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Friday 16 December 2022

1:15 Lingfield Racing Tips (17th December)


A class 5 dash with 10 runners with half the field having been known to lead, I have eliminated 4 runners as having virtually no chance of winning but only Bethersden Boy looks likely to be of value to lay. Of the front running types Yimou 9/2 hasn't any form over this course and distance and would need to improve on its best Chelmsford rating to win this race but does have the best of the draw in stall 2, Corinthia Knight has been in poor form lately and The Defiant is my 4th top rated but stall 9 doesn't look good for it in the make-up of this race. PEPPER STREAK 8/1 my joint 2nd top rated has stall 5 so is a possible pacesetter and being a 3yo could still improve and if getting to the front could be hard to catch but its been over a 100 days since the stable last had a winner and the jockey is 0-15 when riding for the stable, MICK'S SPIRIT 6/1 is my other joint 2nd top rated and this one likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish, it has good trainer/jockey stats, LILKIAN 4/1 is only top rated when taking off the apprentice jockeys 7lb allowance and in this race stall 1 might not be ideal if the leaders come across and in front of it. I will back all 3 to varying degrees with Micks Spirit being my biggest bet, then Lilkian as my 2nd best bet and Pepper Streak as my smallest bet. 

Abandoned due to weather


A class 6 sprint with 12 runners and no natural front running type amongst them although both Dazzerling 8/1 and Pollinate have done so when nothing else wants to lead but I think this distance might be too far for the former so could be worth laying, both would need to improve time wise. Admirable Lad, Perfect Symphony and Tawanafoq are my 5th, 4th and 3rd top rated and there's only 3lbs between them, If Lothian can produce its best Chelmsford rating at this course it comes out in 2nd top spot but I will be relying on REAL ESTATE 7/1 (EW) who likes to track the leaders before staying on strongly nearing the finish so I'm hoping this one is an each way price. 

Abandoned due to weather


A class 6 sprint with a full house of 14 runners and a couple of front running types, I will look to lay Breezyandbright 10/1 if its a single figure price near the off, as it looks a better prospect over a shorter distance, Amazing Amaya 7/1 seems better on the Tapeta surface and might also be of value to lay, Elegant Ellen 9/2 is still a maiden after 15 runs and might have been flattered when 3rd in a slow run race so could be added to my list of lays. Company Minx is my 3rd top rated and has the best of the draw in stall 1 but has been held up for a run most often in its previous runs, Shamshon can struggle to stay this distance if there's a really fast early pace but still comes out in 2nd top spot on my ratings and this race could be run to suit it. Viewfromthestars is one of the known front running types but would need to improve a good few spots time wise but the other front running type is DELEGATE THE LADY 12/1 (EW) who is drawn widest of all but it might not be too much of a hindrance with very little other early paced types in this field, yes it hasn't been in good form lately but has been known to spring back to form without prior warning and if getting to the front here could be hard to catch and has to be an each way punt at a double figure price.

Abandoned due to weather

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