7:00 Chemsford Racing Tips (8th November)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

A 5 furlong dash where 5 of the 12 runners have been known to lead before but it sure looks a race to me where they will be setting it up for something coming from off the pace. Of the possible pacesetters the 3yo *Thank The Lord 13/2 could do best and could make the frame if others falter, I don't think it can hold on for the win so it might be worth laying the win part only. *Kerkyre Island 6/1 races as though further would suit it better so this race could well be run to suit it but it would still need to improve a few spots to hold on for the win unless allowed an easy lead which I very much doubt so might be worth laying if of value to do so. Enchanted Night 9/1 is still a maiden after 19 runs but has been known to record a good rating and should be trying to stay on at the finish. Lesha 9/2 is my 2nd top rated but its been 74 runners and 267 days since the stable last had a winner but it could feasibly still make the frames I don't do my ratings and data for places just the wins. My money will be riding on *SHAMSHON 8/1 who has been running ok lately and made the frame 2 runs ago when finishing 2nd and has been found an opportunity to go one better here and it has decent trainer/jockey stats making me think connections are expecting a big run in this race. 

*NR 

No bets

CHELMSFORD 8.30 

Another dash but this time with 9 runners but once again 5 of them have been known to lead before but this time I think it might be won from the front as my top 2 ratings are both possible pacesetters that's as long as they don't go off too fast and then fade badly nearing the finish. I have a feeling that this distance is a bit too short for Zim Baby 7/1 to how its true worth and might be worth laying if a single figure price, Jack The Truth 14/1 is my 3rd top rated but could do best of those coming from off the pace but I'm not sure if I could back it to win this race and its recent form has been quite poor so maybe not even worth the risk of backing it each way. The Defiant is capable of producing a good rating and is my 2nd top rated but this is a class 4 race and this runner has never won at this level before and if of value to do so might even be worth laying the win part. My money will be riding on LUCKY AVA 10/1 (EW) who is a front running type so stall 2 should be ideal and the apprentices 7lb claim makes it my top rated it is a course and distance winner although the stable isn't in the best of form recently i think it looks the value call in the race especially if its an each way price.

Lucky Ava 10/1 4th -2pts 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -2pts

7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (29th September)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

There's 5 horses in this class 6 sprint that have led before although Enduring only leads when allowed to set a slightly slower pace and Dark Design only leads when nothing else wants to so maybe both of these will struggle in this race, Legende D’art usually runs on at the finish but maybe too late in this race to catch the leaders, Bobby On The Beat is my 3rd top rated and is usually held up at the rear or in midfield, EPIC EXPRESS 7/2 is my top rated using a course and distance rating it recorded this year and is 2nd top rated overall, BOWLING RUSSIAN 20/1 (EW) who hasn't been in the best of form recently is a possible pacesetter and my 3rd top rated on 2021/22 ratings but has a rating from 2020 which would see it winning comfortably and if a double figure price as forecast I will have to go with an each way punt, I can't separate them and will be backing them both.

Epic Express 7/2 6th -1pt 

Bowling Russian 80/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -3pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.15 

A 5 furlong dash with 11 runners and 2 known front running types drawn in stalls 1 and 3 but I doubt either of them can lead all the way for the victory so the traders among you can benefit from that fact, Ellie Piper might prefer a longer distance and could be worth a lay if of value to do so, Nacho a hold up type is my 3rd top rated so could be an each way bet, JUMIRA BRIDGE 11/2 this ones best for this year isn't too far from being top rated but a reproduction of its best rating from 2021 would see it winning a shade cosily being my top rated on the Tapeta courses, I've got COLEY'S KOKO 9/1 who hasn't raced over this course and distance before marked down with a rating from turf that would see this one winning cosily so backing them both will be my way of dealing with this race. 

Jumira bridge 

Coley's Koko 

Lay bet Ellie Piper -1.875pts

Total -3.875pts

CHELMSFORD 7.30

A tricky class 6 race due to the fact there's no known front running types amongst the 10 runners, Amalfi Gem is my 3rd top rated using a figure recorded at Wolverhampton and hasn't any form over today's distance on this surface to its name, Real Estate comes out 2nd best despite looking as though a longer distance would suit it better but GRIGGY 9/4 comes out 2nd top rated on just 2022 ratings but is in top spot when using its best rating from 2021 but its a race where i will keep my stakes to a minimum. 

Griggy 3/1 1st +3pts 

Total +3pts

CHELMSFORD 8.00 

This class 4 dash has 11 runners and 6 of them have been known to lead and my top 3 ratings are amongst those 6, Yimou would prefer a longer distance and might not be able to lead against some of the others in this race so might be worth laying along with *Obtain who also might prefer further and I'm not convinced this surface will suit it, my 3rd top rated is MISS NAY NEVER 13/2 who has the best of the draw being in stall 1, LUCKY AVA 10/1 is my 2nd top rated and housed in stall 6 while my top rated horse THE DEFIANT 10/1 is in stall 2 but i am not 100% sure if this one is up to winning in class 4 races but did only get beaten in a tight photo finish on turf at this level, it looks most likely this race will be run from the front and with only 3lbs between my top 3 ratings its too hard to separate them so dutching all 3 seems the best way to go in this race. 

*NR

Miss Nay Never 7/1 1st +7pts

The Defiant 11/1 2nd -1pt 

Lucky Ava 10/1 8th -1pt 

Total +5pts

Total on the day +1.125pts

2:05 Chelmsford Racing Tips (16th June)

CHELMSFORD 2.05 

Seven runners in a five furlong dash where four of the runners have been known to lead before and at the top of my ratings its very very close with my top three all having the same speed figure and all three liking to lead, I'm not sure I can find anything of value to lay in this race, You're Cool and Expert Opinion are two of my top rated trio but the other one LUCKY AVA 4/1 is going to be the one I back because it has been running in higher class races and this drop down in grade could be enough to see it resume winning ways. 

Lucky Ava 4/1 1st +4pts

Total +4pts

RIPON 4.00 

With no known front runners in this race it makes it hard to picture how the race might pan out, I would normally have put Nomadic Empire 8/1 up as a lay as this distance can be too far for it with a good early gallop and if of value I might still lay it because something will set the pace, Intrinsic Bond has poor trainer/jockey stats but comes out second top rated on my figures but EMPEROR SPIRIT 11/4 record a rating from Yarmouth last year which would blow this lot out of the water and it has won its only run of this year on the AW at Chelmsford in a fast time so hopefully can follow up that win here. 

Emperor Spirit 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Nomadic Empire +1pt 

Total 0pts

RIPON 4.40 

This class 6 race has 10 runners with 2 known front running types and as they are 2 of my top 3 ratings so lot of horses might not be able to get into the race, so nearly anything else of value could be worth laying, Gullane One could lead but it does prefer the going to be good to firm while here its only given as good ground so maybe not ideal for it, Absolute Dream is my 2nd top rated so should do best of those coming from off the pace but if the top weighted horse MORTY 10/1 repeats the rating it produced over this course and distance last year it would be able to lead all the way here. 

Morty 20/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

LINGFIELD 4.50 

Just six runners for this Amateur jockeys race and maybe I should leave the race alone, I will lay Kath's Toyboy 4/1 who has never won over this distance as it might need further to show its true form, the 3yo Tahani won last time out where it was allowed to dictate a relatively slow pace at Chelmsford so should like this track and if allowed to dictate again here could repeat its last run and complete the double but I don't think it will be allowed an easy lead and my money will be riding on BUNGLEDUPINBLUE 7/2 who likes to either race in midfield or track the leaders and then staying on the stronger at the finish and is also looking to follow up its win last time out and complete the double. 

Bungledupinblue 5/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Kath's Toyboy +1pt 

Total 0pts 

LINGFIELD 6.25 

A nine runner dash with three known front running types, I will look to lay Bernard Speirpoint 11/2 who has poor trainer/jockey stats, Ascot Jungle and King Crimson, who are my 3rd and 2nd top rated, could set the pace to this race but they might besetting to race up for IESHA 8/1 who usually likes to track the leaders before staying on strongly at the finish and the expected fast early pace here might play right into its hands but it doesn't have good trainer/jockey stats so my stake will be kept low.

Iesha 8/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Bernard Speirpoint +1pt 

Total 0pts

Total on the day +4pts

1:31 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (12th March)

WOLVERHAMPTON 1.31 

Four races to write about so just the essentials for each race, the betting will be the final decider but am hoping to lay Asadjumeirah 9/1 who might be outclassed at this class 2 level and Above 13/2 who has a good rating from 2020 but hasn't shown as much time wise since then and might need this run for fitness, it is quite a competitive handicap, Zarzyni could go well here but I will be backing the top weight EXALTED ANGEL 9/2 who has an the last twice in Listed races and is therefore dropped in class to run in this race and the trainer does well at this course and the jockey has a decent record when riding for the stable. 

Exalted Angel 13/2 8th -1pt 

Lay bets Asadjumeirah +1pt, Above +1pt 

Total +1pt

LINGFIELD 2.56 

I can see a couple, Eye Of The Water 4/1 and Glamorous Force 10/3 who I would look to lay the former because it might be the wrong going and the latter because it might be too far here where I think there will be a fast early pace to the race as my top 2 are both front running types and I am hoping that CREEK HARBOUR 7/1 who is drawn in stall 2 can lead and gain control of the rails and lead all the way for the win. 

Creek Harbour 15/2 7th -1pt 

Lay bets Eye Of The Water +1pt, Glamorous Force +1pt 

Total +1pt

KEMPTON 5.00 

I've tried very hard to make something from this race, maybe the bet should be The Defiant who won last time out and has been found a good chance to follow up here but the trainer is 0-14 at this course which is off-putting but the jockey is 2-9 for the stable, so conflicting positives and negatives, also if the price is as short as forecast, thirteen to eight, then it represents no value. 

KEMPTON 5.30 

A race where I will look to lay Airshow 11/2 who may need further to show its best form and this race might not be run to suit it with just the one known front running type in the shape of LUCKY AVA 7/2 who won last time out over this distance and on this surface but at Chelmsford and if capable of reproducing that rating at this course its been found a good opportunity to follow up in this race, the trainer has a 24% win ratio at this course and the jockey has an 18% win ratio for the stable so hopefully it all points to the horse winning again.

Lucky Ava 7/2 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Airshow +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day +2pts