7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (29th September)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

There's 5 horses in this class 6 sprint that have led before although Enduring only leads when allowed to set a slightly slower pace and Dark Design only leads when nothing else wants to so maybe both of these will struggle in this race, Legende D’art usually runs on at the finish but maybe too late in this race to catch the leaders, Bobby On The Beat is my 3rd top rated and is usually held up at the rear or in midfield, EPIC EXPRESS 7/2 is my top rated using a course and distance rating it recorded this year and is 2nd top rated overall, BOWLING RUSSIAN 20/1 (EW) who hasn't been in the best of form recently is a possible pacesetter and my 3rd top rated on 2021/22 ratings but has a rating from 2020 which would see it winning comfortably and if a double figure price as forecast I will have to go with an each way punt, I can't separate them and will be backing them both.

Epic Express 7/2 6th -1pt 

Bowling Russian 80/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -3pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.15 

A 5 furlong dash with 11 runners and 2 known front running types drawn in stalls 1 and 3 but I doubt either of them can lead all the way for the victory so the traders among you can benefit from that fact, Ellie Piper might prefer a longer distance and could be worth a lay if of value to do so, Nacho a hold up type is my 3rd top rated so could be an each way bet, JUMIRA BRIDGE 11/2 this ones best for this year isn't too far from being top rated but a reproduction of its best rating from 2021 would see it winning a shade cosily being my top rated on the Tapeta courses, I've got COLEY'S KOKO 9/1 who hasn't raced over this course and distance before marked down with a rating from turf that would see this one winning cosily so backing them both will be my way of dealing with this race. 

Jumira bridge 

Coley's Koko 

Lay bet Ellie Piper -1.875pts

Total -3.875pts

CHELMSFORD 7.30

A tricky class 6 race due to the fact there's no known front running types amongst the 10 runners, Amalfi Gem is my 3rd top rated using a figure recorded at Wolverhampton and hasn't any form over today's distance on this surface to its name, Real Estate comes out 2nd best despite looking as though a longer distance would suit it better but GRIGGY 9/4 comes out 2nd top rated on just 2022 ratings but is in top spot when using its best rating from 2021 but its a race where i will keep my stakes to a minimum. 

Griggy 3/1 1st +3pts 

Total +3pts

CHELMSFORD 8.00 

This class 4 dash has 11 runners and 6 of them have been known to lead and my top 3 ratings are amongst those 6, Yimou would prefer a longer distance and might not be able to lead against some of the others in this race so might be worth laying along with *Obtain who also might prefer further and I'm not convinced this surface will suit it, my 3rd top rated is MISS NAY NEVER 13/2 who has the best of the draw being in stall 1, LUCKY AVA 10/1 is my 2nd top rated and housed in stall 6 while my top rated horse THE DEFIANT 10/1 is in stall 2 but i am not 100% sure if this one is up to winning in class 4 races but did only get beaten in a tight photo finish on turf at this level, it looks most likely this race will be run from the front and with only 3lbs between my top 3 ratings its too hard to separate them so dutching all 3 seems the best way to go in this race. 

*NR

Miss Nay Never 7/1 1st +7pts

The Defiant 11/1 2nd -1pt 

Lucky Ava 10/1 8th -1pt 

Total +5pts

Total on the day +1.125pts

4:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (31st March)

LINGFIELD 4.45 

For a class 5 race this is a good quality competitive handicap, 3 of the 11 runners are known to lead so it should be a true run affair and of that trio Chanpagne Supanova 10/1 may do best of them but I don't think its quite up to winning at this level but could make the frame, the front running Portelet Bay (non-runner) has a good speed figure from Wolverhampton but I don't think this surface suits it but will be too big a price to be of value to lay, Knockout Blow is another that might be outclassed but I doubt it will be a single figure price but a lay if it is that short, Intervention 11/4 has been in good form on the Tapeta surface it hasn't run over this distance on this surface in England and its form on Polytrack in Ireland doesn't look good so I will be looking to lay it especially at such a short price, my money will be on LLKIAN 7/1 who’s trainer does well at this course and the apprentices 7lb claim makes it my top rated over this distance on the Polytrack surface. 

Likian 7/1 1st +7pts 

Lay bet Intervention +1pt 

Total +8pts

LINGFIELD 5.15 

This distance might be a bit too short for Aish and Blissful Song so I will look to lay them if they are a single figure price and also add Doc Sportello to the list as it seems a better horse on the Tapeta surface, Storm Melody and THE DEFIANT 5/2 are my joint 2nd top rated horses and with the latter being a front running type who has won its last 2 races and could complete the hat trick in this race and the one I think will set the pace to this race it could be very dangerous if allowed to lead and will be carrying some of my money but I will also be backing LOTHIAN 9/2 who usually stays on strongly over this distance so could get a fast pace to aim at which suits its style of running and with the 2 bets I will be covering both angles. 

The Defiant 3/1 1st +3pts 

Lothian 9/2 8th -1pt 

Total on the day +2pts

CHELMSFORD 7.15 

SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD a course and distance winner who has had just 1 run this year and usually tracks the leaders and then stays on strongly at the finish.

ATLYAH hasn't any form on this surface but there's nothing to say it wont like it but it might be a risk to back it so maybe worth a small lay bet. 

CUBAN BREEZE 3/1 a possible pacesetter but time wise it needs to improve to win this race and might be a shorter price than it merits after winning a slow run affair last time out so maybe one to lay. 

IMPEACH 7/1 has led before but over 6 furlongs so I'm not sure if its fast enough to lead over this distance but I think it needs further to show its best form so maybe worth laying if a single figure price at the off. 

SAAHEQ hasn't any recent course and distance form to its name it does have a good rating from Lingfield but may need this run for fitness. 

VANDAD stall 3 for this possible pacemaker, its needs to improve on its c/d ratings but its best Lingfield figure would put it in the mix. 

EXPERT OPINION 11/2 is out in stall 10 which isn't ideal for this front running type and would need to improve a few spots to win this race and maybe poor value due its 2nd place run last time out. 

DARK SIDE PRINCE 15/2 another that has been known to lead before and could gain control of the rails and could do enough to make the frame. 

LA ROCA DEL FUEGO the trainer does quite well at this course but might need a degree of luck from stall 7 with 3 front runners drawn around it. 

SHAMSHON may need a longer distance to show its true form and might get outpaced in this race and I think will be a double figure price. 

RED WALLS has been known to lead before but needs to improve time wise to actually win this race but will be an outsider in this race. 

SUMMARY: This looks the best sprint of the day and there's up to 7 of the 11 runners that have led before but that could play into the hands of something coming from off the pace, Vandad 25/1 could do best of the front runners but they might go off too fast and fade nearing the finish so my money will be riding on SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD 22/1 (EW) who is dropped in class to run in this race and has won twice and been placed twice from its four runs over this course and distance so could be a good each way wager in this race.

Sir Rodneyredblood 22/1 8th -2pts 

Lay bets Atiyah -6pts, Cuban Breeze +1pt, Impeach +1pt

Total -6pts

Total on the day +4pts

2:00 York Racing Tips & Lay Bets (6th September)

YORK 2.00 

A nice looking Listed race, the going is given as good but PLEASE check before betting, I would look to lay (Judicial 9/2 as it may struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace which i expect here) of the front runners I think Mum's Tipple 14/1 may do best and could do enough to make the frame, Major Jumbo and Galadriel are the other two that have been known to lead before, my 2nd top rated is Aristocratic Lady who can be held up at the back or run in the middle of the pack and could stay on for a place but my money will be riding on the 3yo STARMAN 4/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and the jockey has a 21% win ratio for this stable. 

Starman 4/1 1st (+4pts) Betfair (6.2pts)

Lay bets: Judicial +1pt

Total: +5pts

MUSSELBURGH 2.55

I think this race could be won from the front and it looks set to be a fast and furious affair, I will look to lay (Indian Pursuit 9/2 + Amazing Alba 7/2 + Gorgeous Gobolina 5/1) as all 3 might need further to show their best form, if I go back to 2018 Bashiba would have every chance of winning this race but seems to be on a downward spiral at the age of nine, Henley is another that would do well on 2018 times but again going downhill aged eight and I would lay this one if in a single figures price, the same applies again to Lydiate Lady aged eight, the 3yo Maybelline 25/1 could go well and maybe worth an each way punt but I'm not confident enough to put it forward as such, my money will be riding on THE DEFIANT 9/2 who is a front runner and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch.

The Defiant 9/2 Unp (-1pts)

Lay bets: Amazing Alba (Betfair -7.6pts), Indian Pursuit +1pt, Gorgeous Gobolina +1pt 

Total: -5.6pts

MUSSELBURGH 3.30

I was going to leave this race alone until something caught my eye, the one I will be having a small bet on doesn't want fast ground so good going should be ideal but it was the price that swayed me to take the risk so I will have a small each way wager on ECONOMIC CRISIS 22/1 (EW) although the jockeys 0-18 record for the stable is off-putting.

Economic Crisis 22/1 2nd (+4.5pts) 

Total: +4.5pts

Total +3.9pts