I might look to lay but being a 3yo it would be a small lay if any, Twentysharesofgrey is my 2nd top rated using a Lingfield rating but hasn't run over today's course and distance before so not sure what to expect but it will need to improve for the switch to this surface to beat WE’RE REUNITED 16/1 (EW)  if this one runs to its best, its the only one in the field that has been known to run from the front so despite being in stall 10 it could still get to the front or at least dispute it in the early stages and if getting to the front could prove hard to catch and at such a big price it has to be an each way punt.

We're Reunited 33/1 Unp -2pts

Lay bets Manettino +1pt, Fact Or Fable +1pt, Rainbow Sign +1pt 

Total +1pt 

Total on the day -3.5pts 

2:40 York Racing Tips (23rd July)

YORK 2.40 

Fifteen runners in this class 2 sprint with 2 known front running types and Hyperfocus is one of them and my 4th top rated so could do enough from the front to make the frame, I will look to lay Mondammej 9/1 who is a better horse over shorter distances another lay is Silver Samurai 5/1 who doesn't like good to firm ground but there is rain forecast so the ground might be ok for it, Music Society is my 3rd top rated but is taking on better horses here, Gabriel The Devil doesn't seem as good as it once was but could go well here if able to repeat its best rating from 2021, my money will be riding on LUCKY MAN 9/1 (EW) who will either race in midfield or be held up and then finish with a flourish as the finish approaches, its best rating was recorded over today's course and distance, has a nice looking jockey booking so could be a nice each way bet. 

Lucky Man 14/1 2nd +2.5pts 

Lay bet Silver Samurai +1pt

Total +3.5pts

NEWMARKET 3.42 

A nice field of 8 for this class 3 race, I can see a couple of horses, Alligator Alley and Society Lion, who look likely lays,the former has never won at today's distance and hasn't been in good form recently and the latter may be better when racing over further, Pure Dreamer and Oso Rapido are my joint 3rd top rated just 2lbs behind Chipstead who sits in 2nd top spot, the top rated SMEATON'S LIGHT 8/1 (EW)is also the only known front running type in this race so I'm hoping it can lead from start to finish to win this race and if all 8 take part I will back it each way. 

Smeaton's Light 8/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bet Alligator Alley +1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 3.57 

A poor class 4 race with just 5 runners, I can see reasons why not to back all of them as 2 of them might prefer a longer distance 2 others have not been in good form lately which leaves me with MISS NAY NEVER 4/1 who has been known to lead so if leading here could lead all the way but its rating only just registered on my figures so the race wont take much winning and my stakes will be keep low. 

Miss Nay Never 4/1 1st +4pts 

Total +4pts

ASCOT 5.20 

In this class 2 race there is 3 known front running types in this field of 10 and two of them Lynns Boy and King Of Stars are in my top 4 ratings, in 4th and 3rd top spots, I cannot see anything of value to put forward as a lay, Live In The Moment comes out in 2nd top position so could make the frame, I've got JAWWAAL 8/1 (EW) as my top rated using a time recorded last year at Haydock and a repeat of that rating would win this race nicely but this is a much tougher course so as a bit of insurance I will look to back it each way to a small stake. 

Jawwaal 16/1 7th -2pts

Total -2pts

SALISBURY 6.30 

My 4th top rated horse The Deriant looks the likely pacesetter and could do enough to make the frame, the bottom 3 have very little to recommend them but will be biggish prices, Haseef and Minhaaj may prefer a longer trip, Hattie C and Q Twenty Boy are my 3rd and 2nd top rated so could be each way bets in this race but I will be backing WE’RE REUNITED 15/2 who usually tracks the leaders before staying on strongly at the finish and the booked jockey has a 23% winning ratio for the stable. 

We're Reunited 15/2 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

SALISBURY 7.30 

Just 7 runners with 2 front running types Michael's Choice and Secret Handsheikh who are my 3rd and 2nd top rated horses, the bottom 3 in the handicap have shown very little worthwhile form recently and might be worth laying one, two or all three of them, Delegate This Lord hasn't shown much time wise lately so I will be backing STRIKE 11/2 who recorded its best rating over this course and distance and a repeat would see it winning quite smartly.

Strike 11/2 3rd -1pt

Lay bets Michael's Choice -3.5pts, Secret Handsheikh +1pt 

Total -3.5pts

Total on the day 0pts

4:00 Thirsk Racing Tips (29th June)

THIRSK 4.00 

The early pace to this race could well be set by Rathbone 6/1 and it could do enough to make the frame if it can reproduce its best speed figure/rating it recorded in 2021, as for something to lay I will be relying on Pendleton 4/1 and this will probably be my main way of making a profit from this race as it doesn't seem to reproduce its best on good to firm ground, Total Commitment and Cairn Gorn could both go well and could possibly make the frame but as for the winner I will have my money riding on the 3yo MOJOMAKER 6/1 who likes to track the leaders and if reproducing the rating it recorded at Doncaster this year it would win this race a shade cosily but the stable hasn't been in good form recently which is a little off-putting so my stakes wont be at full strength. 

Mojomaker 6/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bets Pendleton +1pt

Total 0pts

MUSSELBURGH 4.20 

Only 6 runners but 2 of them are known front runners, I'm not sure if there's anything I could lay with any confidence, as for the winner Primos Comet 13/2 has a rating from 2021 that would make it my top rated but its best rating so far this year has been well below that level, Militia 11/4 is a possible pacesetter here and could go well if reproducing its best rating recorded at Catterick last year but I will be siding with MODULAR MAGIC 4/1 who is the other front running type and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and the jockey booking (go look in the Racing Post to see how good the stats really are) looks a positive booking so hopefully connections are expecting it to get back to winning ways. 

Modular Magic 4/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

BATH 5.20 

I can see 3 possible pacesetters in this race but think they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the front but Big Time Maybe 8/1 could do best of the trio and comes out 2nd best on my figures but isn't keen on really fast ground, I will look to lay But You Said 3/1 who hasn't had any form over this distance and may need further to show to show its best form and its still a maiden after 21 races with 13 of them being on grass, Darcy's Rock 8/1 hasn't shown much worthwhile form so far but as a 3yo it could improve and I would have laid it if under five to one, my money will be riding on WE’RE REUNITED 8/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and the jockey booking does look a positive one.

We're Reunited 10/1 1st +10pts

Lay bet: But You Said +1pt 

Total 11pts

Total on the day +10pts

3:10 Leicester Racing Tips (20th September)

LEICESTER 3.10 

Only a poor turnout of 7 runners for a class 3 handicap but it should be a true run affair, the good to firm ground maybe against First Edition 5/1 and might be worth laying that's if the rain stays away but that doesn't look likely according to the weather forecast, Celsius 8/1 comes out in 3rd top spot using a time recorded at Ascot and does run fairly constantly when given the right conditions - distance, going and class, Ginger Jam 7/2 is the one that comes out 2nd best on my figures using a time from Beverley last year but my top rated is FAUSTUS 11/4 who is one of two known front running types in this race and if it gets to the front it should prove hard to catch plus it has decent trainer stats and good jockey stats making me think its fancied by the stable. 

Faustus 11/4 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet: First Edition +1pt

Total 0pts

LEICESTER 3.45 

A tricky race to analyse with 7 of the 9 runners either being 3yo’s or lightly raced 4yo’s, I think Bailey's Afterparty 10/1 may need further to shine so might be worth laying if of any value to do so, Dodgy Bob 25/1 is one of two front running sorts in this race and comes out 3rd best on my speed figures but hasn't been in good form lately which is reflected in its price, my 2nd top rated is Amathus 4/1 who is quite versatile with its tactics apart from racing from the front but that is what I expect WE’RE REUNITED 7/2 will do in this race and if leading it could prove hard to catch but the trainers 0-9 in the last 2 weeks and its 40 days since the stables last winner which doesnt boost my confidence over its chances of winning but i will be having a small bet on it. 

We're Reunited 4/1 3rd -1pt 

Bailey's Afterparty +1pt

Total 0pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.30 

A 10 runner race over 5 furlongs with 4 front running types in the field, I will look to lay both Expert Opinion 10/1 who might not really like this surface and Kingsholme 10/3 who may struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace which I expect there to be in this race, if they are single figure prices, Kim Wexter 12/1 and Mutabaahy 12/1 could both go well and might be worth an each way interest at double figure prices, my idea of the winner and the value call is TANTASTIC 20/1 (EW) who will be trying to stay on strongly at the business end of the race, the trainer is 4-17 for the last 2 weeks so is in good form so I'm hoping this one adds to their tally but at the price it has to be an each way wager. 

Tantastic 20/1 9th -2pts 

Lay bets: Expert Opinion +1pt, Kingsholme +1pt

Total 0pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.30 

A 13 runner race where 5 of them have been known to lead before, the betting will be the deciding factor if there's any lays or not and it looks like not, of the front runners Freedom Flyer and Champagne Supernova could do best of those racing to the fore but I doubt they will hold on for the win as neither are in my top 4 ratings, Jackstar is my 4th top and Zamjar sits in 3rd top spot and could fill the minor places, Tomshalfbrother is top rated on just 2021 times but that time isn't good enough to make my top 5 but it has a time from 2020 that makes it 2nd top on overall figures so may be worth an each way interest but my money will be riding on ICONIC KNIGHT 11/2 who hasn't raced over this distance so far this year and this drop back in trip will suit it, its best time from 2020 makes it my top rated and the jockey booking looks a positive one so lets hope that's a good pointer and follows up its win last time out.

Iconic Knight 13/2 8th -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt

2:10 Brighton Racing Tips (13th Septmber)

BRIGHTON 2.10 

GREAT NEWS 3/1 this 3yo usually likes to track the leaders and races as though further would suit it better, time wise it comes out 5th top rated and this race might not be run to suit it.

MAMILLIUS 7/2 usually stays on at the business end of the race after tracking the pacesetters, time wise its 4th best on my figures.

RECALL THE SHOW 5/1 another that likes to track the early pace its best time was recorded over this course and distance which is good enough for 2nd top spot but the trainer is 0-6 in the last 2 weeks and its been 19 days since their last winner.

BATCHELOR BOY also recorded its best time over today's course and distance and it was a time good enough to take it to top spot and is usually held up for a late run. 

BOOM THE GROOM 4/1 could set the pace to the race and a few years ago it would probably have won this race but it hasn't show much time wise since 2019.

GILT EDGE 17/2 a hold up type and is my 3rd top rated so could be staying on a bit too late to get to the front in time for the win.

SUMMARY: On my figures if BATCHELOR BOY 4/1 reproduces its earlier course and distance time it would be winning this race a little bit cosily and will be carrying my money. 

BRIGHTON 5.30 

ATTY'S EDGE 10/3 is a hold up type but only comes out 4th best on my overall speed figures so may not get to the leaders quickly enough for the win.

WE’RE REUNITED is another who will be staying on at the finish and the trainer does like to have winners at this course with a 21% win ratio with their older horses.

SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD 10/3 hasn't made the frame in 7 runs on grass and it might have more of a chance when tried over a longer trip and i will lay it if a single figure price.

KING CRIMSON 7/2 is the one that i think will be the one to set the early pace to this race and as its my 3rd top rated it could go well from the front.

CAPPANANTY CON 4/1 likes to track the leaders if it can as I think its better over further especially on good to firm ground so another I might look to lay. 

ESSAKA has only poor recent form but it has a time from 2020 recorded at Bath that makes it my top rated and the jockey booking looks a positive so I'm hoping that's a good omen.

OCEAN WILDE 10/1 is a 3yo who has only slow times over this distance and races as though further might suit it better 

SUMMARY: I will look to lay some of these when I know exactly what the going is going to be and of course the betting helps my decisions whether they are value to lay or not, I will split my stakes in this race and back both ESSAKA 10/1 and WE’RE REUNITED 8/1 who both like to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the business end of the race and one is top rated on 2021 times and the other on my overall speed figures.