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Wednesday 28 September 2022

7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (29th September)


There's 5 horses in this class 6 sprint that have led before although Enduring only leads when allowed to set a slightly slower pace and Dark Design only leads when nothing else wants to so maybe both of these will struggle in this race, Legende D’art usually runs on at the finish but maybe too late in this race to catch the leaders, Bobby On The Beat is my 3rd top rated and is usually held up at the rear or in midfield, EPIC EXPRESS 7/2 is my top rated using a course and distance rating it recorded this year and is 2nd top rated overall, BOWLING RUSSIAN 20/1 (EW) who hasn't been in the best of form recently is a possible pacesetter and my 3rd top rated on 2021/22 ratings but has a rating from 2020 which would see it winning comfortably and if a double figure price as forecast I will have to go with an each way punt, I can't separate them and will be backing them both.

Epic Express 7/2 6th -1pt 
Bowling Russian 80/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -3pts 


A 5 furlong dash with 11 runners and 2 known front running types drawn in stalls 1 and 3 but I doubt either of them can lead all the way for the victory so the traders among you can benefit from that fact, Ellie Piper might prefer a longer distance and could be worth a lay if of value to do so, Nacho a hold up type is my 3rd top rated so could be an each way bet, JUMIRA BRIDGE 11/2 this ones best for this year isn't too far from being top rated but a reproduction of its best rating from 2021 would see it winning a shade cosily being my top rated on the Tapeta courses, I've got COLEY'S KOKO 9/1 who hasn't raced over this course and distance before marked down with a rating from turf that would see this one winning cosily so backing them both will be my way of dealing with this race. 

Jumira bridge 
Coley's Koko 
Lay bet Ellie Piper -1.875pts

Total -3.875pts


A tricky class 6 race due to the fact there's no known front running types amongst the 10 runners, Amalfi Gem is my 3rd top rated using a figure recorded at Wolverhampton and hasn't any form over today's distance on this surface to its name, Real Estate comes out 2nd best despite looking as though a longer distance would suit it better but GRIGGY 9/4 comes out 2nd top rated on just 2022 ratings but is in top spot when using its best rating from 2021 but its a race where i will keep my stakes to a minimum. 

Griggy 3/1 1st +3pts 

Total +3pts


This class 4 dash has 11 runners and 6 of them have been known to lead and my top 3 ratings are amongst those 6, Yimou would prefer a longer distance and might not be able to lead against some of the others in this race so might be worth laying along with *Obtain who also might prefer further and I'm not convinced this surface will suit it, my 3rd top rated is MISS NAY NEVER 13/2 who has the best of the draw being in stall 1, LUCKY AVA 10/1 is my 2nd top rated and housed in stall 6 while my top rated horse THE DEFIANT 10/1 is in stall 2 but i am not 100% sure if this one is up to winning in class 4 races but did only get beaten in a tight photo finish on turf at this level, it looks most likely this race will be run from the front and with only 3lbs between my top 3 ratings its too hard to separate them so dutching all 3 seems the best way to go in this race. 


Miss Nay Never 7/1 1st +7pts
The Defiant 11/1 2nd -1pt 
Lucky Ava 10/1 8th -1pt 

Total +5pts

Total on the day +1.125pts

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