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Showing posts with label Delegate The Lady. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Delegate The Lady. Show all posts

Friday, 16 December 2022

1:15 Lingfield Racing Tips (17th December)

LINGFIELD 1.15 

A class 5 dash with 10 runners with half the field having been known to lead, I have eliminated 4 runners as having virtually no chance of winning but only Bethersden Boy looks likely to be of value to lay. Of the front running types Yimou 9/2 hasn't any form over this course and distance and would need to improve on its best Chelmsford rating to win this race but does have the best of the draw in stall 2, Corinthia Knight has been in poor form lately and The Defiant is my 4th top rated but stall 9 doesn't look good for it in the make-up of this race. PEPPER STREAK 8/1 my joint 2nd top rated has stall 5 so is a possible pacesetter and being a 3yo could still improve and if getting to the front could be hard to catch but its been over a 100 days since the stable last had a winner and the jockey is 0-15 when riding for the stable, MICK'S SPIRIT 6/1 is my other joint 2nd top rated and this one likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish, it has good trainer/jockey stats, LILKIAN 4/1 is only top rated when taking off the apprentice jockeys 7lb allowance and in this race stall 1 might not be ideal if the leaders come across and in front of it. I will back all 3 to varying degrees with Micks Spirit being my biggest bet, then Lilkian as my 2nd best bet and Pepper Streak as my smallest bet. 

Abandoned due to weather

LINGFIELD 1.50

A class 6 sprint with 12 runners and no natural front running type amongst them although both Dazzerling 8/1 and Pollinate have done so when nothing else wants to lead but I think this distance might be too far for the former so could be worth laying, both would need to improve time wise. Admirable Lad, Perfect Symphony and Tawanafoq are my 5th, 4th and 3rd top rated and there's only 3lbs between them, If Lothian can produce its best Chelmsford rating at this course it comes out in 2nd top spot but I will be relying on REAL ESTATE 7/1 (EW) who likes to track the leaders before staying on strongly nearing the finish so I'm hoping this one is an each way price. 

Abandoned due to weather

CHELMSFORD 3.15 

A class 6 sprint with a full house of 14 runners and a couple of front running types, I will look to lay Breezyandbright 10/1 if its a single figure price near the off, as it looks a better prospect over a shorter distance, Amazing Amaya 7/1 seems better on the Tapeta surface and might also be of value to lay, Elegant Ellen 9/2 is still a maiden after 15 runs and might have been flattered when 3rd in a slow run race so could be added to my list of lays. Company Minx is my 3rd top rated and has the best of the draw in stall 1 but has been held up for a run most often in its previous runs, Shamshon can struggle to stay this distance if there's a really fast early pace but still comes out in 2nd top spot on my ratings and this race could be run to suit it. Viewfromthestars is one of the known front running types but would need to improve a good few spots time wise but the other front running type is DELEGATE THE LADY 12/1 (EW) who is drawn widest of all but it might not be too much of a hindrance with very little other early paced types in this field, yes it hasn't been in good form lately but has been known to spring back to form without prior warning and if getting to the front here could be hard to catch and has to be an each way punt at a double figure price.

Abandoned due to weather

Monday, 2 August 2021

3:10 Chelmsford Racing Tips (3rd August)

CHELMSFORD 3.10 

My first thoughts is why is Alehandro 4/1 as I think it's better when racing over five furlongs but it is a 3yo so could improve but I'm hoping it's not in this race as I will be looking to lay it, the early pace might be set by Rockesbury and it could do enough to make the frame, I will be backing two in this race, firstly DELEGATE THE LADY 8/1 (EW) who is my top rated using just 2021 times over this course and distance, I admit MAID MILLIE 12/1(EW) hasn't shown much so far this year but has a time from 2020 that would make it my top rated so I'm covering the angles for both this year and overall figures and two each way bets could pay dividends 

Delegate The Lady 8/1 2nd +0.6pts
Maid Millie 12/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bet Alehandro +1pt

Total -0.4pts

FFOS LAS 3.35 

Only 5 runners and no known front running types amongst them, Seneca Chief 8/1 may struggle to stay the distance if there's a good fast early pace, Sweet Pursuit 5/2 hasn't been in form lately and looks poor value, Sarah's Verse 5/2 is my 3rd top rated while I have Gilt Edge 3/1 sitting in 2nd top spot while my money will be riding on STRONG POWER 15/2 who has a time from 2020 that would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

Strong Power 8/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 4.18 

A field of 9 taking part with a couple of known front runners which means it should be a true run race, that's if all the runners are triers, I will look to lay Raaeb 3/1 who firstly looks poor value and I think it will be better when racing over further, of the two front runners I think Lomu may do best being my 2nd top rated on just 2021 course and distance times but that figure is only good enough for 5th top on overall figures but then again it does have a fast time from Lingfield so could do enough to at least make the frame, my money will be riding on JACK THE TRUTH 11/1 who has good trainer/jockey stats and likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish.

Jack The Truth 12/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Raab -3pts 

Total -4pts 

Total on the day -5.4pts

Sunday, 18 April 2021

1:30 Pontefract Racing Tips (19th April)

PONTEFRACT 
1.30 

Not a great days racing for me, either small fields or very little data to work with makes it a day to keep stakes low:- Only 6 runners in this 1st race but luckily 2 of them have been known to lead before and i think that Caspian Prince may do best of the pair being my 2nd top rated, there isn't much between the other four runners in the race except for INDIAN SOUNDS 7/1 who usually lies to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely nearing the finish and is 3lbs higher in my ratings so should catch the leader very close to the finish. 

Indian Sounds 7/1 1PW 5th -1pt
Venturous 11/4 1PL +1pt

Total 0pts

WINDSOR 2.10 

There's four runners that have been known to lead in this race with just 6 runners and my top 3 ratings are all possible pacesetters, I have got Outrage and Kick On Kick On as my joint 2nd top rated but I have got Union Rose rated 5lbs higher on a rating from last year but its time from this year was quite a bit lower so I am not quite sure what to expect. 

PONTEFRACT 3.00 

I don't expect DAPPER MAN 8/11 will be much of a price but it is my top rated and the only known front runner in the race and its time recorded at Ripon would see it winning the race a little cosily, looking for a forecast I would side with the top weight Mutabaahy 5/1 who comes out 2nd best on my figures and does usually run on at the business end of its races but it is 2nd in the betting so even the forecast isn't going to pay much. 

Dapper Man 8/11 3PW 2nd -3pts

Total -3pts

WINDSOR 3.40 Div I 

This is a poor poor race split into 2 divisions and the 2nd division is too bad to find anything worthwhile, in this division I have got very little to work with speed figure wise, I have found one in this 1st division that has a time from last year at Yarmouth which is good for a class 6 handicap so if, DELEGATE THE LADY 10/1 (EW) reproduces its best it could run well here and I'm hoping it will be worth a small each way punt. 

Delegate The Lady 10/1 1/2PEW 6th -1pt

Total on the day -4pts